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Institutional Cluster

FLD

Fold Holdings, Inc.
NEUTRAL
Impact 3/10
Horizonmonths Processed4mo ago
Institutional cluster: 3 buyers, 0 sellers (bullish)
Actionable Insight • Neutral

The cluster is dominated by passive rebalancing, not active conviction. Monitor for additional 13F filings to see if active managers are building positions, but the all-passive composition and poor historical performance of prior FLD reports suggest no actionable signal here.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencemedium
Horizonmonths
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
FLD ▼ -19.60% at T+60d
NEUTRAL call -19.60% · α vs SPY -23.99% · entry $0.6700 → $0.5387
Entry = T+0 close
Jun 11, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-13.13%
call -13.13% · α -13.68%
$0.5820
settled 5mo ago
T+5d
-8.06%
call -8.06% · α -8.49%
$0.6160
settled 4mo ago
T+20d
-30.00%
call -30.00% · α -31.89%
$0.4690
settled 4mo ago
T+60d
-19.60%
call -19.60% · α -23.99%
$0.5387
settled 7w ago

Executive Summary

Vanguard, Morgan Stanley, and UBS all increased their FLD positions in Q3 2025, with Vanguard more than doubling its stake. However, the buying is entirely from passive/index managers, likely reflecting index rebalancing or automatic allocation, not an active investment thesis.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
accumulating
Buy Value
$7.3M
Sell Value
$0.00
Net Flow
$6.0M

Institutional Positions

Net institutional flow: $6.0M

▲ Buyers (3)

InstitutionActionChangePosition ValueValue Δ
VanguardDOUBLED+650.5%$6.9M$5.9M
Morgan StanleyDOUBLED+164.5%$88.0K$52.0K
UBSADD+53%$327.0K$93.0K

Key Facts

  • Three passive/index-focused institutions (Vanguard, Morgan Stanley, UBS) increased FLD positions in Q3 2025
  • Vanguard doubled its position, adding ~$5.9M in value, accounting for almost all of the total $6.0M net inflow
  • No institutional sellers were reported
  • Total net buying of $6.0M is about 17% of FLD's $36M market cap
  • No active or activist hedge funds participated in the cluster, reducing signal quality

Financial Impact

3 institutions added a net $6.0M in FLD holdings during Q3 2025, primarily driven by Vanguard's $5.9M increase

institutional ownershipfloat

Risk Factors

  • 13F data is as of September 30, 2025, with a 45-day reporting lag; positions may have changed
  • Passive fund flows do not reflect fundamental conviction and may reverse on index reconstitution

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Finance Services
Analyst Consensus
86% bullish (7 analysts)

Investment Themes

Traditional Finance

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 institutional 13F filing from SEC EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
INST-CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)inst-cluster-FLD-2025-Q3
29 reports for FLD
Performance horizon
71% Hit rate @ T+60 5 of 7 directional calls Went positive at some point 7 of 11 best @ T+60▲ +71.07%Apr 20, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for FLD — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 22, 2026
4d ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$0.5143awaiting T+60——
Sep 29, 2026
28d ago
EFFECT
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.5401awaiting T+60——
Sep 18, 2026
5w ago
S-1
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$0.5895awaiting T+60——
Sep 2, 2026
7w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$0.4903awaiting T+60——
Aug 11, 2026
10w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.4640awaiting T+60——
Aug 11, 2026
10w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.4640awaiting T+60——
Jul 28, 2026
12w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$0.4501awaiting T+60——
Jul 17, 2026
14w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 8/10
$0.4047 $0.5385▼ −33.06%▼ −28.22%—
Jun 11, 2026
19w ago
Institutional Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$0.6700 $0.5387▼ −19.60%▼ −23.99%—
May 29, 2026
21w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$0.9500 $0.5167▼ −45.61%▼ −46.84%—
Showing 10 of 29

US Market Status

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Report published Jun 11, 2026