SecBot SecBot
PRESS-RELEASE ·Filed Mar 17, 2026

FLD

Fold, Inc.
MIXED
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed7mo ago WireGlobeNewswire
Press release · Earnings
Actionable Insight ◆ Mixed

Monitor early traction of the Bitcoin Credit Card rollout and enterprise partnerships (e.g., Steak ‘n Shake) for signs of accelerating revenue. Watch cash burn and future financing risk given $10.6M decline in cash reserves. The removal of convertible debt overhang is positive, but lack of 2026 guidance and slowing Q4 growth warrant caution.

DirectionMixed
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
FLD ▼ -37.38% at T+60d
NEUTRAL call -37.38% · α vs SPY -48.91% · entry $1.07 → $0.6700
Entry = T+0 close
Mar 17, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+20.56%
call +20.56% · α +20.83%
$1.29
settled 7mo ago
T+5d
+37.38%
call +37.38% · α +38.10%
$1.47
settled 7mo ago
T+20d
+7.48%
call +7.48% · α +1.43%
$1.15
settled 7mo ago
T+60d
-37.38%
call -37.38% · α -48.91%
$0.6700
settled 5mo ago

Price Chart

Loading chart...

Executive Summary

Fold, Inc. (FLD) reported strong full-year 2025 revenue growth of 34% YoY to $31.8 million, driven by a 46% increase in transaction volume. The company launched its Bitcoin Rewards Credit Card and Fold for Business, retired $68.7 million in convertible debt, and improved its capital structure. Despite growing revenue, it reported a wider operating loss and declining cash reserves, with Q4 revenue growth slowing to 8% and transaction volume declining 3% YoY.

Key Financial Metrics

Revenue
$31.8M
+34.0% YoY
EPS
$-1.65

Key Facts

  • 2025 revenue: $31.8 million, up 34% YoY
  • Q4 2025 revenue: $9.1 million, up 8% YoY; transaction volume down 3% YoY
  • Operating loss: ($27.7) million; Adjusted EBITDA loss: ($17.2) million
  • Launched Fold Bitcoin Rewards Credit Card and Fold for Business (enterprise payroll/bonuses with Bitcoin)
  • Retired $68.7 million in convertible notes, simplifying capital structure
  • Cash and cash equivalents dropped from $18.3M to $7.7M in 2025
  • No 2026 revenue guidance provided due to early-stage product rollout

Financial Impact

Revenue increased by $8.0M YoY, but operating losses widened by $21.9M; $10M credit facility drawn; $16.1M net cash used in operations

revenueoperating_losscash_flowdebtadjusted_ebitda

Risk Factors

  • Continued negative cash flow and shrinking cash reserves could necessitate future dilutive financing
  • Q4 transaction volume declined despite revenue growth, suggesting potential margin compression or one-time factors
  • Heavy reliance on forward-looking statements with no 2026 revenue guidance
  • Insider selling activity in the past 30 days may signal reduced confidence

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq

Investment Themes

Traditional Finance

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 press release from GlobeNewswire.

DocumentAccession Number
PRESS-RELEASE Data (Synthetic)press-3257664
29 reports for FLD
Performance horizon
71% Hit rate @ T+60 5 of 7 directional calls Went positive at some point 7 of 11 best @ T+60▲ +71.07%Apr 20, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for FLD — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 22, 2026
4d ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$0.5143awaiting T+60—$0.5100 (−0.84%)
Sep 29, 2026
28d ago
EFFECT
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.5401awaiting T+60—$0.5100 (+5.57%)
Sep 18, 2026
5w ago
S-1
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$0.5895awaiting T+60—$0.5100 (+13.49%)
Sep 2, 2026
7w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$0.4903awaiting T+60—$0.5100 (+4.02%)
Aug 11, 2026
10w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.4640awaiting T+60—$0.5100 (−9.91%)
Aug 11, 2026
10w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.4640awaiting T+60—$0.5100 (−9.91%)
Jul 28, 2026
12w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$0.4501awaiting T+60—$0.5100 (+13.31%)
Jul 17, 2026
14w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 8/10
$0.4047 $0.5385▼ −33.06%▼ −28.22%$0.5100 (−26.02%)
Jun 11, 2026
19w ago
Institutional Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$0.6700 $0.5387▼ −19.60%▼ −23.99%$0.5100 (−23.88%)
May 29, 2026
21w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$0.9500 $0.5167▼ −45.61%▼ −46.84%$0.5100 (−46.32%)
Showing 10 of 29

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens in 8h 13m

Subscribe to SecBot

Get Real-Time SEC Filing Intelligence

Comprehensive SEC filing analysis delivered the moment filings hit EDGAR. Sentiment scoring, impact analysis, and actionable insights for every material event.

Create a free account Live analysis, Telegram alerts, watchlists and the MCP server for subscribers
Report published Mar 17, 2026