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PRESS-RELEASE ·Filed May 11, 2026

EXPI

eXp World Holdings, Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 7/10
Horizondays Processed5mo ago WireGlobeNewswire
Press release · Earnings
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The EPS miss and declining operating cash flow ($20.6M vs $39.8M) are concerning despite revenue growth. Watch for Q2 2026 results to see if the guided revenue ramp materializes; the NextHome acquisition integration and agent retention trends (aNPS dropped to 67 from 78) are key. Historical bearish calls on EXPI have moved the stock -6% to -19%, suggesting downside risk near-term.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizondays
Latest settled — T+20d ⚠ clustered
EXPI ▼ -19.87% at T+20d
SHORT call ✓ call won +19.87% · α vs SPY +19.56% · entry $6.04 → $4.84
Next anchor: T+60d due 3mo ago
Entry = T+0 close
May 11, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-13.66%
call +13.66% · α +13.52%
$5.22
settled 6mo ago
T+5d
-21.77%
call +21.77% · α +21.69%
$4.73
settled 5mo ago
T+20d
-19.87%
call +19.87% · α +19.56%
$4.84
settled 5mo ago
T+60d
Pending
due 3mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

eXp World Holdings reported Q1 2026 revenue of $1.0B (+5% YoY) and a GAAP net loss of $(5.1M) / $(0.03) per share, which missed the single-analyst consensus estimate of $0.01 EPS. The company guided Q2 2026 revenue of $1.36B-$1.45B and full-year 2026 revenue of $4.85B-$5.15B, with Adjusted EBITDA improving 88% YoY to $4.1M.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
−$0.03
est $0.01 · -400.0%
Revenue
$1.0B
est $971.3M · +3.5% · +5.3% YoY
Rating
miss
Guidance
$1.36B-$1.45B (Q2); $4.85B-$5.15B (FY)
maintained
Free Cash Flow
$18.1M
Gross Margin
7.5%

Key Facts

  • Q1 2026 revenue $1.0B (+5% YoY from $954.9M)
  • GAAP net loss $(5.1M) vs $(11.0M) loss in Q1 2025
  • GAAP EPS $(0.03) vs consensus $0.01 (900% miss)
  • Adjusted EBITDA $4.1M, up 88% YoY from $2.2M
  • Q2 2026 revenue guidance $1.36B-$1.45B
  • Full-year 2026 revenue guidance $4.85B-$5.15B
  • Cash and equivalents $122.1M; operating cash flow $20.6M (down from $39.8M)
  • Dividend maintained at $0.05/share quarterly
  • Agent count 82,332 (+1% YoY); transaction volume $40.7B (+5% YoY)
  • NextHome acquisition completed with cash on hand, zero debt

Financial Impact

EPS miss of $(0.03) vs $0.01 consensus; revenue in line with expectations; guidance implies 36-45% sequential revenue growth in Q2

epsrevenueoperating cash flowadjusted ebitda

Risk Factors

  • EPS miss of 900% vs consensus signals earnings weakness
  • Operating cash flow halved YoY to $20.6M
  • Agent NPS declined from 78 to 67, indicating potential retention issues
  • Full-year guidance implies only ~5% revenue growth at midpoint vs Q1 run rate
  • Litigation contingency of $17M remains on balance sheet

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Real Estate Agents & Managers (For Others)
Analyst Consensus
78% bullish (9 analysts)

Investment Themes

Real Estate

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 press release from GlobeNewswire.

DocumentAccession Number
PRESS-RELEASE Data (Synthetic)press-3291790
11 reports for EXPI
Performance horizon
Filters
Rows
Reports for EXPI — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 8, 2026
19d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
—awaiting T+20——
May 11, 2026
24w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$5.22 $4.70▼ −9.88%▼ −8.15%—
May 11, 2026
24w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$6.04 $4.84▲ +19.87%▲ +19.56%—
May 11, 2026
24w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 5/10
$6.04 $4.84▼ −19.87%▼ −19.56%—
May 7, 2026
24w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$6.74 $4.78▼ −29.15%▼ −32.29%—
May 1, 2026
25w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$6.44awaiting T+20——
May 1, 2026
25w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$6.44 $4.92▼ −23.60%▼ −28.89%—
Apr 24, 2026
26w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$6.51 $5.05▼ −22.43%▼ −27.38%—
Apr 24, 2026
26w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$6.45 $5.01▼ −22.33%▼ −26.35%—
Apr 20, 2026
27w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$6.49 $4.73▼ −27.20%▼ −32.11%—
Showing 10 of 11

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Thu (10h 21m)

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Report published May 11, 2026