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8-K ·Filed Sep 11, 2026

FIZZ

NATIONAL BEVERAGE CORP
BEARISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed1mo ago SEC0001437749-26-030186
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The combination of a clear EPS miss, sharply compressed gross margins from aluminum/tariff costs, and a massive special dividend that drained cash to $107M signals significant near-term headwinds. With no quantitative guidance and only qualitative optimism about an August rebound, traders should expect continued pressure on the stock until concrete margin recovery or volume growth materializes in the next quarter.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d
FIZZ ▲ +1.07% at T+20d
SHORT call ✗ call lost -1.07% · α vs SPY +1.19% · entry $31.81 → $32.15
Next anchor: T+60d in 6w
Latest observation: T+29 -15.98% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Sep 11, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-1.38%
call +1.38% · α +0.92%
$31.37
settled 6w ago
T+5d
-1.32%
call +1.32% · α +1.43%
$31.39
settled 6w ago
T+20d
+1.07%
call -1.07% · α +1.19%
$32.15
settled 18d ago
T+60d
Pending
in 6w

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

National Beverage Corp. (FIZZ) reported Q1 FY2027 earnings with EPS of $0.50, a 10.8% miss vs. the $0.48 consensus estimate, and net income declining 15.7% YoY to $47.0M. Revenue was essentially flat at $330.7M vs. $330.5M a year ago, but gross margin collapsed to 35% from ~37.8% in the prior-year quarter, driven by a 600 bps negative impact from aluminum costs and tariffs. The company paid a $304M special dividend ($3.25/share) on July 30, drawing cash down to $107M, and offered no quantitative guidance, only optimistic commentary about an August order rebound.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$0.50
est $0.48 · -10.8%
Revenue
$330.7M
est $304.2M · +8.7% · +0.0% YoY
Rating
miss
Gross Margin
35%

Key Facts

  • EPS of $0.50 missed consensus of $0.48 by 10.8%
  • Net income fell 15.7% YoY to $47.0M from $55.8M
  • Gross margin compressed to 35%, with aluminum costs alone causing a ~600 bps headwind
  • Revenue was essentially flat at $330.7M vs $330.5M YoY
  • Paid a $304M special dividend ($3.25/share) on July 30, reducing cash to $107M
  • No quantitative guidance provided; management cited 'soft market conditions' and tariff absorption

Financial Impact

EPS miss of 10.8% vs consensus, net income down 15.7% YoY, gross margin down ~280 bps YoY

epsnet incomegross margincash

Risk Factors

  • Sustained aluminum cost and tariff pressure on gross margins
  • Volume declines from consumer sentiment and price increases
  • Low cash position ($107M) after special dividend limits financial flexibility
  • No quantitative guidance increases uncertainty around recovery trajectory

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Bottled & Canned Soft Drinks & Carbonated Waters
Analyst Consensus
0% bullish (7 analysts)

Investment Themes

Consumer & Retail

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001437749-26-030186
Document: fizz20260910_8k.htm0001437749-26-030186
Document: 0001437749-26-030186-index-headers.html0001437749-26-030186
Document: 0001437749-26-030186-index.html0001437749-26-030186
Document: 0001437749-26-030186.txt0001437749-26-030186
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001437749-26-030186
2 reports for FIZZ
Performance horizon
Filters
Rows
Reports for FIZZ — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 11, 2026
6w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$31.81 $32.15▼ −1.07%▲ +1.19%$34.56 (−8.66%)
Aug 13, 2026
10w ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 4/10
$31.33 $31.37▲ +0.13%▲ +1.87%$34.56 (+10.33%)
Showing 2 of 2

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Report published Sep 11, 2026