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8-K ·Filed Oct 5, 2026

FTHM

Fathom Holdings Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonweeks Processed21d 8h ago SEC0001437749-26-032044
8-K material event: Items 1.01, 1.02
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The merger termination removes the acquisition premium thesis that may have supported FTHM stock. The note amendment's drastically lower conversion price ($0.65 vs $4.25) signals severe financial distress and creates massive overhang. Watch for any asset monetization event that could trigger required payments to note holders, and monitor the November 1, 2026 maturity date for potential default or further restructuring.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+5d
FTHM ▼ -10.31% at T+5d
SHORT call ✓ call won +10.31% · α vs SPY +10.18% · entry $0.2230 → $0.2000
Next anchor: T+20d in 6d
Latest observation: T+13 -26.91% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Oct 5, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-3.14%
call +3.14% · α +2.90%
$0.2160
settled 21d ago
T+5d
-10.31%
call +10.31% · α +10.18%
$0.2000
settled 15d ago
T+20d
Pending
in 6d
T+60d
Pending
in 2mo

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Fathom Holdings terminated its merger agreement with Neighborhood Intelligence (NXH) on October 5, 2026, with no termination fee owed by either party. Simultaneously, Fathom amended its senior secured convertible notes to extend the maturity to November 1, 2026, lower the conversion price from $4.25 to $0.65 per share, and increase the interest rate to 18% per annum. The note amendment also includes an exchange cap of 19.99% of outstanding common stock and payment obligations tied to asset monetization events.

Key Financial Metrics

Deal Type
merger

Key Facts

  • Merger with Neighborhood Intelligence (NXH) terminated mutually on October 5, 2026; no termination fee payable by either party.
  • Senior secured convertible notes amended: maturity extended from October 1, 2026 to November 1, 2026.
  • Conversion price reduced from $4.25 to $0.65 per share, massively dilutive to existing common shareholders.
  • Interest rate on notes increased to 18% per annum from October 1, 2026 until paid in full.
  • Exchange cap set at 19.99% of outstanding common stock as of October 1, 2026.
  • Bridge Note from NXH to Fathom (maturity April 1, 2027) survives termination; no event of default triggered.
  • Chairman Scott Flanders is a holder of one of the notes; related-party transaction approved by independent directors.

Financial Impact

Conversion price reduction from $4.25 to $0.65 per share implies massive potential dilution for common shareholders if holders convert. No principal amount of the notes is disclosed in the filing.

dilutiondebtinterest expense

Risk Factors

  • Massive dilution risk from note conversion at $0.65 per share, capped at 19.99% of outstanding shares.
  • 18% interest rate on notes indicates severe financial distress and high default risk.
  • Merger termination removes strategic exit path and potential synergies with NXH.
  • Bridge Note to NXH remains outstanding with April 2027 maturity, adding debt service burden.
  • Potential asset monetization may be forced to satisfy note obligations, possibly at unfavorable terms.

Investment Themes

Real Estate

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 7 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001437749-26-032044
Exhibit: ex_1022318.htm0001437749-26-032044
Exhibit: ex_1022317.htm0001437749-26-032044
Exhibit: ex_1022319.htm0001437749-26-032044
Document: 0001437749-26-032044-index-headers.html0001437749-26-032044
Document: 0001437749-26-032044-index.html0001437749-26-032044
Document: 0001437749-26-032044.txt0001437749-26-032044
10 reports for FTHM
Performance horizon
75% Hit rate @ T+5 3 of 4 directional calls Went positive at some point 3 of 4 best @ T+5▲ +15.09%May 29, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for FTHM — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 5, 2026
21d ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$0.2230 $0.2000▲ +10.31%▲ +10.18%$0.1840 (+17.49%)
Sep 25, 2026
4w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$0.5830 $0.3344▼ −42.64%▼ −42.42%$0.1840 (−68.44%)
Jun 29, 2026
17w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$1.01 $1.01· 0.00%▼ −0.60%$0.1840 (−81.78%)
Jun 22, 2026
18w ago
425
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$1.03 $1.07▲ +3.88%▲ +4.34%$0.1840 (−82.14%)
Jun 17, 2026
18w ago
425
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$1.07 $1.07· 0.00%▲ +1.67%$0.1840 (−82.80%)
Jun 17, 2026
18w ago
425
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$1.11 $1.17▲ +5.41%▲ +6.45%$0.1840 (−83.42%)
Jun 17, 2026
18w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$1.11 $1.17▲ +5.41%▲ +6.45%$0.1840 (−83.42%)
May 29, 2026
21w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$0.5830 $0.4950▲ +15.09%▲ +12.34%$0.1840 (+68.44%)
Apr 30, 2026
25w ago
10-K/A
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$0.9120 $0.8180▼ −10.31%▼ −12.03%$0.1840 (−79.82%)
Mar 30, 2026
30w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$0.5300 $0.8780▼ −65.66%▼ −61.72%$0.1840 (+65.28%)
Showing 10 of 10

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Report published Oct 5, 2026