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8-K ·Filed May 8, 2026

ESNT

Essent Group Ltd.
NEUTRAL
Impact 4/10
Horizondays Processed5mo ago SEC0001448893-26-000013
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight • Neutral

The EPS beat was entirely driven by aggressive buyback math (9.1% fewer shares), not operating improvement — net income actually declined 2.1% YoY. The 54% surge in loss provisions and the Reinsurance segment's loss ratio spike to 33.9% (from near zero) are watch items. Monitor the cure rate trajectory (30% in Q1 vs 89% a year ago) and the Reinsurance segment's underwriting discipline in coming quarters.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencehigh
Horizondays
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
ESNT ▲ +5.61% at T+60d
NEUTRAL call +5.61% · α vs SPY +0.77% · entry $63.13 → $66.67
Entry = T+0 close
May 8, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-2.63%
call -2.63% · α -2.86%
$61.47
settled 6mo ago
T+5d
-4.72%
call -4.72% · α -6.18%
$60.15
settled 6mo ago
T+20d
-9.01%
call -9.01% · α -9.04%
$57.44
settled 5mo ago
T+60d
+5.61%
call +5.61% · α +0.77%
$66.67
settled 3mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Essent Group Ltd. reported Q1 2026 diluted EPS of $1.82, beating the $1.75 consensus estimate by 4.0%, on total revenues of $336.1M, which exceeded the $323.9M consensus by 3.8%. Net income was $171.8M, down slightly from $175.4M a year ago, but the EPS beat was driven by a 9.1% reduction in diluted share count from aggressive buybacks. The mortgage insurance combined ratio improved to 34.8% from 32.9% a year ago, though the Reinsurance segment saw a spike in loss ratio to 33.9% from near zero.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$1.82
est $1.75 · +4.0%
Revenue
$336.1M
est $323.9M · +3.8% · +5.8% YoY
Rating
in line

Key Facts

  • Q1 2026 diluted EPS of $1.82 vs consensus $1.75 (beat by 4.0%)
  • Total revenues of $336.1M vs consensus $323.9M (beat by 3.8%)
  • Net income of $171.8M vs $175.4M in Q1 2025 (-2.1% YoY)
  • Net premiums earned rose 5.8% YoY to $260.1M
  • Provision for losses and LAE surged 54.1% YoY to $48.2M
  • Diluted share count fell 9.1% YoY to 94.6M from 103.9M
  • Book value per share rose to $61.20 from $60.31 at Dec 2025
  • Quarterly dividend maintained at $0.35/share
  • Year-to-date through April 30, repurchased ~3.5M shares for $214M+
  • Mortgage insurance combined ratio improved to 34.8% from 32.9% YoY

Financial Impact

EPS beat of $0.07 vs consensus on revenue beat of $12.2M; net income down $3.6M YoY

epsrevenuenet incomebook valueshare count

Risk Factors

  • Provision for losses surged 54% YoY to $48.2M, signaling credit deterioration
  • Reinsurance segment loss ratio jumped to 33.9% from near zero a year ago
  • Cure rate on defaults collapsed to 30% from 89% a year ago, indicating worsening credit quality
  • Net income declined 2.1% YoY despite revenue growth — operating leverage is negative
  • Aggressive buybacks ($214M+ YTD) reduce capital flexibility

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Surety Insurance
Analyst Consensus
54% bullish (13 analysts)

Investment Themes

Traditional Finance

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001448893-26-000013
Document: esnt-20260508.htm0001448893-26-000013
Document: 0001448893-26-000013-index-headers.html0001448893-26-000013
Document: 0001448893-26-000013-index.html0001448893-26-000013
Document: 0001448893-26-000013.txt0001448893-26-000013
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001448893-26-000013
15 reports for ESNT
Performance horizon
75% Hit rate @ T+20 3 of 4 directional calls Went positive at some point 4 of 4 best @ T+20▲ +8.79%Apr 28, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for ESNT — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 17, 2026
5w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 4/10
$67.19 $64.70▲ +3.71%▲ +3.91%$66.31 (+1.31%)
Sep 14, 2026
6w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$68.80 $61.68▼ −10.35%▼ −12.61%$66.31 (−3.62%)
Sep 14, 2026
6w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$68.80 $61.68▼ −10.35%▼ −12.61%$66.31 (−3.62%)
Aug 25, 2026
9w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 4/10
$69.59 $64.26▲ +7.66%▲ +7.80%$66.31 (+4.71%)
Aug 24, 2026
9w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$68.47 $65.70▼ −4.05%▼ −5.36%$66.31 (−3.15%)
Aug 20, 2026
9w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$68.07 $66.47▼ −2.35%▼ −3.37%$66.31 (−2.59%)
Aug 7, 2026
11w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$68.72 $69.18▲ +0.67%▲ +1.07%$66.31 (−3.51%)
Jul 20, 2026
14w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$65.48 $69.58▲ +6.26%▲ +3.70%$66.31 (+1.27%)
Jul 2, 2026
16w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$64.53 $66.73▼ −3.41%▼ −2.56%$66.31 (−2.76%)
Jun 26, 2026
17w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$64.83 $65.75▲ +1.42%▲ +1.70%$66.31 (+2.28%)
Showing 10 of 15

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Wed (16h 37m)

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Report published May 8, 2026