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Institutional Cluster

DFDV

DeFi Development Corp.
NEUTRAL
Impact 3/10
Horizonweeks Processed4mo ago
Institutional cluster: 4 buyers, 0 sellers (bullish)
Actionable Insight • Neutral

The cluster is entirely passive/index-driven with zero active manager participation — this is not a conviction signal. The stock's OTC listing and micro-cap status mean these buys likely reflect mechanical index rebalancing or fund inflows. No actionable trade signal here.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencemedium
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
DFDV ▲ +98.98% at T+60d
NEUTRAL call +98.98% · α vs SPY +94.59% · entry $2.95 → $5.87
Entry = T+0 close
Jun 11, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+5.08%
call +5.08% · α +4.54%
$3.10
settled 5mo ago
T+5d
+4.75%
call +4.75% · α +4.31%
$3.09
settled 4mo ago
T+20d
+2.37%
call +2.37% · α +0.48%
$3.02
settled 4mo ago
T+60d
+98.98%
call +98.98% · α +94.59%
$5.87
settled 7w ago

Executive Summary

Four mega-passive institutional investors (Vanguard, BlackRock, State Street, Morgan Stanley) all increased their DFDV positions in Q3 2025, adding a combined $4.3M in new holdings. The buying is entirely passive/index-driven, not active conviction, and the stock's tiny $80M market cap means these moves likely reflect index rebalancing or fund inflows rather than a fundamental thesis.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
accumulating
Buy Value
$17.0M
Net Flow
$4.3M

Institutional Positions

Net institutional flow: $4.3M

▲ Buyers (4)

InstitutionActionChangePosition ValueValue Δ
VanguardADD+93.4%$11.3M$3.1M
BlackRockADD+77.2%$4.3M$911.0K
State StreetADD+99.1%$973.0K$289.0K
Morgan StanleyADD+45.4%$470.0K$17.0K

Key Facts

  • 4 institutions added $4.3M in aggregate DFDV holdings in Q3 2025
  • All buyers are mega-passive index fund managers (Vanguard, BlackRock, State Street, Morgan Stanley)
  • No active managers, hedge funds, or family offices participated in the cluster
  • DFDV has an $80M market cap and trades OTC

Financial Impact

4 passive institutions added $4.3M in net new holdings, with Vanguard alone contributing $3.1M of the total

institutional ownershipfloat

Risk Factors

  • Passive buying provides no fundamental thesis or catalyst
  • OTC micro-cap has limited liquidity and high volatility

Market Snapshot

Exchange
OTC
Sector
Finance Services
Analyst Consensus
88% bullish (8 analysts)

Investment Themes

Traditional Finance

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 institutional 13F filing from SEC EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
INST-CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)inst-cluster-DFDV-2025-Q3
22 reports for DFDV
Performance horizon
43% Hit rate @ T+5 3 of 7 directional calls Went positive at some point 3 of 7 best @ T+20▲ +22.95%Mar 30, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for DFDV — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 26, 2026
1d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$3.68awaiting T+5——
Oct 21, 2026
5d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$3.76awaiting T+5——
Oct 19, 2026
8d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$3.65 $3.57▼ −2.19%▼ −2.05%—
Oct 19, 2026
8d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$3.65 $3.65· 0.00%▲ +0.14%—
Oct 15, 2026
11d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$4.16 $3.76▼ −9.74%▼ −8.72%—
Oct 15, 2026
11d ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$4.16 $3.76▲ +9.74%▲ +8.72%—
Oct 13, 2026
13d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$4.24 $3.87▼ −8.73%▼ −7.57%—
Oct 5, 2026
22d ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$5.47 $4.32▼ −21.02%▼ −21.45%—
Sep 28, 2026
29d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$5.58 $5.47▼ −1.88%▼ −3.09%—
Sep 25, 2026
4w ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 4/10
$6.04 $5.25▼ −13.08%▼ −12.86%—
Showing 10 of 22

US Market Status

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Report published Jun 11, 2026