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EFFECT ·Filed May 27, 2026

FGL

Founder Group Ltd
BEARISH
Impact 6/10
Horizondays Processed5mo ago SEC9999999995-26-001758
IPO/offering going effective
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

With the F-1 now effective, shares can register for resale by the selling shareholder at any time, creating a persistent downward overhang. Monitor for a resale prospectus or Form 424B filing that signals imminent conversion and selling. Given the $2M market cap, even modest selling could amplify downside.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizondays
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
FGL ▼ -89.00% at T+60d
SHORT call ✓ call won +89.00% · α vs SPY +90.88% · entry $2.64 → $0.2903
Entry = T+0 close
May 27, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-20.45%
call +20.45% · α +21.01%
$2.10
settled 5mo ago
T+5d
-26.52%
call +26.52% · α +26.98%
$1.94
settled 5mo ago
T+20d
-45.83%
call +45.83% · α +43.93%
$1.43
settled 4mo ago
T+60d
-89.00%
call +89.00% · α +90.88%
$0.2903
settled 2mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Founder Group Ltd's F-1 registration statement (File 333-293725) was declared effective by the SEC on May 26, 2026. This enables the resale of up to 900,000 Class A Ordinary Shares held by a selling shareholder, issuable upon conversion of a $16.07M convertible note. The effectiveness introduces immediate-share overhang and is bearish given the company's deteriorating fundamentals, including a 39% FY2024 revenue decline and net losses.

Key Facts

  • SEC declared F-1 effective on 2026-05-26
  • Registration covers resale of up to 900,000 Class A Ordinary Shares by a selling shareholder
  • Shares are issuable upon conversion of a $16.07M convertible note
  • Company reported a 39% revenue decline in FY2024 and a net loss
  • First-half 2025 showed an 82% revenue rebound but not sufficient to offset structural risks
  • Material weakness in internal controls and non-compliance with Malaysian construction regulations noted in prior filing

Financial Impact

Potential dilutive overhang from up to 900,000 shares issuable on convertible note conversion, equal to a large fraction of current market cap (~$2M)

dilutionshare countdebt conversion

Risk Factors

  • Immediate overhang from registered resale of convertible-note shares
  • Weak financials (revenue decline, net losses, material weaknesses) amplify dilution impact
  • Low market cap (~$2M) means low liquidity and high volatility on any share sales

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Construction - Special Trade Contractors

Investment Themes

Industrials & Manufacturing

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 3 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
EFFECT Filing (Primary)9999999995-26-001758
Document: 9999999995-26-001758-index.html9999999995-26-001758
Document: 9999999995-26-001758.txt9999999995-26-001758
11 reports for FGL
Performance horizon
71% Hit rate @ T+20 5 of 7 directional calls Went positive at some point 6 of 8 best @ T+60▲ +97.01%Jul 6, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for FGL — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 23, 2026
4d ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$1.81awaiting T+20—$1.55 (−14.36%)
Sep 21, 2026
5w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$4.07 $2.42▲ +40.66%▲ +39.76%$1.55 (+61.92%)
Sep 4, 2026
7w ago
6-K
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$9.30 $4.14▲ +55.48%▲ +56.09%$1.55 (+83.33%)
Aug 26, 2026
8w ago
6-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$19.22 $4.07▲ +78.82%▲ +80.03%$1.55 (+91.94%)
Jul 13, 2026
15w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$1.29 $0.7950▼ −38.37%▼ −41.56%$1.55 (+20.16%)
Jul 6, 2026
16w ago
6-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$1.41 $0.8610▲ +38.94%▲ +42.10%$1.55 (−9.93%)
May 27, 2026
21w ago
EFFECT
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$2.64 $1.43▲ +45.83%▲ +43.93%$1.55 (+41.29%)
Mar 25, 2026
30w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$3.63 $1.81▼ −50.14%▼ −58.00%$1.55 (−57.30%)
Mar 16, 2026
32w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$4.21 $1.71▼ −59.38%▼ −63.16%$1.55 (−63.18%)
Mar 9, 2026
33w ago
EFFECT
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$7.06 $2.51▼ −64.45%▼ −61.64%$1.55 (−78.05%)
Showing 10 of 11

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Report published May 27, 2026