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PRESS-RELEASE ·Filed Apr 27, 2026

HLMN

The Hillman Group
BEARISH
Impact 6/10
Horizondays Processed6mo ago WireGlobeNewswire
Press release · Earnings
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

Expect near-term pressure from the EPS miss and weak cash generation, though the raised revenue guidance from acquisitions and buyback offer support. Watch for margin trajectory and integration updates on the next earnings call.

DirectionBearish
Confidencemedium
Horizondays
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
HLMN ▼ -5.52% at T+60d
SHORT call ✓ call won +5.52% · α vs SPY +9.51% · entry $8.33 → $7.87
Entry = T+0 close
Apr 27, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-2.28%
call +2.28% · α +2.27%
$8.14
settled 6mo ago
T+5d
-9.96%
call +9.96% · α +11.66%
$7.50
settled 6mo ago
T+20d
-10.56%
call +10.56% · α +16.03%
$7.45
settled 5mo ago
T+60d
-5.52%
call +5.52% · α +9.51%
$7.87
settled 3mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Hillman reported Q1 2026 adjusted EPS of $0.07, missing the $0.08 consensus, while GAAP net loss widened to $(0.02) per share. Revenue grew 3% to $370.1M, but profitability deteriorated (adjusted EBITDA down 8%, operating cash flow deeply negative). The company raised FY2026 net sales guidance to $1.63-1.73B on two small acquisitions but maintained EBITDA and FCF guidance, signaling no margin improvement.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$0.07
est $0.08 · -12.5%
Revenue
$370.1M
+3.0% YoY
Rating
miss
Guidance
1.63 to 1.73 billion
raised
Free Cash Flow
-$34.3M

Key Facts

  • Adjusted diluted EPS $0.07 vs consensus $0.08 (12.5% miss)
  • Revenue $370.1M, +3.0% YoY (slightly below $371.8M consensus)
  • GAAP net loss $(4.7M) vs $(0.3M) prior year; GAAP EPS $(0.02)
  • Adjusted EBITDA $50.1M, down 8.1% from $54.5M
  • Operating cash flow $(19.5M) vs $(0.7M); free cash flow $(34.3M)
  • Closed two acquisitions post-quarter (Campbell Chain, Delaney Hardware)
  • FY2026 revenue guidance raised to $1.63-1.73B; EBITDA/FCF guidance unchanged
  • Net debt $710.1M, leverage 2.6x (up from 2.4x); repurchased 1.2M shares at $8.29

Financial Impact

Adjusted EPS miss of ~12.5% on consensus $0.08; GAAP loss widened from $(0.00) to $(0.02); cash flow deterioration.

epsnet incomeadjusted EBITDAoperating cash flow

Risk Factors

  • Elevated leverage (2.6x net debt/EBITDA) and negative free cash flow
  • Acquisition integration risk and potential margin dilution
  • Continued profitability deterioration if cost pressures persist

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Cutlery, Handtools & General Hardware
Analyst Consensus
79% bullish (14 analysts)

Investment Themes

Industrials & Manufacturing

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 press release from GlobeNewswire.

DocumentAccession Number
PRESS-RELEASE Data (Synthetic)press-3282057
14 reports for HLMN
Performance horizon
38% Hit rate @ T+5 3 of 8 directional calls Went positive at some point 5 of 8 best @ T+20▲ +15.52%Jul 13, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for HLMN — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 13, 2026
13d ago
SC 13G/A
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$7.10 $7.24▼ −1.97%▼ −3.12%$7.24 (−1.97%)
Sep 14, 2026
6w ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$7.21 $7.11▼ −1.39%▼ −1.49%$7.24 (+0.42%)
Sep 3, 2026
7w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$7.68 $6.98▼ −9.11%▼ −7.97%$7.24 (−5.73%)
Sep 3, 2026
7w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$7.68 $6.98▼ −9.11%▼ −7.97%$7.24 (−5.73%)
Aug 4, 2026
11w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$9.51 $9.01▼ −5.26%▼ −5.16%$7.24 (−23.87%)
Aug 3, 2026
12w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$9.51 $9.01▼ −5.26%▼ −5.16%$7.24 (−23.87%)
Jul 13, 2026
15w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$7.86 $8.09▲ +2.93%▲ +3.71%$7.24 (−7.89%)
Apr 27, 2026
26w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 5/10
$8.33 $7.50▼ −9.96%▼ −11.66%$7.24 (−13.09%)
Apr 27, 2026
26w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$8.33 $7.50▲ +9.96%▲ +11.66%$7.24 (+13.09%)
Apr 13, 2026
28w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$8.80 $8.95▲ +1.70%▼ −1.59%$7.24 (−17.73%)
Showing 10 of 14

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens in 4h 11m

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Report published Apr 27, 2026