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Institutional Cluster

FLO

FLOWERS FOODS INC
BEARISH
Impact 5/10
Horizonweeks Processed2mo ago
Institutional cluster: 30 buyers, 20 sellers (mixed)
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The divergence between passive accumulation and active/quant selling is a bearish signal. Monitor for further insider selling or a negative catalyst that could accelerate the exodus.

DirectionBearish
Confidencemedium
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d ⚠ clustered
FLO ▼ -14.24% at T+20d
SHORT call ✓ call won +14.24% · α vs SPY +13.72% · entry $6.95 → $5.96
Next anchor: T+60d in 20d
Latest observation: T+44 +3.27% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Aug 21, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+4.75%
call -4.75% · α -5.04%
$7.28
settled 2mo ago
T+5d
+2.16%
call -2.16% · α -1.68%
$7.10
settled 2mo ago
T+20d
-14.24%
call +14.24% · α +13.72%
$5.96
settled 5w ago
T+60d
Pending
in 20d

Executive Summary

Flowers Foods (FLO) saw a mixed institutional cluster in Q2 2026: 30 buyers accumulated $83.6M in new positions, while 20 sellers reduced holdings by $117.5M. The buying was dominated by mega-passive managers (Fidelity, Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, Schwab) adding shares, while the selling was concentrated in high-conviction active managers and quant funds — including full exits by Point72, Millennium, and Wasatch Advisors, plus significant trims by Citadel and RenTech. The net negative dollar flow from active/quant sellers ($117.5M) far outweighs the passive accumulation ($83.6M), suggesting the informed money is exiting despite index-driven buying.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
distributing
Buy Value
$242.5M
Sell Value
$117.5M
Net Flow
-$33.9M

Institutional Positions

Net institutional flow: -$33.9M

▲ Buyers (30)

InstitutionActionChangePosition ValueValue Δ
FidelityDOUBLED+468.3%$29.4M$24.1M
Goldman SachsADD+93.9%$36.6M$17.1M
Morgan StanleyADD+55.9%$47.0M$15.9M

▼ Sellers (20)

InstitutionActionChangePrev ValueValue Δ
MillenniumEXIT-100%$32.8M-$32.8M
Point72EXIT-100%$24.4M-$24.4M
Dimensional Fund AdvisorsTRIM-30.2%$61.5M-$19.9M

Key Facts

  • 30 buyers added $83.6M in new positions, led by mega-passive funds (Fidelity +$24.1M, Goldman Sachs +$17.1M, Morgan Stanley +$15.9M)
  • 20 sellers reduced holdings by $117.5M, including full exits by Point72 ($24.4M), Millennium ($32.8M), and Wasatch Advisors ($17.1M)
  • Quant funds Citadel (-$10.1M) and RenTech (-$6.5M) each trimmed ~51% of their positions
  • Dimensional Fund Advisors, the largest active seller, trimmed 30% of its $61.5M position
  • Only 1 open-market insider buyer (C-suite, $38K) — minimal insider corroboration of the institutional buying thesis

Financial Impact

Net institutional selling of ~$33.9M ($117.5M sold vs $83.6M bought), concentrated in active/quant funds exiting or trimming large positions

institutional_ownershipfloat_percentage

Risk Factors

  • Active/quant selling could accelerate if fundamentals deteriorate further
  • Passive buying may reverse if FLO is removed from an index or faces a dividend cut
  • Low insider buying ($38K) provides no conviction signal to offset institutional selling

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Food and Kindred Products
Analyst Consensus
8% bullish (12 analysts)

Investment Themes

Consumer & Retail

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 institutional 13F filing from SEC EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
INST-CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)inst-cluster-FLO-2026-Q2
12 reports for FLO
Performance horizon
67% Hit rate @ T+20 2 of 3 directional calls Went positive at some point 3 of 3 best @ T+20▲ +14.24%Aug 20, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for FLO — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 8, 2026
18d ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$5.81awaiting T+20——
Aug 28, 2026
8w ago
S-3ASR
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$6.92 $5.65▼ −18.42%▼ −18.48%—
Aug 28, 2026
8w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$7.10 $5.74▼ −19.15%▼ −19.66%—
Aug 21, 2026
9w ago
Institutional Cluster
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$6.95 $5.96▲ +14.24%▲ +13.72%—
Aug 20, 2026
9w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$6.95 $5.96▲ +14.24%▲ +13.72%—
Jun 5, 2026
20w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$7.49 $8.61▲ +14.95%▲ +13.32%—
May 28, 2026
21w ago
Court Ruling
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$7.70 $7.97▼ −3.51%▼ −6.65%—
May 21, 2026
22w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$7.94 $7.43▲ +6.38%▲ +4.96%—
Apr 14, 2026
27w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$8.26 $8.22▼ −0.48%▼ −6.78%—
Apr 7, 2026
28w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$8.08 $8.64▲ +6.93%▼ −1.61%—
Showing 10 of 12

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Wed (13h 19m)

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Report published Aug 21, 2026