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8-K ·Filed Jul 30, 2026

DFIN

Donnelley Financial Solutions, Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed2mo ago SEC0001193125-26-324858
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The sharp Q3 guidance drop (revenue down ~18% sequentially, margin halving) signals a pronounced seasonal trough and likely lower capital markets activity. The EPS miss vs consensus adds downside risk. Monitor the Q3 conference call for commentary on deal pipeline and whether the sequential decline is purely seasonal or reflects structural headwinds in compliance revenue.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
DFIN ▲ +18.05% at T+60d
SHORT call ✗ call lost -18.05% · α vs SPY -15.59% · entry $47.03 → $55.52
Entry = T+0 close
Jul 30, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+0.57%
call -0.57% · α +0.13%
$47.30
settled 3mo ago
T+5d
+2.87%
call -2.87% · α +0.75%
$48.38
settled 3mo ago
T+20d
+1.98%
call -1.98% · α +1.99%
$47.96
settled 2mo ago
T+60d
+18.05%
call -18.05% · α -15.59%
$55.52
settled 4d ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

DFIN reported Q2 2026 results with net sales of $224.2M (+2.8% YoY) and GAAP diluted EPS of $1.44, missing the consensus estimate of $1.63 by 11.7%. Adjusted EBITDA rose 7.9% to $82.3M with margin expanding 170bps to 36.7%, driven by record software solutions sales of $99.4M (+7.8% YoY) and strong capital markets transactional activity. However, Q3 guidance for net sales of $175M-$185M and Adjusted EBITDA margin of 26%-28% implies a sharp sequential decline, signaling a seasonal slowdown and potential headwinds from lower compliance revenue and print volumes.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$1.44
est $1.63 · -11.7%
Revenue
$224.2M
est $221.4M · +1.3% · +2.8% YoY
Rating
miss
Guidance
$175M-$185M
maintained
Free Cash Flow
$61.2M
Gross Margin
59.6%

Key Facts

  • Q2 2026 GAAP diluted EPS of $1.44 missed consensus of $1.63 by 11.7%
  • Net sales of $224.2M (+2.8% YoY) slightly above consensus of $221.4M
  • Software solutions net sales hit a record $99.4M, up 7.8% YoY, driven by ActiveDisclosure growth of ~29%
  • Adjusted EBITDA margin expanded 170bps YoY to 36.7%
  • Q3 2026 guidance: net sales $175M-$185M (vs Q2 $224.2M) and Adjusted EBITDA margin 26%-28% (vs Q2 36.7%)
  • Company repurchased 763,451 shares for $34.7M in Q2; $125.4M remaining on $150M authorization
  • Appointed Ken Napolitano as Chief Revenue Officer

Financial Impact

Q2 EPS miss of ~$0.19 vs consensus; Q3 guidance implies ~$40M+ sequential revenue decline and ~1,000bps margin compression

epsrevenueadjusted_ebitda_margin

Risk Factors

  • Q3 guidance implies significant sequential revenue and margin contraction
  • EPS miss of 11.7% vs consensus may trigger negative estimate revisions
  • Declining print and distribution revenue (-15% YoY) and lower compliance revenue pressure the top line
  • Macroeconomic uncertainty and geopolitical volatility could further dampen capital markets transactional activity

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Services-Miscellaneous Business Services
Analyst Consensus
89% bullish (9 analysts)

Investment Themes

Services

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001193125-26-324858
Document: dfin-20260730.htm0001193125-26-324858
Document: 0001193125-26-324858-index-headers.html0001193125-26-324858
Document: 0001193125-26-324858-index.html0001193125-26-324858
Document: 0001193125-26-324858.txt0001193125-26-324858
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001193125-26-324858
9 reports for DFIN
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

Filters
Rows
Reports for DFIN — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 15, 2026
11d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$51.81awaiting T+20—$55.52 (+7.16%)
Sep 8, 2026
6w ago
Insider Cluster
MIXED ★ 4/10
$48.86 $49.80▲ +1.92%▼ −0.02%$55.52 (+13.63%)
Sep 3, 2026
7w ago
Insider Buy
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$50.92 $48.28▼ −5.18%▼ −5.79%$55.52 (+9.03%)
Jul 30, 2026
12w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$47.03 $47.96▼ −1.98%▲ +1.99%$55.52 (−18.05%)
Jul 16, 2026
14w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$49.95awaiting T+20—$55.52 (+11.15%)
May 5, 2026
24w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$42.73 $39.81▼ −6.83%▼ −11.79%$55.52 (+29.93%)
Apr 21, 2026
26w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$53.02 $39.26▼ −25.95%▼ −30.87%$55.52 (+4.72%)
Apr 1, 2026
29w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$46.06 $51.12▲ +10.99%▲ +1.26%$55.52 (+20.54%)
Feb 26, 2026
34w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$49.74 $46.93▼ −5.65%▲ +0.75%$55.52 (+11.62%)
Showing 9 of 9

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Wed (12h 15m)

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Report published Jul 30, 2026