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8-K ·Filed Aug 10, 2026

EXOD

Exodus Movement, Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed2mo ago SEC0001628280-26-055258
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The core crypto wallet business is contracting (MAUs, swap volumes down), while the newly acquired payments business is adding significant cost without yet showing profitability. Monitor the Q3 2026 earnings for evidence of cost stabilization and any early revenue synergies from the Monavate/Baanx deal; the stock will likely remain under pressure until the company demonstrates a path back to profitability.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d
EXOD ▲ +26.25% at T+20d
SHORT call ✗ call lost -26.25% · α vs SPY -27.31% · entry $4.99 → $6.30
Next anchor: T+60d in 7d
Latest observation: T+52 -58.44% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Aug 10, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+3.21%
call -3.21% · α -2.96%
$5.15
settled 3mo ago
T+5d
+26.85%
call -26.85% · α -27.26%
$6.33
settled 2mo ago
T+20d
+26.25%
call -26.25% · α -27.31%
$6.30
settled 7w ago
T+60d
Pending
in 7d

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Exodus Movement reported Q2 2026 revenue of $26.2M (+2% YoY), but swung to a net loss of $18.6M from a $37.7M profit a year ago, driven by a 138% surge in G&A expenses from the Monavate/Baanx acquisition. Core user metrics (MAUs, QFUs, swap volume) all declined sequentially, and Adjusted EBITDA loss widened to $6.7M from $2.3M. The acquisition is a strategic pivot but is currently destroying earnings and user engagement, making this a bearish report despite the top-line growth narrative.

Key Financial Metrics

Revenue
$26.2M
est $30.1M · -13.0% · +1.6% YoY

Key Facts

  • Q2 2026 revenue was $26.2M, up 2% from $25.8M in Q2 2025.
  • Net loss was $18.6M in Q2 2026 vs net income of $37.7M in Q2 2025, a 149% decline.
  • General and administrative expenses surged 138% to $44.7M from $18.8M, driven by the Monavate/Baanx acquisition.
  • Adjusted EBITDA loss widened to $6.7M from a $2.3M loss in the prior year.
  • Monthly Active Users (MAUs) fell 6.7% sequentially to 1.4M; Quarterly Funded Users (QFUs) fell 7.1% to 1.3M.
  • Total swap volume declined 8.3% sequentially to $1.1B.
  • Payment processing expenses of $4.4M were a new line item from the acquired entities.
  • No guidance was provided in the release.

Financial Impact

Net income swung from +$37.7M to -$18.6M YoY, a $56.3M deterioration. G&A expenses rose $25.9M YoY.

net incomeadjusted EBITDAgeneral and administrative expensesmonthly active usersswap volume

Risk Factors

  • Continued decline in core user metrics (MAUs, QFUs) indicates waning demand for the self-custodial wallet.
  • The Monavate/Baanx acquisition is causing a severe cost overhang; if revenue synergies fail to materialize, the company may face a liquidity crunch.
  • No forward guidance provided, creating uncertainty around near-term financial performance.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Finance Services
Analyst Consensus
92% bullish (12 analysts)

Investment Themes

Traditional Finance

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001628280-26-055258
Exhibit: exod-20260810.htm0001628280-26-055258
Document: 0001628280-26-055258-index-headers.html0001628280-26-055258
Document: 0001628280-26-055258-index.html0001628280-26-055258
Document: 0001628280-26-055258.txt0001628280-26-055258
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001628280-26-055258
19 reports for EXOD
Performance horizon
80% Hit rate @ T+60 4 of 5 directional calls Went positive at some point 5 of 5 best @ T+60▲ +37.65%Mar 11, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for EXOD — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 30, 2026
27d ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$6.90awaiting T+60—$5.41 (−21.59%)
Aug 10, 2026
11w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$4.99awaiting T+60—$5.41 (−8.42%)
Jul 27, 2026
13w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$5.38awaiting T+60—$5.41 (+0.56%)
Jul 17, 2026
14w ago
Press Release
MIXED ★ 6/10
$4.64 $6.03▲ +29.96%▲ +25.12%$5.41 (+16.59%)
May 11, 2026
24w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$6.97 $5.33▲ +23.53%▲ +27.91%$5.41 (+22.38%)
May 6, 2026
24w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$8.18 $5.37▼ −34.35%▼ −36.41%$5.41 (−33.86%)
May 5, 2026
24w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 6/10
$8.50 $5.34▼ −37.18%▼ −39.92%$5.41 (−36.35%)
May 5, 2026
24w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$8.50 $5.34▼ −37.18%▼ −39.92%$5.41 (−36.35%)
May 1, 2026
25w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$7.92 $5.09▼ −35.73%▼ −37.59%$5.41 (−31.69%)
May 1, 2026
25w ago
Press Release
MIXED ★ 6/10
$7.92 $5.09▼ −35.73%▼ −37.59%$5.41 (−31.69%)
Showing 10 of 19

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Wed (11h 58m)

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Report published Aug 10, 2026