SecBot SecBot
425 ·Filed Jun 12, 2026

GRAF

Graf Global Corp.
NEUTRAL
Impact 5/10
Horizonmonths Processed4mo ago SEC0001104659-26-073538
Rule 425 M&A communications
Actionable Insight • Neutral

Monitor shareholder vote and redemption levels — high redemptions could jeopardize the $50M minimum cash condition. Sponsor backstop of $5M if cash <$100M provides partial downside protection. Watch for the S-4 registration statement and proxy filing for detailed financials and redemption estimates.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencemedium
Horizonmonths
Latest settled — T+20d ⚠ clustered
GRAF ▲ 0.00% at T+20d
NEUTRAL call 0.00% · α vs SPY +0.75% · entry $10.80 → $10.80
Next anchor: T+60d due 7w ago
Entry = T+0 close
Jun 12, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+0.56%
call +0.56% · α +1.15%
$10.86
settled 5mo ago
T+5d
+0.56%
call +0.56% · α +1.94%
$10.86
settled 4mo ago
T+20d
0.00%
call 0.00% · α +0.75%
$10.80
settled 4mo ago
T+60d
Pending
due 7w ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Graf Global Corp. (GRAF) filed the definitive Business Combination Agreement to merge with BIG3 HoldCo LLC, the operator of the BIG3 professional 3-on-3 basketball league. The base merger consideration values BIG3 at $290 million pre-money, paid entirely in stock of a new public entity (Pubco) expected to list under the ticker 'TONT' in Q4 2026, subject to shareholder approval, a $50 million minimum cash condition, and other customary closing conditions.

Key Financial Metrics

Deal Value
$290.0M
Deal Type
merger

Key Facts

  • Base enterprise value of $290 million for BIG3, with additional contingent earnout of up to 2,000,000 Pubco Class A shares if stock price reaches $15.00 (20 of 30 trading days) within 5 years.
  • SPAC trust account had ~$249.2 million as of June 10, 2026; closing requires at least $50 million in available cash after redemptions and expenses.
  • Existing BIG3 equity holders rolling 100% of equity into Pubco; key holders Jeffrey Kwatinetz and O'Shea Jackson Sr. receive high-vote Class B shares (10 votes each).
  • Sponsor forfeits 2,750,000 Founder Shares and may transfer up to 500,000 additional shares to support non-redemptions; Sponsor also receives 500,000 earnout shares tied to cash threshold or $15.00 stock price.
  • All outstanding SPAC warrants (11.5M public, 4M private to sponsor, 2M to IPO underwriter) assumed by Pubco at $11.50 exercise price.
  • Closing expected in Q4 2026; combined company to adopt dual-class structure with Pubco Class A (1 vote) and Class B (10 votes) common stock.

Financial Impact

Base deal consideration $290 million in Pubco stock; SPAC trust provides ~$249 million in cash to the combined entity, subject to shareholder redemptions. Earnout could add up to 2M additional shares (at $15/share, worth ~$30M).

share countcash positionenterprise value

Risk Factors

  • Shareholder approval not obtained or high redemptions reducing combined company cash below $50M threshold.
  • Failure to satisfy regulatory or listing conditions by the Outside Date (December 27, 2026).
  • Uncertainty around BIG3's financial performance and ability to sustain revenue growth post-merger.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Blank Checks

Investment Themes

Traditional Finance

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 4 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
425 Filing (Primary)0001104659-26-073538
Document: tm2617801d1_ex10-3.htm0001104659-26-073538
Document: tm2617801d1_8ka.htm0001104659-26-073538
Document: tm2617801d1_ex10-1.htm0001104659-26-073538
16 reports for GRAF
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

Filters
Rows
Reports for GRAF — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Jul 30, 2026
12w ago
425
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$10.82 $10.86▲ +0.37%▼ −2.62%—
Jul 7, 2026
16w ago
425
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$10.82awaiting T+20——
Jun 26, 2026
17w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$10.90 $10.82▼ −0.73%▼ −0.45%—
Jun 26, 2026
17w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$10.90 $10.90· 0.00%▼ −1.26%—
Jun 25, 2026
17w ago
425
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$10.90 $10.90· 0.00%▼ −1.26%—
Jun 23, 2026
18w ago
425
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$10.81 $10.81· 0.00%▼ −1.93%—
Jun 22, 2026
18w ago
425
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$10.83 $10.78▼ −0.46%▼ −1.62%—
Jun 22, 2026
18w ago
425
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$10.86 $10.78▼ −0.74%▼ −0.59%—
Jun 18, 2026
18w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$10.86 $10.78▼ −0.74%▼ −0.59%—
Jun 18, 2026
18w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$10.86 $10.78▼ −0.74%▼ −0.59%—
Showing 10 of 16

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Thu (11h 38m)

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Report published Jun 12, 2026