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PRESS-RELEASE ·Filed May 8, 2026

ESNT

Essent Group
NEUTRAL
Impact 4/10
Horizonweeks Processed5mo ago WireGlobeNewswire
Press release · Dividend
Actionable Insight • Neutral

Essent's Q1 results show stable but slightly weaker core profitability as loss costs rose. The dividend increase is modest and in line with capital return policy. Watch for further loss ratio deterioration in coming quarters given higher new defaults (11,100 vs 9,664 a year ago) and the 2.54% default rate. The strong PMIERs sufficiency (174%) supports continued buybacks, but the elevated loss provision warrants monitoring.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
ESNT ▲ +5.61% at T+60d
NEUTRAL call +5.61% · α vs SPY +0.77% · entry $63.13 → $66.67
Entry = T+0 close
May 8, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-2.63%
call -2.63% · α -2.86%
$61.47
settled 6mo ago
T+5d
-4.72%
call -4.72% · α -6.18%
$60.15
settled 6mo ago
T+20d
-9.01%
call -9.01% · α -9.04%
$57.44
settled 5mo ago
T+60d
+5.61%
call +5.61% · α +0.77%
$66.67
settled 3mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Essent Group reported Q1 2026 net income of $171.8M ($1.82 diluted EPS), down slightly from $175.4M ($1.69 diluted EPS) in Q1 2025, as higher net premiums earned and investment income were offset by a larger provision for losses and LAE. The Board declared a $0.35 quarterly dividend, payable June 10, 2026. Mortgage insurance new business written rose 11.4% YoY to $11.1B, but the combined ratio in the core Mortgage Insurance segment ticked up to 34.8% from 32.9% a year ago, reflecting higher loss costs.

Key Financial Metrics

Revenue
$336.1M
+5.8% YoY
EPS
$1.82

Key Facts

  • Q1 2026 net income of $171.8M vs $175.4M in Q1 2025, a decline of 2.1%
  • Diluted EPS of $1.82 vs $1.69 in Q1 2025, up 7.7% due to share buybacks reducing share count
  • Quarterly dividend declared at $0.35 per share, payable June 10, 2026
  • Mortgage insurance new insurance written of $11.1B, up from $9.9B in Q1 2025 (+11.4%)
  • Mortgage insurance in force of $247.9B, up from $244.7B a year ago
  • Provision for losses and LAE increased to $48.2M from $31.3M in Q1 2025
  • Combined ratio in Mortgage Insurance segment was 34.8% vs 32.9% in Q1 2025
  • Year-to-date through April 30, 2026, repurchased ~3.5M shares for over $214M
  • PMIERs sufficiency ratio of 174%, down from 177% at year-end 2025 but still strong

Financial Impact

Net income declined $3.6M (-2.1%) YoY; EPS increased $0.13 (+7.7%) due to share count reduction; dividend unchanged at $0.35/quarter

net incomeepsnet premiums earnedprovision for lossescombined ratio

Risk Factors

  • Rising loss provision and combined ratio could pressure earnings if credit trends worsen
  • Higher interest rates may reduce mortgage origination volumes and persistency
  • Regulatory changes at Fannie Mae/Freddie Mac could impact business model
  • Share buyback pace may slow if capital needs increase

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Surety Insurance
Analyst Consensus
54% bullish (13 analysts)

Investment Themes

Traditional Finance

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 press release from GlobeNewswire.

DocumentAccession Number
PRESS-RELEASE Data (Synthetic)press-3290959
15 reports for ESNT
Performance horizon
75% Hit rate @ T+20 3 of 4 directional calls Went positive at some point 4 of 4 best @ T+20▲ +8.79%Apr 28, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for ESNT — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 17, 2026
5w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 4/10
$67.19 $64.70▲ +3.71%▲ +3.91%$66.31 (+1.31%)
Sep 14, 2026
6w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$68.80 $61.68▼ −10.35%▼ −12.61%$66.31 (−3.62%)
Sep 14, 2026
6w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$68.80 $61.68▼ −10.35%▼ −12.61%$66.31 (−3.62%)
Aug 25, 2026
9w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 4/10
$69.59 $64.26▲ +7.66%▲ +7.80%$66.31 (+4.71%)
Aug 24, 2026
9w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$68.47 $65.70▼ −4.05%▼ −5.36%$66.31 (−3.15%)
Aug 20, 2026
9w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$68.07 $66.47▼ −2.35%▼ −3.37%$66.31 (−2.59%)
Aug 7, 2026
11w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$68.72 $69.18▲ +0.67%▲ +1.07%$66.31 (−3.51%)
Jul 20, 2026
14w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$65.48 $69.58▲ +6.26%▲ +3.70%$66.31 (+1.27%)
Jul 2, 2026
16w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$64.53 $66.73▼ −3.41%▼ −2.56%$66.31 (−2.76%)
Jun 26, 2026
17w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$64.83 $65.75▲ +1.42%▲ +1.70%$66.31 (+2.28%)
Showing 10 of 15

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Wed (15h 40m)

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Report published May 8, 2026