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425 ·Filed Jun 22, 2026

GRAF

Graf Global Corp.
NEUTRAL
Impact 4/10
Horizonmonths Processed4mo ago SEC0001104659-26-076571
Actionable Insight • Neutral

These filings are promotional and contain no material changes to deal terms. Monitor the upcoming S-4 registration statement for redemption projections and financial projections. The DOJ investigation into NBA restrictions is a wildcard — any resolution could materially affect BIG3's growth trajectory. The stock will trade on deal completion probability until the shareholder vote.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencemedium
Horizonmonths
Latest settled: T+20d ⚠ clustered
GRAF ▼ -0.46% at T+20d
NEUTRAL call -0.46% · α vs SPY -1.62% · entry $10.83 → $10.78
Next anchor: T+60d due 6w ago
Entry = T+0 close
Jun 22, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-0.18%
call -0.18% · α -0.14%
$10.81
settled 4mo ago
T+5d
+0.65%
call +0.65% · α -0.37%
$10.90
settled 4mo ago
T+20d
-0.46%
call -0.46% · α -1.62%
$10.78
settled 3mo ago
T+60d
Pending
due 6w ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Graf Global Corp. (GRAF) filed two Rule 425 communications in connection with its pending SPAC merger with BIG3 HoldCo LLC. The first filing (June 22) contains a Yahoo! Finance interview with BIG3 co-founder Jeff Kwatinetz and a Front Office Sports article, providing new operational details: BIG3 ratings were up over 25% last year, the league sold its first four teams for $10 million each, and it has secured a Chinese streaming partner with Migu Video Co. The second filing (June 19) is an Instagram reel transcript from Ice Cube promoting the league's ninth season and the going-public transaction. No changes to deal terms were disclosed; the deal values BIG3 at $290 million pre-money with 100% equity rollover, expected to close in Q4 2026.

Key Financial Metrics

Deal Value
$290.0M
Deal Type
merger

Key Facts

  • BIG3 ratings were up over 25% last year, with playoffs reaching more than 790,000 viewers on CBS.
  • BIG3 sold its first four teams for $10 million each, with prices increasing.
  • BIG3 secured a Chinese streaming partner: Migu Video Co for the first time.
  • BET will rerun CBS games in primetime on Monday evenings starting this year.
  • The league has standardized salary tiers and players earn 50% of net profits post-playoffs.
  • NBA ownership restrictions have hampered BIG3's ability to raise capital, cited as a reason for going public.
  • A 2023 DOJ investigation into NBA anticompetitive practices regarding BIG3 was noted; status unclear.
  • The deal values BIG3 at $290 million pre-money; Graf Global raised $200 million in its 2024 IPO.
  • Shares of the combined company are expected to trade under ticker TONT.
  • No changes to deal terms or timeline were disclosed in these filings.

Financial Impact

No new financial figures beyond the previously disclosed $290 million pre-money valuation. BIG3 sold four teams at $10M each, and ratings grew 25% YoY.

revenuevaluationmedia rights

Risk Factors

  • SPAC merger may not close if shareholder redemptions are high or conditions not met.
  • NBA ownership restrictions continue to limit BIG3's capital-raising ability.
  • DOJ investigation into NBA anticompetitive practices is unresolved and could create uncertainty.
  • Post-merger stock performance risk: SPAC mergers often see price drops after close.
  • Player altercation on opening weekend could create reputational risk.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Blank Checks

Investment Themes

Traditional Finance

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 8 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
425 Filing (GRAF) — Batch item 10001104659-26-076571
Document: 0001104659-26-076571-index-headers.html0001104659-26-076559
Document: 0001104659-26-076571-index.html0001104659-26-076571
Document: 0001104659-26-076571.txt0001104659-26-076571
425 Filing (GRAF) — Batch item 50001104659-26-076559
Document: 0001104659-26-076559-index-headers.html0001104659-26-076571
Document: 0001104659-26-076559-index.html0001104659-26-076571
Document: 0001104659-26-076559.txt0001104659-26-076571
16 reports for GRAF
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

Filters
Rows
Reports for GRAF, sortable and filterable
TypeNow
Jul 30, 2026
12w ago
425
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$10.82 $10.86▲ +0.37%▼ −2.62%No price
Jul 7, 2026
16w ago
425
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$10.82awaiting T+20awaiting T+20No price
Jun 26, 2026
17w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$10.90 $10.82▼ −0.73%▼ −0.45%No price
Jun 26, 2026
17w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$10.90 $10.90· 0.00%▼ −1.26%No price
Jun 25, 2026
17w ago
425
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$10.90 $10.90· 0.00%▼ −1.26%No price
Jun 23, 2026
18w ago
425
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$10.81 $10.81· 0.00%▼ −1.93%No price
Jun 22, 2026
18w ago
425
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$10.83 $10.78▼ −0.46%▼ −1.62%No price
Jun 22, 2026
18w ago
425
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$10.86 $10.78▼ −0.74%▼ −0.59%No price
Jun 18, 2026
18w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$10.86 $10.78▼ −0.74%▼ −0.59%No price
Jun 18, 2026
18w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$10.86 $10.78▼ −0.74%▼ −0.59%No price
Showing 10 of 16

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Report published Jun 23, 2026