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6-K ·Filed Aug 5, 2026

HMC

HONDA MOTOR CO LTD
BULLISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonimmediate Processed2mo ago SEC0001193125-26-333722
Notable filing: 6-K
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The earnings beat and raised guidance confirm an inflection in Honda's auto business recovery after massive FY2026 EV write-downs. The weaker yen tailwind is real but carries FX reversal risk. Watch for further updates on the EV strategy reassessment and supplier cost negotiations. The stock likely re-rates higher near-term given the magnitude of the beat versus the prior annual report's bearish baseline.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonimmediate
Latest settled — T+20d
HMC ▲ +6.01% at T+20d
LONG call ✓ call won +6.01% · α vs SPY +6.61% · entry $30.60 → $32.44
Next anchor: T+60d tomorrow
Latest observation: T+56 -1.96% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Aug 5, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+0.42%
call +0.42% · α +0.58%
$30.73
settled 3mo ago
T+5d
+2.32%
call +2.32% · α +1.97%
$31.31
settled 3mo ago
T+20d
+6.01%
call +6.01% · α +6.61%
$32.44
settled 8w ago
T+60d
Pending
tomorrow

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Honda's Q1 FY2027 results show a dramatic recovery from the prior year's EV impairment-driven losses: revenue rose 13.5% YoY to ¥6,061.5B, operating profit surged 117.4% to ¥530.8B, and EPS more than doubled to ¥115.84. The Automobile segment swung from a ¥29.6B loss to a ¥192.1B profit. Full-year guidance was raised significantly: operating profit forecast up 30% to ¥650B and net profit up 53.8% to ¥400B, driven by a revised weaker yen assumption (¥155/USD vs ¥145). This marks a clear inflection from the severe FY2026 results and signals that the restructuring is gaining traction.

Key Facts

  • Q1 sales revenue ¥6,061.5B, up 13.5% YoY (from ¥5,340.3B)
  • Operating profit ¥530.8B, up 117.4% YoY (from ¥244.2B)
  • Profit attributable to owners of parent ¥450.9B, up 129.3% YoY (from ¥196.7B)
  • EPS ¥115.84 vs ¥46.80 YoY, a 147.5% increase
  • Automobile segment profit of ¥192.1B vs a loss of ¥29.6B in Q1 last year
  • Full-year FY2027 guidance raised: revenue now ¥24.15T (up 4.3%), operating profit ¥650B (up 30%), net profit ¥400B (up 53.8%), EPS ¥102.75 (up 53.9%)
  • Revised assumed USD/JPY rate from ¥145 to ¥155 drives guidance upgrade
  • Dividend forecast maintained at ¥70.00 per share annually

Financial Impact

Q1 operating profit increased ¥286.6B YoY (+117.4%) to ¥530.8B; full-year operating profit guidance raised by ¥150B to ¥650B; net profit guidance raised by ¥140B to ¥400B; EPS guidance raised from ¥66.79 to ¥102.75.

revenueoperating profitnet incomeepsguidance

Risk Factors

  • Guidance is highly reliant on a weaker yen (¥155/USD assumption); yen strengthening would pressure earnings
  • Ongoing EV strategy cancellation may trigger additional supplier payments (amount currently uncertain)
  • Airbag inflator recall provisions may need to increase if new evidence emerges
  • Automobile segment profitability still recovering from structural headwinds in EV transition

Market Snapshot

Exchange
OTC
Sector
Motor Vehicles & Passenger Car Bodies
Analyst Consensus
44% bullish (25 analysts)

Investment Themes

Industrials & Manufacturing

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 4 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
6-K Filing (Primary)0001193125-26-333722
Document: 0001193125-26-333722-index-headers.html0001193125-26-333722
Document: 0001193125-26-333722-index.html0001193125-26-333722
Document: 0001193125-26-333722.txt0001193125-26-333722
19 reports for HMC
Performance horizon
80% Hit rate @ T+20 4 of 5 directional calls Went positive at some point 5 of 5 best @ T+60▲ +20.69%Jun 11, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for HMC — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 21, 2026
6d ago
Institutional Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$34.58awaiting T+20—$34.07 (−1.47%)
Oct 15, 2026
12d ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$34.28awaiting T+20—$34.07 (−0.61%)
Oct 2, 2026
25d ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$31.78awaiting T+20—$34.07 (+7.21%)
Sep 30, 2026
27d ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$31.62awaiting T+20—$34.07 (+7.75%)
Sep 28, 2026
29d ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$32.09 $34.06▲ +6.12%▲ +5.46%$34.07 (+6.17%)
Aug 31, 2026
8w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$31.96 $32.09▲ +0.41%▲ +0.59%$34.07 (+6.60%)
Aug 11, 2026
11w ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$31.31 $31.62▲ +0.99%▲ +2.89%$34.07 (+8.82%)
Aug 11, 2026
11w ago
Court Ruling
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$31.31 $31.62▲ +0.99%▲ +2.89%$34.07 (+8.82%)
Aug 6, 2026
11w ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$31.82 $32.67▲ +2.67%▲ +3.07%$34.07 (+7.07%)
Aug 5, 2026
11w ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$30.60 $32.44▲ +6.01%▲ +6.61%$34.07 (+11.34%)
Showing 10 of 19

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Wed (15h 34m)

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Report published Aug 5, 2026