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Institutional Cluster

DRD

DRDGOLD LTD
BEARISH
Impact 5/10
Horizonweeks Processed2mo ago
Institutional cluster: 1 buyers, 5 sellers (bearish)
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The cluster is dominated by a single large exit (Amundi) and several trims, with no insider buying to offset the signal. Monitor for further institutional distribution or a catalyst (e.g., gold price move, operational update) that could reverse sentiment.

DirectionBearish
Confidencemedium
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d
DRD ▲ +12.74% at T+20d
SHORT call ✗ call lost -12.74% · α vs SPY -14.49% · entry $23.78 → $26.81
Next anchor: T+60d in 10d
Latest observation: T+50 -33.70% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Aug 12, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+1.72%
call -1.72% · α -1.92%
$24.19
settled 2mo ago
T+5d
+24.10%
call -24.10% · α -26.06%
$29.51
settled 2mo ago
T+20d
+12.74%
call -12.74% · α -14.49%
$26.81
settled 7w ago
T+60d
Pending
in 10d

Executive Summary

DRDGOLD LTD (DRD) saw a bearish institutional cluster in Q2 2026, with 5 sellers (including a full exit by Amundi worth $14.9M) overwhelming 1 small buyer. The net selling pressure of ~$15.6M, driven by a single large exit, signals a loss of institutional conviction in the gold miner despite a modest $2.1B market cap. The lack of any insider buying corroboration weakens the bullish case and aligns with the predominantly negative analyst consensus (13% bullish).

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
distributing
Buy Value
$59.0K
Sell Value
$15.6M
Net Flow
-$15.5M

Institutional Positions

Net institutional flow: -$15.5M

▲ Buyers (1)

InstitutionActionChangePosition ValueValue Δ
National Bank Of CanadaDOUBLED+172.3%$59.0K$29.0K

▼ Sellers (5)

InstitutionActionChangePrev ValueValue Δ
JPMorganNEAR_EXIT-97.1%$448.0K-$438.4K
Police & Firemen's Retirement System Of NewTRIM-29.8%$307.0K-$150.5K
AssetmarkTRIM-31.1%$9.0K-$4.7K
Russell Investments GroupTRIM-51%$99.0K-$62.1K
AmundiEXIT-100%$14.9M-$14.9M

Key Facts

  • 5 institutional sellers vs 1 buyer in Q2 2026
  • Amundi fully exited a $14.9M position (507,710 shares)
  • JPMorgan reduced its stake by 97.1%, leaving only 464 shares
  • Net institutional selling totaled approximately $15.6M
  • No open-market insider buying detected in the window (confluence score 6/100)

Financial Impact

5 institutions sold a net ~$15.6M in DRD shares, led by Amundi's full exit of $14.9M; 1 buyer added only $29K

institutional ownershipfloat

Risk Factors

  • Amundi's exit may be a portfolio rebalance, not a fundamental thesis break
  • Gold price volatility could rapidly shift sentiment and reverse the selling pattern
  • 13F data is 45 days stale; the cluster may have already been unwound

Market Snapshot

Exchange
OTC
Sector
Gold and Silver Ores
Analyst Consensus
13% bullish (8 analysts)

Investment Themes

Materials & Mining

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 institutional 13F filing from SEC EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
INST-CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)inst-cluster-DRD-2026-Q2
12 reports for DRD
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate @ T+5 3 of 3 directional calls Went positive at some point 3 of 4 best @ T+5▲ +7.76%Aug 19, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for DRD — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 22, 2026
4d ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$24.35awaiting T+5——
Oct 21, 2026
5d ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$25.91awaiting T+5——
Oct 2, 2026
24d ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$24.30 $24.87▲ +2.35%▲ +1.19%—
Oct 2, 2026
24d ago
20-F
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$24.30 $24.87▲ +2.35%▲ +1.19%—
Sep 30, 2026
26d ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$24.25 $23.70▼ −2.27%▼ −4.18%—
Sep 3, 2026
7w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$27.80 $25.59▼ −7.96%▼ −6.75%—
Sep 1, 2026
7w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$27.71 $28.11▲ +1.44%▲ +1.36%—
Aug 27, 2026
8w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$30.03 $29.61▼ −1.40%▼ −1.67%—
Aug 19, 2026
9w ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$27.83 $29.99▲ +7.76%▲ +8.15%—
Aug 12, 2026
10w ago
Institutional Cluster
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$23.78 $29.51▼ −24.10%▼ −26.06%—
Showing 10 of 12

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Tue (< 1m)

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Report published Aug 12, 2026