SecBot SecBot
8-K ·Filed Oct 2, 2026

F

FORD MOTOR CO
NEUTRAL
Impact 4/10
Horizonweeks Processed24d 12h ago SEC0000037996-26-000184
8-K context-dependent: Items 7.01, 8.01
Actionable Insight • Neutral

Monitor next quarterly filing (10-Q or 8-K) for any revision to full-year 2026 adjusted EBIT guidance, as the F-150 supplier issue's actual cost may become clearer. The maintained guidance range suggests management sees no need for a near-term update.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+5d
F ▲ +0.58% at T+5d
NEUTRAL call +0.58% · α vs SPY -0.58% · entry $12.10 → $12.17
Next anchor: T+20d in 3d
Latest observation: T+15 -4.81% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Oct 2, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+0.41%
call +0.41% · α -0.26%
$12.15
settled 22d ago
T+5d
+0.58%
call +0.58% · α -0.58%
$12.17
settled 18d ago
T+20d
Pending
in 3d
T+60d
Pending
in 2mo

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Ford reported Q3 2026 U.S. sales of 509,764 vehicles, down 6.6% YoY due to the planned phase-out of Escape and Corsair, but adjusted for those models, total volume was essentially flat. A short-term supplier issue disrupted F-150 production at the end of September, but Ford states the financial impact is containable within its existing full-year 2026 adjusted EBIT guidance of $10.0 billion to $11.0 billion. The filing is a routine quarterly sales update with no material financial surprises.

Key Facts

  • Q3 2026 total sales of 509,764 vehicles, down 6.6% YoY reflecting planned phase-out of Escape and Corsair
  • Adjusted for Escape and Corsair, total vehicle sales volume essentially unchanged vs industry decline of ~1%
  • Retail share (ex-Escape/Corsair) increased ~0.4 percentage points YoY to 12.1%
  • F-Series September sales rose 2.4%; Super Duty Q3 production of 110,275 trucks, up 4.4%, best quarterly result in 19 years
  • Short-term supplier issue (unrelated to aluminum) affected F-150 production at end of September; financial impact contained within full-year 2026 adjusted EBIT guidance of $10.0B-$11.0B
  • Active paid software subscriptions exceeded 1.7 million, up >40% YoY
  • Full-year 2026 adjusted EBIT guidance maintained at $10.0 billion to $11.0 billion

Financial Impact

No material financial impact disclosed; F-150 production disruption contained within existing guidance range of $10.0B-$11.0B adjusted EBIT

revenueebit

Risk Factors

  • F-150 production disruption could prove larger than currently estimated, potentially pressuring Q4 results
  • Planned phase-out of Escape and Corsair continues to weigh on reported total sales volume

Investment Themes

Industrials & Manufacturing

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 5 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0000037996-26-000184
Exhibit: exhibit99q32026salesrele.htm0000037996-26-000184
Document: 0000037996-26-000184-index-headers.html0000037996-26-000184
Document: 0000037996-26-000184-index.html0000037996-26-000184
Document: 0000037996-26-000184.txt0000037996-26-000184
35 reports for F
Performance horizon
75% Hit rate @ T+20 3 of 4 directional calls Went positive at some point 4 of 5 best @ T+20▲ +12.88%Sep 10, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for F — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 23, 2026
3d ago
Institutional Cluster
BULLISH ★ 4/10
$11.60awaiting T+20—$11.58 (−0.17%)
Oct 23, 2026
4d ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
—awaiting T+20——
Oct 15, 2026
12d ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$12.43awaiting T+20—$11.58 (−6.84%)
Oct 9, 2026
18d ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$12.00awaiting T+20—$11.58 (−3.50%)
Oct 2, 2026
24d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$12.10awaiting T+20—$11.58 (−4.30%)
Sep 17, 2026
5w ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$13.21 $12.43▼ −5.90%▼ −6.11%$11.58 (−12.34%)
Sep 15, 2026
6w ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$13.35 $12.05▼ −9.74%▼ −11.80%$11.58 (−13.26%)
Sep 10, 2026
6w ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$13.97 $12.17▼ −12.88%▼ −14.75%$11.58 (−17.11%)
Sep 10, 2026
6w ago
Court Ruling
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$13.97 $12.17▲ +12.88%▲ +14.75%$11.58 (+17.11%)
Sep 3, 2026
7w ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$14.62 $12.15▼ −16.89%▼ −17.50%$11.58 (−20.79%)
Showing 10 of 35

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Wed (11h 56m)

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Report published Oct 2, 2026