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20-F ·Filed Jun 18, 2026

HMC

HONDA MOTOR CO LTD
BEARISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonmonths Processed4mo ago SEC0001193125-26-274991
Notable filing: 20-F
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The 20-F confirms the full extent of Honda's auto business crisis from EV strategy missteps and tariff impacts, though much was pre-announced in prior 6-K filings. The maintained dividend signals management's attempt to reassure, but with negative EPS the payout is unsustainable. Watch for FY2027 guidance, further restructuring details, and whether the hybrid pivot can stabilize margins. The strong motorcycle business provides a buffer but cannot offset auto losses at this scale.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonmonths
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
HMC ▲ +23.72% at T+60d
SHORT call ✗ call lost -23.72% · α vs SPY -21.83% · entry $26.26 → $32.49
Entry = T+0 close
Jun 18, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-1.03%
call +1.03% · α +0.71%
$25.99
settled 4mo ago
T+5d
-0.46%
call +0.46% · α -1.21%
$26.14
settled 4mo ago
T+20d
+9.56%
call -9.56% · α -9.03%
$28.77
settled 3mo ago
T+60d
+23.72%
call -23.72% · α -21.83%
$32.49
settled 6w ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Honda's FY2026 20-F confirms a severe financial deterioration: consolidated operating profit swung from a ¥1,213.5 billion profit to a ¥414.3 billion loss, driven by ¥1.58 trillion in EV-related impairment and restructuring charges, including cancellation of multiple EV models and onerous contract provisions. The Automobile business recorded an operating loss of ¥1,411.1 billion, while the Motorcycle business grew operating profit 10.3% to ¥731.9 billion. Revenue was essentially flat at ¥21.8 trillion. The company plans to reallocate resources from EVs to hybrids and targets operating profit recovery by FY2029, but near-term outlook remains highly uncertain.

Key Facts

  • Operating loss of ¥414.3 billion vs operating profit of ¥1,213.5 billion in prior year
  • EV-related losses and expenses totaled ¥1,577.8 billion in the Automobile business
  • Automobile business operating loss of ¥1,411.1 billion
  • Motorcycle business operating profit increased 10.3% to ¥731.9 billion
  • EPS of -¥106.06 vs +¥178.93 in prior year
  • Revenue essentially flat at ¥21,796.6 billion (+0.5% YoY)
  • Dividend maintained at ¥70 per share despite the loss
  • Total equity declined from ¥12.6 trillion to ¥12.1 trillion
  • Company plans to reallocate EV investments to hybrids, targeting ¥6.2 trillion in total resource investment over three years through FY2029

Financial Impact

Operating loss of ¥414.3 billion; EV-related charges of ¥1,577.8 billion; equity declined by ¥479.8 billion

operating profitnet incomeEPSequityautomobile segment profit

Risk Factors

  • Further EV-related impairment charges as strategy reassessment continues
  • Tariff escalation in North America impacting ICE/hybrid profitability
  • Intensifying competition from Chinese EV manufacturers in Asia
  • Execution risk on hybrid pivot and cost reduction targets
  • Sustainability of dividend with negative earnings

Market Snapshot

Exchange
OTC
Sector
Motor Vehicles & Passenger Car Bodies
Analyst Consensus
44% bullish (25 analysts)

Investment Themes

Industrials & Manufacturing

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 9 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
20-F Filing (Primary)0001193125-26-274991
Document: d116494dex122.htm0001193125-26-274991
Document: d116494dex121.htm0001193125-26-274991
Document: d116494dex131.htm0001193125-26-274991
Document: d116494dex132.htm0001193125-26-274991
Document: d116494dex151.htm0001193125-26-274991
Document: 0001193125-26-274991-index-headers.html0001193125-26-274991
Document: 0001193125-26-274991-index.html0001193125-26-274991
Document: 0001193125-26-274991.txt0001193125-26-274991
19 reports for HMC
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate @ T+20 5 of 5 directional calls Went positive at some point 5 of 5 best @ T+60▲ +20.69%Jun 11, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for HMC — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 21, 2026
6d ago
Institutional Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$34.58awaiting T+20—$34.07 (−1.47%)
Oct 15, 2026
12d ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$34.28awaiting T+20—$34.07 (−0.61%)
Oct 2, 2026
25d ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$31.78awaiting T+20—$34.07 (+7.21%)
Sep 30, 2026
27d ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$31.62awaiting T+20—$34.07 (+7.75%)
Sep 28, 2026
29d ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$32.09 $34.06▲ +6.12%▲ +5.46%$34.07 (+6.17%)
Aug 31, 2026
8w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$31.96 $32.09▲ +0.41%▲ +0.59%$34.07 (+6.60%)
Aug 11, 2026
11w ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$31.31 $31.62▲ +0.99%▲ +2.89%$34.07 (+8.82%)
Aug 11, 2026
11w ago
Court Ruling
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$31.31 $31.62▲ +0.99%▲ +2.89%$34.07 (+8.82%)
Aug 6, 2026
11w ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$31.82 $32.67▲ +2.67%▲ +3.07%$34.07 (+7.07%)
Aug 5, 2026
11w ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$30.60 $32.44▲ +6.01%▲ +6.61%$34.07 (+11.34%)
Showing 10 of 19

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Wed (< 1m)

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Report published Jun 18, 2026