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8-K ·Filed Oct 6, 2026

FIGR

Figure Technology Solutions, Inc.
BULLISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed20d 9h ago SEC0001493152-26-046036
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The strong preliminary operating data, particularly the 107% YoY volume growth and rapid scaling of Democratized Prime, suggests accelerating marketplace adoption. However, the S-3ASR shelf filed just 4 days prior raises the question of whether capital markets activity is opportunistic or needed. Watch for full Q3 financial results in November, which will include Kiavi's contribution and GAAP revenue/EPS figures.

DirectionBullish
Confidencemedium
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+5d
FIGR ▼ -9.50% at T+5d
LONG call ✗ call lost -9.50% · α vs SPY -8.52% · entry $27.68 → $25.05
Next anchor: T+20d in 7d
Latest observation: T+12 -9.37% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Oct 6, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-0.29%
call -0.29% · α +0.13%
$27.60
settled 20d ago
T+5d
-9.50%
call -9.50% · α -8.52%
$25.05
settled 14d ago
T+20d
Pending
in 7d
T+60d
Pending
in 2mo

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Figure Technology Solutions reported preliminary Q3 2026 operating data at the high end of its $4.8B-$5.2B guidance range, with Consumer Loan Marketplace Volume of $5.119B (+107% YoY, +20% QoQ). The Democratized Prime platform showed strong growth (Matched Offers +50% QoQ, Borrower Demand +45% QoQ, Available Lender Supply +58% QoQ). However, $YLDS in Circulation declined 9% QoQ to $504M. The results exclude Kiavi's contribution post-September 1 closing, which will be included in full Q3 financial results in November. The filing is a preliminary operating data release, not a full earnings report with GAAP financials, and was filed just 4 days after an S-3ASR shelf registration.

Key Financial Metrics

Guidance
$4.8B-$5.2B (Consumer Loan Marketplace Volume)
maintained

Key Facts

  • Q3 2026 Consumer Loan Marketplace Volume of $5.119B, at high end of $4.8B-$5.2B guidance, up 107% YoY and 20% QoQ
  • September 2026 monthly volume of $1.783B, up 104% YoY and 9% MoM
  • Democratized Prime Matched Offers balance of $588M, up 50% QoQ and from $22M a year ago
  • Borrower Demand of $600M, up 45% QoQ; Available Lender Supply of $825M, up 58% QoQ
  • $YLDS in Circulation of $504M, down 9% QoQ from $556M in Q2 2026
  • Kiavi acquisition closed September 1, 2026; its volumes excluded from these metrics but will be included in full Q3 financial results in November
  • S-3ASR shelf registration filed 4 days prior on October 2, 2026, registering unlimited debt securities

Financial Impact

Q3 Consumer Loan Marketplace Volume of $5.119B represents 107% YoY growth and was at the high end of the $4.8B-$5.2B guidance range

Consumer Loan Marketplace VolumeDemocratized Prime platform metrics$YLDS in Circulation

Risk Factors

  • Preliminary data subject to revision upon completion of financial closing procedures
  • $YLDS in Circulation declined 9% QoQ, potentially indicating slowing stablecoin adoption
  • S-3ASR shelf filed 4 days prior could signal upcoming debt issuance that may dilute or leverage the balance sheet
  • Kiavi integration risk and uncertainty around contribution to financial results

Investment Themes

Traditional Finance

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001493152-26-046036
Exhibit: ex99-1.htm0001493152-26-046036
Document: 0001493152-26-046036-index-headers.html0001493152-26-046036
Document: 0001493152-26-046036-index.html0001493152-26-046036
Document: 0001493152-26-046036.txt0001493152-26-046036
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001493152-26-046036
24 reports for FIGR
Performance horizon
60% Hit rate @ T+1 3 of 5 directional calls Went positive at some point 4 of 5 best @ T+60▲ +29.00%Jun 10, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for FIGR — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 22, 2026
4d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$23.19 $21.91▼ −5.52%▼ −6.23%$21.91 (−5.52%)
Oct 6, 2026
20d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$27.68 $27.60▼ −0.29%▲ +0.13%$21.91 (−20.85%)
Oct 2, 2026
24d ago
S-3ASR
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$27.94 $27.35▼ −2.11%▼ −2.66%$21.91 (−21.58%)
Sep 10, 2026
6w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$36.57 $34.87▼ −4.65%▼ −5.50%$21.91 (−40.09%)
Sep 9, 2026
6w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$36.57 $34.87▼ −4.65%▼ −5.50%$21.91 (−40.09%)
Sep 1, 2026
7w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$33.70 $33.19▼ −1.51%▼ −1.96%$21.91 (−34.99%)
Aug 18, 2026
9w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$36.85 $36.06▼ −2.14%▼ −1.30%$21.91 (−40.54%)
Aug 15, 2026
10w ago
Institutional Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$35.76 $35.52▼ −0.66%▲ +0.02%$21.91 (−38.72%)
Jul 15, 2026
14w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$30.87awaiting T+1—$21.91 (−29.02%)
Jul 7, 2026
15w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$30.65 $32.79▲ +6.98%▲ +6.14%$21.91 (−28.52%)
Showing 10 of 24

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Report published Oct 6, 2026