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EFFECT ·Filed Jul 17, 2026

FBLG

FibroBiologics, Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 6/10
Horizondays Processed3mo ago SEC9999999995-26-002341
IPO/offering going effective
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The IPO is now live and will likely price within 1-2 days. Traders should watch for the final pricing and any indication of demand. Given the tiny market cap and pre-revenue status, the stock is highly speculative and prone to extreme volatility post-IPO.

DirectionBearish
Confidencemedium
Horizondays
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
FBLG ▲ +19.77% at T+60d
SHORT call ✗ call lost -19.77% · α vs SPY -15.09% · entry $0.8349 → $1.00
Entry = T+0 close
Jul 17, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-6.46%
call +6.46% · α +6.29%
$0.7810
settled 3mo ago
T+5d
-11.91%
call +11.91% · α +11.22%
$0.7355
settled 3mo ago
T+20d
+26.96%
call -26.96% · α -22.51%
$1.06
settled 2mo ago
T+60d
+19.77%
call -19.77% · α -15.09%
$1.00
settled 14d ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

The SEC declared effective FibroBiologics' S-1 registration statement (File No. 333-297353) on July 16, 2026, enabling the company to proceed with its IPO of up to 1,136,363 shares of common stock and accompanying warrants at an assumed combined price of $4.40 per unit.

Key Facts

  • S-1 registration declared effective on July 16, 2026
  • Offering includes up to 1,136,363 shares of common stock and up to 1,136,363 warrants to purchase common stock
  • Assumed combined public offering price of $4.40 per unit
  • Offering also includes up to 1,136,363 pre-funded warrants and up to 79,545 placement agent warrants
  • H.C. Wainwright & Co. is the exclusive placement agent
  • Offering will terminate on April 7, 2026, unless earlier terminated by the company
  • Company has a $5M market cap and is a pre-revenue clinical-stage biotech

Financial Impact

Up to ~$5M gross proceeds at $4.40/unit before underwriting discounts and expenses, assuming full exercise of warrants. Dilution of up to ~2.3M shares (including warrants) on a current market cap of $5M.

dilutioncashshare count

Risk Factors

  • Extreme dilution from the offering and warrants
  • Pre-revenue clinical-stage biotech with no approved products
  • Very low market cap ($5M) makes stock highly volatile and illiquid
  • Offering termination date is April 7, 2026 — if not completed, the stock may face additional pressure

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Pharmaceutical Preparations
Analyst Consensus
86% bullish (7 analysts)

Investment Themes

Biotech & Drug Discovery

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 3 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
EFFECT Filing (Primary)9999999995-26-002341
Document: 9999999995-26-002341-index.html9999999995-26-002341
Document: 9999999995-26-002341.txt9999999995-26-002341
22 reports for FBLG
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate @ T+5 5 of 5 directional calls Went positive at some point 5 of 7 best @ T+20▲ +33.83%Jun 29, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for FBLG — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 20, 2026
6d ago
EFFECT
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$0.9199awaiting T+5—$0.9221 (−0.24%)
Oct 20, 2026
6d ago
EFFECT
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$0.9199awaiting T+5—$0.9221 (−0.24%)
Oct 8, 2026
17d ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$1.13 $0.9710▲ +14.07%▲ +12.10%$0.9221 (+18.40%)
Sep 15, 2026
5w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$1.44 $1.43▼ −0.69%▼ −1.51%$0.9221 (−35.97%)
Aug 24, 2026
9w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$1.35 $1.72▲ +27.41%▲ +26.94%$0.9221 (−31.70%)
Jul 31, 2026
12w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$0.7910 $0.9800▲ +23.89%▲ +21.87%$0.9221 (+16.57%)
Jul 17, 2026
14w ago
EFFECT
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.8349 $0.7355▲ +11.91%▲ +11.22%$0.9221 (−10.44%)
Jul 9, 2026
15w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$0.8610 $0.8398▼ −2.46%▼ −2.33%$0.9221 (+7.10%)
Jun 29, 2026
16w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$0.9477 $0.8687▲ +8.34%▲ +8.94%$0.9221 (+2.70%)
May 11, 2026
24w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$0.9900 $1.09▲ +10.10%▲ +10.19%$0.9221 (−6.86%)
Showing 10 of 22

US Market Status

Market Open — Closes in 5h 19m

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Report published Jul 17, 2026