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8-K ·Filed May 6, 2026

DEC

Diversified Energy Co
BULLISH
Impact 7/10
Horizondays Processed5mo ago SEC0001922446-26-000041
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The earnings beat on adjusted metrics and maintained guidance should support the stock. Watch for the conference call tomorrow for commentary on Camino Natural Resources acquisition closing and Q2 production updates.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizondays
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
DEC ▼ -12.97% at T+60d
LONG call ✗ call lost -12.97% · α vs SPY -16.81% · entry $15.57 → $13.55
Entry = T+0 close
May 6, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+0.51%
call +0.51% · α -0.32%
$15.65
settled 6mo ago
T+5d
+0.06%
call +0.06% · α -1.44%
$15.58
settled 6mo ago
T+20d
-9.70%
call -9.70% · α -12.83%
$14.06
settled 5mo ago
T+60d
-12.97%
call -12.97% · α -16.81%
$13.55
settled 3mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Diversified Energy Q1 2026 results show strong operational performance with total commodity revenue up 69% YoY to $556M, adjusted EBITDA doubling to $287M, and adjusted free cash flow surging 157% to $160M. The company reiterated its full-year 2026 guidance, signaling confidence in continued cash generation and debt reduction.

Key Financial Metrics

Revenue
$556.0M
+68.9% YoY
Free Cash Flow
$110.7M

Key Facts

  • Total commodity revenue $556M (up 69% YoY from $329M)
  • Adjusted EBITDA $287M (up 108% YoY from $138M)
  • Adjusted free cash flow $160M (up 157% YoY from $62M)
  • Net loss of $161M driven by $398M non-cash derivative loss; adjusted EBITDA margin expanded to 68% from 47%
  • Leverage ratio improved to 2.2x from 2.7x a year ago
  • Returned $94M to shareholders in Q1 via dividends and share repurchases
  • Reiterated full-year 2026 guidance: Adj. EBITDA $925M-$975M, Adj. FCF $430M, production 1,170-1,210 Mmcfed

Financial Impact

Adjusted EBITDA doubled to $287M (up $149M YoY) and adjusted FCF more than doubled to $160M (up $98M YoY)

revenueadjusted EBITDAadjusted free cash flowleverage

Risk Factors

  • Commodity price volatility could impact future cash flows
  • GAAP net loss persists due to large non-cash derivative losses
  • Integration risks from recent and pending acquisitions (Sheridan, Camino)

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas
Analyst Consensus
86% bullish (14 analysts)

Investment Themes

Traditional Energy

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001922446-26-000041
Document: dec-20260506.htm0001922446-26-000041
Document: 0001922446-26-000041-index-headers.html0001922446-26-000041
Document: 0001922446-26-000041-index.html0001922446-26-000041
Document: 0001922446-26-000041.txt0001922446-26-000041
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001922446-26-000041
20 reports for DEC
Performance horizon
67% Hit rate @ T+1 4 of 6 directional calls Went positive at some point 4 of 6 best @ T+20▲ +17.54%Mar 4, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for DEC — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 3, 2026
7w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$15.72 $15.43▼ −1.84%▼ −1.46%$14.58 (−7.25%)
Sep 2, 2026
7w ago
Press Release
MIXED ★ 7/10
$15.72 $15.43▼ −1.84%▼ −1.46%$14.58 (−7.25%)
Aug 15, 2026
10w ago
Institutional Cluster
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$14.39 $14.40▲ +0.07%▲ +0.75%$14.58 (+1.32%)
Aug 14, 2026
10w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$14.32 $14.39▲ +0.49%▲ +0.96%$14.58 (+1.82%)
Jul 29, 2026
12w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$13.06 $13.46▲ +3.06%▲ +2.36%$14.58 (+11.64%)
May 26, 2026
21w ago
3
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$14.26 $14.54▲ +1.99%▲ +1.44%$14.58 (+2.27%)
May 21, 2026
22w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$15.19 $14.81▼ −2.45%▼ −3.04%$14.58 (−4.00%)
May 19, 2026
23w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$16.78 $16.36▼ −2.50%▼ −3.54%$14.58 (−13.11%)
May 6, 2026
24w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$15.57 $15.65▲ +0.51%▼ −0.32%$14.58 (−6.36%)
May 6, 2026
24w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$15.57 $15.65▲ +0.51%▼ −0.32%$14.58 (−6.36%)
Showing 10 of 20

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Wed (17h 20m)

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Report published May 6, 2026