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8-K ·Filed Mar 4, 2026

GO

Grocery Outlet Holding Corp.
BEARISH
Impact 8/10
Horizonmonths Processed7mo ago SEC0001771515-26-000014
Killer combo: Earnings + restructuring announcement
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The significant impairments and store closures indicate deeper operational issues than revenue growth suggests. The negative 2026 guidance and declining adjusted EPS despite revenue growth signal ongoing challenges. Traders should monitor whether the store closures improve margins in 2026 or if consumer pressure continues to erode profitability.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonmonths
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
GO ▲ +29.18% at T+60d
SHORT call ✗ call lost -29.18% · α vs SPY -17.88% · entry $6.34 → $8.19
Entry = T+0 close
Mar 4, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+3.94%
call -3.94% · α -5.26%
$6.59
settled 8mo ago
T+5d
-4.10%
call +4.10% · α +1.86%
$6.08
settled 8mo ago
T+20d
+13.88%
call -13.88% · α -17.67%
$7.22
settled 7mo ago
T+60d
+29.18%
call -29.18% · α -17.88%
$8.19
settled 5mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Grocery Outlet reported a significant net loss of $225 million in fiscal 2025 despite a 7.3% revenue increase, driven by $298 million in impairments and restructuring charges. The company announced a major optimization plan to close 36 underperforming stores, which will cost $14-25 million in 2026, while also providing weak 2026 guidance with projected negative comparable store sales growth.

Key Financial Metrics

Revenue
$4.7B
+7.3% YoY
Adj. EPS
$0.76
GAAP: $-2.30
Guidance
$4.60 - $4.72 billion
lowered
Gross Margin
30.3%

Key Facts

  • Net loss of $225 million in fiscal 2025 despite 7.3% revenue growth to $4.69 billion
  • $114 million impairment of long-lived assets and $149 million goodwill impairment in fiscal 2025
  • Company announced closure of 36 underperforming stores with $14-25 million in restructuring charges
  • 2026 guidance projects negative comparable store sales growth (-2.0% to 0.0%)
  • Adjusted EPS for 2025 decreased 1.5% year-over-year to $0.76

Financial Impact

Net loss of $225 million with $298 million in impairments and restructuring charges, plus $14-25 million in additional restructuring costs in 2026

revenueepsnet incomecash flow

Risk Factors

  • Continued consumer pressure and competition could further erode comparable store sales
  • Restructuring costs may exceed estimates of $14-25 million
  • Store closures could disrupt operations and customer relationships

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq

Investment Themes

Consumer & Retail

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 5 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001771515-26-000014
Document: go-20260302.htm0001771515-26-000014
Document: 0001771515-26-000014-index-headers.html0001771515-26-000014
Document: 0001771515-26-000014-index.html0001771515-26-000014
Document: 0001771515-26-000014.txt0001771515-26-000014
17 reports for GO
Performance horizon
50% Hit rate @ T+5 3 of 6 directional calls Went positive at some point 4 of 6 best @ T+60▲ +46.61%Mar 16, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for GO — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 16, 2026
10d ago
SC 13G/A
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$12.87 $13.30▲ +3.34%▲ +3.77%$12.74 (−0.97%)
Sep 24, 2026
4w ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$11.07 $11.62▲ +4.97%▲ +5.19%$12.74 (+15.13%)
Sep 4, 2026
7w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$12.38 $11.66▼ −5.82%▼ −4.61%$12.74 (+2.95%)
Aug 31, 2026
8w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$12.11 $11.29▼ −6.77%▼ −6.85%$12.74 (+5.24%)
Aug 24, 2026
9w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$12.12 $12.11▼ −0.08%▲ +0.46%$12.74 (+5.16%)
Aug 12, 2026
10w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 5/10
$10.80 $11.11▲ +2.87%▲ +4.83%$12.74 (+18.01%)
Aug 12, 2026
10w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$10.80 $11.11▼ −2.87%▼ −4.83%$12.74 (−18.01%)
Jun 29, 2026
17w ago
Insider Buy
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$9.98 $10.38▲ +4.01%▲ +3.40%$12.74 (+27.71%)
Jun 9, 2026
19w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$9.24 $9.88▼ −6.93%▼ −3.49%$12.74 (−37.93%)
Jun 9, 2026
19w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$9.24 $9.88▲ +6.93%▲ +3.49%$12.74 (+37.93%)
Showing 10 of 17

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Report published Mar 4, 2026