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Institutional Cluster

EXE

EXPAND ENERGY Corp
BEARISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonweeks Processed8mo ago
Institutional cluster: 1 buyers, 3 sellers (bearish)
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The coordinated sell-off by mega-passive and quant funds suggests broad-based de-risking or sector rotation out of energy equities. Traders should watch for further downside pressure, especially if oil/gas prices weaken or earnings disappoint.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
EXE ▼ -12.37% at T+60d
SHORT call ✓ call won +12.37% · α vs SPY +21.70% · entry $107.90 → $94.55
Entry = T+0 close
Feb 28, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-0.46%
call +0.46% · α -0.45%
$107.40
settled 8mo ago
T+5d
-0.03%
call +0.03% · α -1.18%
$107.87
settled 8mo ago
T+20d
+3.29%
call -3.29% · α -11.23%
$111.45
settled 7mo ago
T+60d
-12.37%
call +12.37% · α +21.70%
$94.55
settled 5mo ago

Executive Summary

Three major institutional investors — Fidelity, BofA, and Two Sigma — significantly trimmed their positions in Expand Energy (EXE) during Q4 2025, collectively selling down $502.7M in value, while only Wells Fargo modestly added $16.5M. The overwhelming net selling pressure from large passive and quant funds signals declining institutional conviction.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
distributing
Buy Value
$68.2M
Sell Value
$502.7M
Net Flow
-$434.5M

Institutional Positions

Net institutional flow: -$434.5M

▲ Buyers (1)

InstitutionActionChangePosition ValueValue Δ
Wells FargoADD+26.9%$68.2M$16.5M

▼ Sellers (3)

InstitutionActionChangePrev ValueValue Δ
BofATRIM66.4%$553.4M-$360.5M
FidelityTRIM32.8%$340.1M-$102.7M
Two SigmaTRIM27.1%$162.8M-$39.5M

Key Facts

  • Fidelity reduced EXE holdings by 32.8% ($102.7M in value)
  • BofA slashed position by 66.4%, exiting $360.5M in value — the largest single reduction
  • Two Sigma (quant fund) trimmed 27.1% of its stake ($39.5M in value)
  • Only Wells Fargo increased exposure, adding $16.5M (+26.9%)
  • Net institutional outflow: $486.2M after accounting for buying

Financial Impact

3 institutions reduced EXE holdings by $502.7M while 1 added $16.5M, resulting in net outflow of $486.2M

institutional ownershipfloat pressureinvestor sentiment

Risk Factors

  • Continued outflows if energy sector underperforms
  • Downside risk from potential dividend cut or capex increase
  • Limited buying support given only one passive buyer adding modestly

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq

Investment Themes

Traditional Energy

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 institutional 13F filing from SEC EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
INST-CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)inst-cluster-EXE-2025-Q4
17 reports for EXE
Performance horizon
40% Hit rate @ T+60 2 of 5 directional calls Went positive at some point 3 of 5 best @ T+20▲ +6.43%Jul 27, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for EXE — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 20, 2026
5d ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 3/10
$92.83awaiting T+60——
Oct 19, 2026
7d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$92.92awaiting T+60——
Oct 13, 2026
12d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$91.11awaiting T+60——
Oct 6, 2026
19d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$88.12awaiting T+60——
Jul 30, 2026
12w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$92.42 $93.23▲ +0.88%▼ −1.59%—
Jul 27, 2026
13w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$90.51 $92.67▲ +2.39%▼ −1.67%—
Jun 12, 2026
19w ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 5/10
$88.78 $98.19▲ +10.60%▲ +7.34%—
Jun 4, 2026
20w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$92.07 $98.16▲ +6.61%▲ +2.61%—
Jun 4, 2026
20w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$92.07 $98.16▲ +6.61%▲ +2.61%—
Apr 28, 2026
25w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$100.99 $91.52▼ −9.38%▼ −13.49%—
Showing 10 of 17

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Report published Feb 28, 2026