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8-K ·Filed May 6, 2026

FLOC

Flowco Holdings Inc.
NEUTRAL
Impact 5/10
Horizondays Processed5mo ago SEC0001193125-26-207483
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight • Neutral

The GAAP EPS miss vs Street consensus ($0.23 actual vs $0.34 est) is the headline risk, but the underlying business is growing (revenue +8.9% YoY, Adjusted EBITDA +14.2%). Watch the Q2 2026 print for a full quarter of Valiant contribution and whether the elevated SG&A ($36.5M vs $26.4M in Q4 2025) normalizes. The dividend increase and buyback signal board confidence, but the $162M cash outlay for Valiant and the S-3 filing overhang temper the bullish read.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencehigh
Horizondays
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
FLOC ▼ -15.67% at T+60d
NEUTRAL call -15.67% · α vs SPY -17.73% · entry $24.25 → $20.45
Entry = T+0 close
May 6, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+1.28%
call +1.28% · α +1.61%
$24.56
settled 6mo ago
T+5d
+11.96%
call +11.96% · α +10.83%
$27.15
settled 6mo ago
T+20d
-4.49%
call -4.49% · α -7.28%
$23.16
settled 5mo ago
T+60d
-15.67%
call -15.67% · α -17.73%
$20.45
settled 3mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Flowco Holdings reported Q1 2026 revenue of $209.5M (up 8.9% YoY) and GAAP diluted EPS of $0.23, with Adjusted EBITDA of $85.5M (+14.2% YoY). The quarter included the first month of the Valiant acquisition, a $16.5M share repurchase, and a 12.5% dividend increase, but GAAP net income fell 35.6% sequentially due to $4.8M in transaction costs and higher SG&A from the S-3 filing.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$0.23
est $0.34 · -32.4%
Revenue
$209.5M
est $206.6M · +1.4% · +8.9% YoY
Rating
miss
Free Cash Flow
$52.3M

Key Facts

  • Revenue of $209.5M, up 8.9% YoY from $192.4M and up 6.2% QoQ from $197.2M
  • GAAP diluted EPS of $0.23 vs $0.24 in Q1 2025; GAAP net income of $27.5M, flat YoY but down 36% QoQ
  • Adjusted EBITDA of $85.5M, up 14.2% YoY from $74.9M and up 2.4% QoQ from $83.5M
  • Closed Valiant Artificial Lift Solutions acquisition on March 2, 2026 for ~$162M net cash
  • Returned $16.5M to shareholders via share repurchases; Board approved 12.5% dividend increase to $0.09/share
  • Net debt increased to ~$310.7M (total debt $328M less cash $17.3M) from ~$163.3M at year-end 2025
  • Free cash flow of $52.3M, up from $14.7M in Q1 2025; operating cash flow $78.7M
  • Production Solutions segment revenue grew 10% QoQ to $140.2M, driven by Valiant contribution and Surface Equipment sales

Financial Impact

Revenue beat consensus by ~1.4% ($209.5M vs $206.6M est); GAAP diluted EPS of $0.23 vs consensus $0.34 — a miss of 32.4% on the Street metric

revenueepsadjusted EBITDAfree cash flownet debt

Risk Factors

  • GAAP diluted EPS of $0.23 missed the $0.34 consensus by 32.4%, which could pressure the stock near-term
  • Net debt surged to ~$310.7M from ~$163.3M at year-end due to Valiant acquisition funding
  • Corporate SG&A rose to $36.5M from $26.4M QoQ, partly from S-3 filing costs — may not fully reverse
  • Natural Gas Technologies segment revenue declined 0.6% QoQ and 9.2% YoY, signaling potential headwinds in that business
  • Tax receivable agreement liability ballooned to $92.4M from $22.0M, creating future cash obligations

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Oil & Gas Field Machinery & Equipment
Analyst Consensus
93% bullish (14 analysts)

Investment Themes

Industrials & Manufacturing

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001193125-26-207483
Document: floc-20260506.htm0001193125-26-207483
Document: 0001193125-26-207483-index-headers.html0001193125-26-207483
Document: 0001193125-26-207483-index.html0001193125-26-207483
Document: 0001193125-26-207483.txt0001193125-26-207483
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001193125-26-207483
15 reports for FLOC
Performance horizon
67% Hit rate @ T+60 2 of 3 directional calls Went positive at some point 4 of 5 best @ T+60▲ +12.43%Feb 26, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for FLOC — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 19, 2026
7d ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$19.10awaiting T+60—$19.83 (+3.82%)
Oct 2, 2026
25d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$18.46awaiting T+60—$19.83 (+7.42%)
Aug 25, 2026
9w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$20.64awaiting T+60—$19.83 (−3.92%)
Aug 11, 2026
11w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$23.26awaiting T+60—$19.83 (−14.75%)
Aug 10, 2026
11w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$23.26awaiting T+60—$19.83 (−14.75%)
Jul 30, 2026
12w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$19.73 $19.63▼ −0.51%▼ −2.97%$19.83 (+0.51%)
Jun 26, 2026
17w ago
Institutional Cluster
BULLISH ★ 4/10
$21.80 $19.87▼ −8.85%▼ −13.34%$19.83 (−9.04%)
Jun 11, 2026
19w ago
Institutional Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$23.72 $21.10▼ −11.05%▼ −15.44%$19.83 (−16.40%)
May 7, 2026
24w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$24.84 $20.36▼ −18.04%▼ −22.87%$19.83 (−20.17%)
May 6, 2026
24w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$24.25 $20.45▼ −15.67%▼ −17.73%$19.83 (−18.23%)
Showing 10 of 15

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Market Open — Closes in 48m

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Report published May 6, 2026