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8-K ·Filed Jul 31, 2026

DFLI

Dragonfly Energy Holdings Corp.
MIXED
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed2mo ago SEC0001493152-26-035543
Killer combo: Material agreement + unregistered equity (likely PIPE/convertible)
Actionable Insight ◆ Mixed

Monitor Q3/Q4 2026 earnings for evidence of revenue contribution and Adjusted EBITDA accretion. The PIK interest and extended covenants provide near-term liquidity relief but signal ongoing financial strain.

DirectionMixed
Confidencemedium
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
DFLI ▼ -75.53% at T+60d
NEUTRAL call -75.53% · α vs SPY -77.99% · entry $1.17 → $0.2863
Entry = T+0 close
Jul 31, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+0.43%
call +0.43% · α -1.00%
$1.18
settled 3mo ago
T+5d
+12.82%
call +12.82% · α +9.31%
$1.32
settled 3mo ago
T+20d
-5.13%
call -5.13% · α -8.12%
$1.11
settled 2mo ago
T+60d
-75.53%
call -75.53% · α -77.99%
$0.2863
settled yesterday

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Dragonfly Energy completed the acquisition of substantially all operating assets of the Dakota Lithium brand for $4.0 million ($1M cash + 1.5M shares of DFLI common stock valued at $2.00/share). The acquired brand generated ~$12M in net revenue in 2025 but faced working-capital constraints. Concurrently, the company amended its existing term loan to allow PIK interest through Dec 2026, extend covenant testing, and lower minimum liquidity to $4M-$5M. The deal is expected to be accretive to Adjusted EBITDA starting Q4 2026, but the company's $16M market cap and history of negative stock reactions to prior filings suggest limited near-term upside.

Key Financial Metrics

Deal Value
$4.0M
Deal Type
acquisition
Offering Size
$3.0M

Key Facts

  • Acquired Dakota Lithium brand assets for $4.0M total consideration ($1M cash + 1.5M shares of DFLI common stock at $2.00/share).
  • Dakota Lithium generated approximately $12 million in net revenue in 2025, but was constrained by working-capital and inventory issues.
  • The 1.5M shares issued represent ~9.4% dilution based on a $16M market cap and $2.00/share price.
  • Lenders amended the term loan to allow 14% PIK interest through Dec 31, 2026, extending covenant testing to Sep 2027 and lowering minimum liquidity to $4M-$5M.
  • The acquisition is expected to begin contributing meaningful revenue and be accretive to Adjusted EBITDA in Q4 2026.
  • The shares issued are subject to a 12-month contractual lock-up.
  • The company's market cap is $16M, and analyst consensus is 88% bullish (2 Strong Buy, 5 Buy, 1 Hold).

Financial Impact

Total deal value $4.0M; $1M cash outflow + 1.5M shares (~9.4% dilution at $2.00/share). Acquired brand had ~$12M revenue in 2025. Lender amendments preserve ~$1M near-term liquidity via PIK interest.

revenuedilutionliquiditydebt

Risk Factors

  • Integration risk: Dakota Lithium's prior working-capital constraints may persist under Dragonfly's ownership.
  • Dilution risk: 1.5M shares (~9.4% of outstanding) issued at a premium to recent trading levels but still dilutive.
  • Liquidity risk: Minimum cash covenant of $4M-$5M is tight for a $16M market-cap company with negative historical stock momentum.
  • Execution risk: Achieving positive Adjusted EBITDA by Q4 2026 is contingent on restoring product availability and customer relationships.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Miscellaneous Electrical Machinery, Equipment & Supplies
Analyst Consensus
88% bullish (8 analysts)

Investment Themes

Industrials & Manufacturing

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 8 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001493152-26-035543
Exhibit: ex10-2.htm0001493152-26-035543
Exhibit: ex10-3.htm0001493152-26-035543
Exhibit: ex99-1.htm0001493152-26-035543
Document: form8-k.htm0001493152-26-035543
Document: 0001493152-26-035543-index-headers.html0001493152-26-035543
Document: 0001493152-26-035543-index.html0001493152-26-035543
Document: 0001493152-26-035543.txt0001493152-26-035543
10 reports for DFLI
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate @ T+5 3 of 3 directional calls Went positive at some point 3 of 3 best @ T+20▲ +66.00%Sep 25, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for DFLI — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 23, 2026
3d ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$2.42awaiting T+5—$2.23 (+7.85%)
Oct 8, 2026
19d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$3.92 $2.92▼ −25.51%▼ −25.23%$2.23 (−43.11%)
Oct 2, 2026
24d ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$5.68 $3.54▲ +37.68%▲ +38.10%$2.23 (+60.74%)
Sep 25, 2026
4w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$6.84 $5.68▲ +16.96%▲ +18.16%$2.23 (+67.40%)
Jul 31, 2026
12w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$1.17 $1.32▲ +12.82%▲ +9.31%$2.23 (+90.60%)
Jul 31, 2026
12w ago
Press Release
MIXED ★ 6/10
$1.17 $1.32▲ +12.82%▲ +9.31%$2.23 (+90.60%)
Jun 18, 2026
18w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$1.98 $1.82▼ −8.08%▼ −6.41%$2.23 (+12.63%)
Mar 17, 2026
32w ago
8-K/A
MIXED ★ 6/10
$2.28 $2.09▼ −8.33%▼ −5.68%$2.23 (−2.19%)
Mar 16, 2026
32w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$2.28 $2.09▲ +8.33%▲ +5.68%$2.23 (+2.19%)
Mar 13, 2026
32w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$2.99 $2.02▼ −32.44%▼ −30.32%$2.23 (−25.42%)
Showing 10 of 10

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Report published Jul 31, 2026