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Institutional Cluster

FOSL

Fossil Group, Inc.
BULLISH
Impact 5/10
Horizonweeks Processed4mo ago
Institutional cluster: 5 buyers, 2 sellers (bullish)
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The cluster is dominated by active managers and a quant fund making large percentage increases, suggesting a shared thesis around a catalyst (e.g., turnaround, restructuring, or undervaluation). The insider buying adds corroboration. Monitor for a follow-on catalyst (e.g., earnings beat, debt restructuring) to confirm the thesis.

DirectionBullish
Confidencemedium
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
FOSL ▲ +20.86% at T+60d
LONG call ✓ call won +20.86% · α vs SPY +19.12% · entry $4.17 → $5.04
Entry = T+0 close
Jun 19, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-3.84%
call -3.84% · α -2.38%
$4.01
settled 4mo ago
T+5d
+4.56%
call +4.56% · α +6.63%
$4.36
settled 4mo ago
T+20d
-0.72%
call -0.72% · α -0.57%
$4.14
settled 3mo ago
T+60d
+20.86%
call +20.86% · α +19.12%
$5.04
settled 6w ago

Executive Summary

A bullish institutional cluster formed in FOSL during 2026-Q1, with 5 buyers adding $4.4M in net new positions versus 2 sellers reducing by $546K. The buying is concentrated in active managers and a quant fund (Point72, Marshall Wace, Sei Investments), while passive funds (Morgan Stanley, Invesco) also added modestly. The cluster is corroborated by insider open-market buying of $101K, strengthening the conviction signal.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
accumulating
Buy Value
$5.5M
Sell Value
$1.5M
Net Flow
$3.9M

Institutional Positions

Net institutional flow: $3.9M

▲ Buyers (5)

InstitutionActionChangePosition ValueValue Δ
Point72DOUBLED+990.5%$1.3M$1.2M
Marshall WaceDOUBLED+1090.7%$2.4M$2.2M
Sei InvestmentsDOUBLED+107.6%$1.1M$634.0K
Morgan StanleyADD+29.6%$481.0K$157.0K
InvescoADD+84.7%$157.0K$83.0K

▼ Sellers (2)

InstitutionActionChangePrev ValueValue Δ
First Eagle Investment ManagemTRIM-31.3%$1.9M-$395.8K
Group One TradingNEAR_EXIT-82.1%$189.0K-$150.3K

Key Facts

  • 5 institutional buyers added $4.4M net; 2 sellers reduced by $546K
  • Point72 (quant) nearly 10x'd its position to $1.3M; Marshall Wace 11x'd to $2.4M; Sei Investments doubled to $1.1M
  • First Eagle trimmed 31.3% ($395.8K) but remains the largest holder among the cluster at $1.5M
  • One insider open-market buyer added $101K, giving the cluster a conviction score of 55/100
  • 88% of analysts rate the stock Buy or Strong Buy, with a market cap of $254M

Financial Impact

5 institutions accumulated $4.4M in new positions while 2 reduced holdings by $546K, for a net inflow of approximately $3.9M

institutional ownershipfloat

Risk Factors

  • 13F data is 45+ days stale; positions may have been unwound
  • Small market cap ($254M) increases volatility and liquidity risk
  • First Eagle's large trim ($395.8K) suggests some institutional skepticism

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Watches, Clocks, Clockwork Operated Devices/Parts
Analyst Consensus
88% bullish (8 analysts)

Investment Themes

Consumer & Retail

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 institutional 13F filing from SEC EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
INST-CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)inst-cluster-FOSL-2026-Q1
10 reports for FOSL
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

Filters
Rows
Reports for FOSL — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 6, 2026
20d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$7.08 $6.90▼ −2.54%▼ −1.56%—
Oct 6, 2026
20d ago
3
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$7.06 $7.15▲ +1.27%▲ +1.41%—
Oct 6, 2026
20d ago
3
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$7.06 $7.15▲ +1.27%▲ +1.41%—
Sep 17, 2026
5w ago
SC 13G
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$5.47 $6.20▲ +13.35%▲ +12.08%—
Aug 21, 2026
9w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$5.57 $4.97▼ −10.77%▼ −11.24%—
Aug 12, 2026
10w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$5.58 $5.58· 0.00%▲ +1.96%—
Jun 19, 2026
18w ago
Institutional Cluster
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$4.17 $4.36▲ +4.56%▲ +6.63%—
May 19, 2026
22w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$3.95 $4.20▼ −6.33%▼ −5.09%—
May 13, 2026
23w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 5/10
$4.35 $4.08▼ −6.21%▼ −5.49%—
Apr 27, 2026
26w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$4.56 $4.34▼ −4.82%▼ −6.52%—
Showing 10 of 10

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Tue (< 1m)

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Report published Jun 19, 2026