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8-K ·Filed Aug 11, 2026

FLD

Fold Holdings, Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed2mo ago SEC0001193125-26-344543
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The balance sheet cleanup (debt elimination, cash build) is a one-time event that does not fix the core revenue decline and widening losses. Monitor whether the credit card program can materially reverse the transaction volume trajectory in H2 2026; without it, the stock remains a show-me story with deteriorating fundamentals.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d ⚠ clustered
FLD ▲ +12.61% at T+20d
SHORT call ✗ call lost -12.61% · α vs SPY -14.51% · entry $0.4640 → $0.5225
Next anchor: T+60d in 9d
Latest observation: T+51 -228.50% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Aug 11, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+2.00%
call -2.00% · α -1.31%
$0.4733
settled 3mo ago
T+5d
+12.07%
call -12.07% · α -12.51%
$0.5200
settled 2mo ago
T+20d
+12.61%
call -12.61% · α -14.51%
$0.5225
settled 7w ago
T+60d
Pending
in 9d

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Fold Holdings reported Q2 2026 revenue of $6.1M, a 25.5% YoY decline from $8.2M, with a GAAP net loss of $9.7M (EPS -$0.19). The company eliminated $20M of secured debt and added ~$25M of unrestricted capital by monetizing a portion of its bitcoin treasury, but its bitcoin holdings dropped from 826 BTC to 194 BTC. Revenue continues to decline sharply, and the company remains deeply unprofitable with no clear path to breakeven, making this a bearish filing despite the balance sheet cleanup.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
−$0.19
Revenue
$6.1M
-25.5% YoY
Rating
miss

Key Facts

  • Revenue declined 25.5% YoY to $6.1M from $8.2M
  • GAAP net loss of $9.7M vs net income of $13.4M in Q2 2025
  • EPS of -$0.19 vs +$0.29 in Q2 2025
  • Bitcoin treasury slashed from 826 BTC to 194 BTC
  • Eliminated ~$20M of secured debt, saving ~$145K/month in interest
  • Cash and equivalents rose to $28.4M from $7.7M at year-end 2025
  • Credit card program grew to 2,000+ cardholders, up 100% QoQ
  • Total transaction volume fell to $165M from $172M QoQ
  • Adjusted EBITDA loss widened to -$5.5M from -$4.7M YoY

Financial Impact

Revenue decline of $2.1M YoY (25.5%); net loss swing of $23.1M from profit to loss

revenueepsnet incomebitcoin holdingstransaction volume

Risk Factors

  • Continued revenue decline as bitcoin price pressure persists
  • Bitcoin treasury liquidation removes a key asset and potential upside catalyst
  • Credit card program is still early-stage and unproven as a revenue driver
  • Accumulated deficit of $209.8M against $31.3M equity raises going-concern risk

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Finance Services
Analyst Consensus
86% bullish (7 analysts)

Investment Themes

Traditional Finance

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001193125-26-344543
Document: fld-20260811.htm0001193125-26-344543
Document: 0001193125-26-344543-index-headers.html0001193125-26-344543
Document: 0001193125-26-344543-index.html0001193125-26-344543
Document: 0001193125-26-344543.txt0001193125-26-344543
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001193125-26-344543
29 reports for FLD
Performance horizon
71% Hit rate @ T+60 5 of 7 directional calls Went positive at some point 7 of 10 best @ T+60▲ +71.07%Apr 20, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for FLD — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 22, 2026
4d ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$0.5143awaiting T+60—$0.5100 (−0.84%)
Sep 29, 2026
27d ago
EFFECT
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.5401awaiting T+60—$0.5100 (+5.57%)
Sep 18, 2026
5w ago
S-1
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$0.5895awaiting T+60—$0.5100 (+13.49%)
Sep 2, 2026
7w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$0.4903awaiting T+60—$0.5100 (+4.02%)
Aug 11, 2026
10w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.4640awaiting T+60—$0.5100 (−9.91%)
Aug 11, 2026
10w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.4640awaiting T+60—$0.5100 (−9.91%)
Jul 28, 2026
12w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$0.4501awaiting T+60—$0.5100 (+13.31%)
Jul 17, 2026
14w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 8/10
$0.4047 $0.5385▼ −33.06%▼ −28.22%$0.5100 (−26.02%)
Jun 11, 2026
19w ago
Institutional Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$0.6700 $0.5387▼ −19.60%▼ −23.99%$0.5100 (−23.88%)
May 29, 2026
21w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$0.9500 $0.5167▼ −45.61%▼ −46.84%$0.5100 (−46.32%)
Showing 10 of 29

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Tue (16h 1m)

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Report published Aug 11, 2026