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PRESS-RELEASE ·Filed Aug 3, 2026

HLMN

The Hillman Group
BULLISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed2mo ago WireGlobeNewswire
Press release · Earnings
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The raised guidance and Kanebridge acquisition signal accelerating growth and margin expansion potential. Monitor the Q4 2026 closing of Kanebridge and integration updates for further upside. The flat adjusted EPS YoY suggests limited near-term earnings leverage, so watch for margin improvement in subsequent quarters.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d ⚠ clustered
HLMN ▼ -23.03% at T+20d
LONG call ✗ call lost -23.03% · α vs SPY -21.79% · entry $9.51 → $7.32
Next anchor: T+60d due 1h ago
Latest observation: T+57 -16.80% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Aug 3, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-3.05%
call -3.05% · α -2.85%
$9.22
settled 3mo ago
T+5d
-5.26%
call -5.26% · α -5.16%
$9.01
settled 3mo ago
T+20d
-23.03%
call -23.03% · α -21.79%
$7.32
settled 8w ago
T+60d
Pending
due 1h ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Hillman reported Q2 2026 net sales of $442.3M (+9.8% YoY) and GAAP diluted EPS of $0.11, while adjusted diluted EPS was $0.17, in line with the $0.17 consensus. The company raised its full-year 2026 net sales guidance to $1.670-$1.720B and adjusted EBITDA guidance to ~$285M, and subsequently agreed to acquire Kanebridge for $315M, establishing an industrial master distribution presence in the U.S. The beat on revenue and raised guidance are positive, but the adjusted EPS was flat YoY, tempering the bullish signal.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$0.17
est $0.17 · 0.0%
Revenue
$442.3M
est $433.6M · +2.0% · +9.8% YoY
Rating
beat
Guidance
$1.670B-$1.720B
raised
Free Cash Flow
$35.9M

Key Facts

  • Q2 net sales $442.3M vs $402.8M YoY (+9.8%), above $433.6M consensus
  • GAAP diluted EPS $0.11 vs $0.08 YoY; adjusted diluted EPS $0.17, in line with consensus
  • FY2026 net sales guidance raised to $1.670-$1.720B (prior $1.630-$1.730B)
  • FY2026 adjusted EBITDA guidance raised to ~$285M (prior $275-$285M)
  • Subsequent to quarter end, agreed to acquire Kanebridge for $315M, expected to close around start of Q4 2026
  • Free cash flow $70.2M in Q2 vs $31.2M YoY; FY2026 FCF guidance raised to $105-$115M
  • Net debt to trailing twelve-month adjusted EBITDA unchanged at 2.4x
  • Repurchased ~1.7M shares at avg $7.62 for $13.3M during Q2

Financial Impact

Revenue beat consensus by ~2.0% ($442.3M vs $433.6M); adjusted EPS in line; guidance raised for revenue and EBITDA; $315M Kanebridge acquisition announced

revenueadjusted EBITDAfree cash flownet debt

Risk Factors

  • Kanebridge acquisition may not close on expected terms or timeline
  • Integration risks from multiple recent acquisitions (Campbell Chain, Delaney Hardware, Kanebridge)
  • Flat adjusted EPS YoY despite revenue growth indicates margin pressure or higher costs
  • Consumer spending on home improvement could soften in a recessionary environment

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Cutlery, Handtools & General Hardware
Analyst Consensus
79% bullish (14 analysts)

Investment Themes

Industrials & Manufacturing

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 press release from GlobeNewswire.

DocumentAccession Number
PRESS-RELEASE Data (Synthetic)press-3337910
14 reports for HLMN
Performance horizon
50% Hit rate @ T+5 4 of 8 directional calls Went positive at some point 6 of 8 best @ T+20▲ +15.52%Jul 13, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for HLMN — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 13, 2026
13d ago
SC 13G/A
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$7.10 $7.24▼ −1.97%▼ −3.12%$7.24 (−1.97%)
Sep 14, 2026
6w ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$7.21 $7.11▼ −1.39%▼ −1.49%$7.24 (+0.42%)
Sep 3, 2026
7w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$7.68 $6.98▼ −9.11%▼ −7.97%$7.24 (−5.73%)
Sep 3, 2026
7w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$7.68 $6.98▼ −9.11%▼ −7.97%$7.24 (−5.73%)
Aug 4, 2026
12w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$9.51 $9.01▼ −5.26%▼ −5.16%$7.24 (−23.87%)
Aug 3, 2026
12w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$9.51 $9.01▼ −5.26%▼ −5.16%$7.24 (−23.87%)
Jul 13, 2026
15w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$7.86 $8.09▲ +2.93%▲ +3.71%$7.24 (−7.89%)
Apr 27, 2026
26w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 5/10
$8.33 $7.50▼ −9.96%▼ −11.66%$7.24 (−13.09%)
Apr 27, 2026
26w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$8.33 $7.50▲ +9.96%▲ +11.66%$7.24 (+13.09%)
Apr 13, 2026
28w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$8.80 $8.95▲ +1.70%▼ −1.59%$7.24 (−17.73%)
Showing 10 of 14

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens in 8m

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Report published Aug 3, 2026