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Insider Cluster (2 insiders) ·Filed May 19, 2026

GUER

Guerrilla RF, Inc.
NEUTRAL
Impact 3/10
Horizonweeks Processed5mo ago
Insider cluster: 2 insiders, $16K total
Actionable Insight • Neutral

The $16K insider buy cluster is too small to be a directional signal — it likely reflects a modest vote of confidence after strong Q1 results. The real catalyst remains the Q1 earnings beat and the $8.8M backlog. Watch for any follow-on open-market buying of >$200K by C-suite to confirm conviction; absent that, this is neutral noise.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
GUER ▲ +27.40% at T+60d
NEUTRAL call +27.40% · α vs SPY +21.11% · entry $2.92 → $3.72
Entry = T+0 close
May 19, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+2.19%
call +2.19% · α +1.15%
$2.98
settled 5mo ago
T+5d
+2.74%
call +2.74% · α +0.49%
$3.00
settled 5mo ago
T+20d
-2.40%
call -2.40% · α -3.38%
$2.85
settled 4mo ago
T+60d
+27.40%
call +27.40% · α +21.11%
$3.72
settled 3mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Two insiders (CFO Michael John-Williams and Director James Dunn) made modest open-market purchases totaling $16K on May 13, 2026, one week after Q1 2026 earnings that showed 48% revenue growth and a swing to net income. Separately, all directors and officers received restricted stock grants on May 15 (zero-cost, non-cash), which carry no economic signal. The $16K buy cluster is tiny relative to a likely $30-50M market cap (<0.05%) and is likely a routine insider build of a small position rather than a strong conviction signal.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
buying
Total Value
$15.6K
Insiders
2

Key Facts

  • Two insiders bought on 2026-05-13: CFO bought 2,000 shares at $2.82 ($5,640); Director bought 3,335 shares at $3.00 ($10,005). Total $15,645.
  • On 2026-05-15, all 12 directors and officers received restricted stock grants (zero-cost, non-cash) totaling 254,375 shares — these are incentive compensation, not open-market trades.
  • The Q1 2026 earnings released May 6 showed revenue of $6.5M (+48% YoY), gross margin 69.9%, and net income of $1.1M vs a $3.5M loss a year ago.
  • The open-market buy value ($16K) is negligible relative to the company's market cap (estimated $30-50M on the OTC market).

Financial Impact

$15,645 in open-market purchases, immaterial relative to market cap

insider ownershipcash position

Risk Factors

  • Insider purchases amount to less than 0.1% of market cap — statistically noise per the proportionality threshold
  • The OTC listing carries liquidity and information asymmetry risk beyond normal exchange-traded issuers

Market Snapshot

Exchange
OTC
Sector
Semiconductors & Related Devices

Investment Themes

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 SEC document filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)cluster-GUER-1779203705179
6 reports for GUER
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate @ T+5 3 of 3 directional calls Went positive at some point 3 of 3 best @ T+5▲ +12.43%May 6, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for GUER — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 6, 2026
11w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$3.50 $3.72▲ +6.29%▲ +5.07%$4.17 (+19.14%)
May 19, 2026
23w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$2.92 $3.00▲ +2.74%▲ +0.49%$4.17 (+42.81%)
May 19, 2026
23w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$2.92 $3.00▲ +2.74%▲ +0.49%$4.17 (+42.81%)
May 19, 2026
23w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$2.92 $3.00▲ +2.74%▲ +0.49%$4.17 (+42.81%)
May 7, 2026
24w ago
EFFECT
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$2.67 $2.65▲ +0.79%▲ +2.29%$4.17 (−56.12%)
May 6, 2026
24w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$2.70 $3.04▲ +12.43%▲ +11.30%$4.17 (+54.22%)
Showing 6 of 6

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens in 9h 11m

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Report published May 19, 2026