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8-K ·Filed May 6, 2026

HPK

HighPeak Energy, Inc.
MIXED
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed5mo ago SEC0001437749-26-015209
8-K material event: Items 1.01
Actionable Insight ◆ Mixed

Operational beat suggests near-term support for the stock, but the $150M ATM overhang and GAAP loss may cap upside. Watch for ATM utilization pace and Q2 2026 production updates. The company's focus on debt reduction with incremental free cash flow is positive for credit profile.

DirectionMixed
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
HPK ▲ +25.76% at T+60d
NEUTRAL call +25.76% · α vs SPY +21.93% · entry $5.59 → $7.03
Entry = T+0 close
May 6, 2026
via day close
T+1d
0.00%
call 0.00% · α -0.83%
$5.59
settled 6mo ago
T+5d
+19.68%
call +19.68% · α +18.17%
$6.69
settled 6mo ago
T+20d
+44.45%
call +44.45% · α +41.32%
$8.08
settled 5mo ago
T+60d
+25.76%
call +25.76% · α +21.93%
$7.03
settled 3mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

HighPeak Energy reported Q1 2026 adjusted EPS of -$0.02 (beating consensus of -$0.03) and revenue of $215.9M (slightly above $213.2M consensus), though GAAP net loss was $127.4M due to $157M non-cash derivative loss. The company also entered into a $150M at-the-market equity offering, providing financial flexibility but causing dilution. Operations exceeded guidance with production of 45.6 MBoe/d and free cash flow before working capital of $21.2M.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
−$0.02
est −$0.03 · +33.3%
Revenue
$215.9M
est $213.2M · +1.3% · -20.7% YoY
Rating
beat
Free Cash Flow
$21.2M

Key Facts

  • Q1 2026 adjusted net loss $2.7M or $0.02/diluted share (consensus -$0.03)
  • Q1 2026 revenue $215.9M vs consensus $213.2M (beat by 1.3%)
  • GAAP net loss $127.4M ($1.02/share) driven by $157M non-cash derivative loss
  • Production 45.6 MBoe/d, 7.5% above midpoint of guidance (41,000-44,000)
  • Lease operating costs $6.53/Boe, 17% below guided range
  • Free cash flow before working capital $21.2M; operating cash flow $54.2M
  • Entered $150M at-the-market common stock sales agreement (up to 3% commission)
  • Total capital expenditures $78.4M in Q1 2026; 2026 plan unchanged
  • Dividend suspended in March 2026 (announced previously)
  • Net debt at quarter end ~$1.19B (including current portion of debt)

Financial Impact

Revenue $215.9M, adjusted loss $2.7M; $150M potential dilution from ATM; $157M derivative loss non-cash but impacts equity

revenueepssdebtdilutioncash flow

Risk Factors

  • Dilution from ATM offering (up to $150M at market)
  • Large derivative losses impacting GAAP earnings and equity
  • Declining revenue YoY (-20.7%) due to lower production and prices
  • High debt load ($1.19B net debt); interest expense $35M/quarter
  • Commodity price volatility and geopolitical uncertainty

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Drilling Oil & Gas Wells
Analyst Consensus
11% bullish (9 analysts)

Investment Themes

Traditional Energy

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001437749-26-015209
Exhibit: ex_957441.htm0001437749-26-015209
Exhibit: ex_957442.htm0001437749-26-015209
Document: hpe20260501c_8k.htm0001437749-26-015209
Document: 0001437749-26-015209-index-headers.html0001437749-26-015209
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001437749-26-015209
11 reports for HPK
Performance horizon
40% Hit rate @ T+5 2 of 5 directional calls Went positive at some point 2 of 5 best @ T+5▲ +22.99%Oct 6, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for HPK — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 6, 2026
21d ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$8.22 $10.11▲ +22.99%▲ +23.13%$11.31 (+37.59%)
Oct 6, 2026
21d ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$8.22 $10.11▲ +22.99%▲ +23.13%$11.31 (+37.59%)
Aug 10, 2026
11w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$8.26 $7.85▼ −4.96%▼ −4.56%$11.31 (+36.92%)
Aug 10, 2026
11w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$8.26 $7.85▼ −4.96%▼ −4.56%$11.31 (+36.92%)
Jun 30, 2026
16w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$6.66 $6.62▼ −0.60%▼ −0.86%$11.31 (+69.82%)
Jun 11, 2026
19w ago
Institutional Cluster
BEARISH ★ 4/10
$7.85 $7.18▲ +8.54%▲ +9.21%$11.31 (−44.08%)
Jun 11, 2026
19w ago
Institutional Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$8.03 $7.55▼ −5.98%▼ −6.41%$11.31 (+40.85%)
May 6, 2026
24w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$5.59 $6.69▲ +19.68%▲ +18.17%$11.31 (+102.33%)
Apr 23, 2026
26w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$6.24 $6.96▲ +11.54%▲ +10.06%$11.31 (+81.25%)
Mar 11, 2026
32w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$5.69 $6.82▼ −19.86%▼ −20.84%$11.31 (−98.77%)
Showing 10 of 11

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Report published May 6, 2026