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8-K ·Filed Oct 22, 2026

FIX

COMFORT SYSTEMS USA INC
BULLISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonweeks Processed5d 6h ago SEC0001104659-26-118156
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The massive backlog growth (+90% YoY to $17.81B) and strong cash generation ($1.01B operating cash flow) suggest multi-quarter revenue visibility. Watch for the Q4 2026 earnings call for 2027 guidance and any commentary on capacity constraints or labor availability.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+1d ⚠ clustered
FIX ▲ +7.18% at T+1d
LONG call ✓ call won +7.18% · α vs SPY +6.47% · entry $1,160.86 → $1,244.19
Next anchor: T+5d tomorrow
Entry = T+0 close
Oct 22, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+7.18%
call +7.18% · α +6.47%
$1,244.19
settled 5d ago
T+5d
Pending
tomorrow
T+20d
Pending
in 22d
T+60d
Pending
in 3mo

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Comfort Systems USA reported Q3 2026 results with revenue of $3.77B (up 54% YoY) and diluted EPS of $13.91 (up 69% YoY), beating consensus estimates of $3.46B and $13.15. Backlog surged to $17.81B, up 90% YoY, and operating cash flow reached $1.01B. The board also increased the quarterly dividend by $0.10 to $1.00/share.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$13.91
est $13.15 · +5.8%
Revenue
$3.8B
est $3.5B · +8.8% · +53.7% YoY
Rating
strong beat
Free Cash Flow
$805.6M
Gross Margin
24.8%

Key Facts

  • Q3 2026 revenue of $3.77B vs $2.45B in Q3 2025, a 54% increase
  • Diluted EPS of $13.91 vs $8.25 in Q3 2025, a 69% increase
  • Beat consensus EPS of $13.15 by 5.8% and revenue consensus of $3.46B by 9.0%
  • Backlog of $17.81B, up from $9.38B a year ago (+90%) and up sequentially from $14.06B at Q2 2026
  • Operating cash flow of $1.01B in Q3 2026 vs $553.3M in Q3 2025
  • Quarterly dividend increased to $1.00/share from $0.90/share
  • Adjusted EBITDA margin of 17.7% vs 16.9% in Q3 2025
  • Nine-month revenue of $9.90B vs $6.46B in 2025 (+53%)

Financial Impact

Revenue beat consensus by $310M; EPS beat by $0.76; backlog growth of $8.43B YoY; dividend increase of $0.10/share

revenueepscash flowbacklogdividend

Risk Factors

  • Backlog execution risk given rapid growth and potential labor/supply constraints
  • Cyclicality in commercial/industrial construction demand
  • Integration risk from acquisitions (goodwill increased to $1.15B)

Investment Themes

Industrials & Manufacturing

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 7 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001104659-26-118156
Document: fix-20261022x8k.htm0001104659-26-118156
Document: fix-ex99d2.htm0001104659-26-118156
Document: 0001104659-26-118156-index-headers.html0001104659-26-118156
Document: 0001104659-26-118156-index.html0001104659-26-118156
Document: 0001104659-26-118156.txt0001104659-26-118156
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001104659-26-118156
16 reports for FIX
Performance horizon
67% Hit rate @ T+20 4 of 6 directional calls Went positive at some point 5 of 6 best @ T+60▲ +31.03%Feb 28, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for FIX — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 23, 2026
4d ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 4/10
$1,160.86awaiting T+20—$1,288.61 (+11.00%)
Oct 22, 2026
5d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$1,160.86awaiting T+20—$1,288.61 (+11.00%)
Oct 22, 2026
5d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$1,160.86awaiting T+20—$1,288.61 (+11.00%)
Aug 18, 2026
10w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$1,696.06 $1,573.96▼ −7.20%▼ −5.25%$1,288.61 (−24.02%)
Aug 3, 2026
12w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$1,775.86 $1,554.37▼ −12.47%▼ −11.23%$1,288.61 (−27.44%)
Jun 22, 2026
18w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$1,908.07 $1,712.18▼ −10.27%▼ −11.43%$1,288.61 (−32.47%)
May 1, 2026
25w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$1,891.95 $1,787.88▼ −5.50%▼ −11.15%$1,288.61 (−31.89%)
Apr 29, 2026
26w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$1,724.14 $1,867.09▲ +8.29%▲ +2.83%$1,288.61 (−25.26%)
Apr 29, 2026
26w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$1,724.14 $1,867.09▲ +8.29%▲ +2.83%$1,288.61 (−25.26%)
Apr 23, 2026
26w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$1,726.12 $1,835.33▲ +6.33%▲ +2.30%$1,288.61 (−25.35%)
Showing 10 of 16

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Thu (11h 5m)

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Report published Oct 22, 2026