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8-K ·Filed Sep 11, 2026

DBGI

Digital Brands Group, Inc.
NEUTRAL
Impact 4/10
Horizonweeks Processed1mo ago SEC0001493152-26-042355
8-K context-dependent: Items 7.01
Actionable Insight • Neutral

The go-shop deadline (Oct 5, 2026) is the key catalyst — any definitive deal announcement or expiration without a deal would drive the next major move. Monitor for 8-K filings regarding the strategic review outcome. The $77.58/share offer price represents a massive premium to the current ~$6M market cap but remains a proposal, not a binding agreement.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d
DBGI ▼ -33.17% at T+20d
NEUTRAL call -33.17% · α vs SPY -35.04% · entry $6.00 → $4.01
Next anchor: T+60d in 6w
Latest observation: T+29 -48.65% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Sep 11, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-13.83%
call -13.83% · α -13.39%
$5.17
settled 6w ago
T+5d
-25.50%
call -25.50% · α -25.28%
$4.47
settled 6w ago
T+20d
-33.17%
call -33.17% · α -35.04%
$4.01
settled 18d ago
T+60d
Pending
in 6w

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Digital Brands Group issued an investor update covering two items: a $165M binding government contract (U.S. Program) with $3.3M guaranteed cash flow through Dec 2026 and a 15-18% forecast cash flow margin, plus an update on the ongoing go-private strategic review including a 60-day go-shop period ending Oct 5, 2026. The filing provides no new financial results or definitive transaction agreement.

Key Facts

  • $165 million, two-year binding U.S. Program contract to provide apparel, footwear, and toiletries
  • $3.3 million in guaranteed cash flow from September 1 through December 31, 2026 from first two markets
  • Program serves 771,481 U.S. residents across dozens of cities; total units of 23,915,880
  • Company forecasts 15% to 18% cash flow margin for the U.S. Program initiative
  • Go-shop period for strategic review ends October 5, 2026
  • Proposal from existing shareholder to acquire all outstanding common stock for $77.58 per share in cash

Financial Impact

$3.3M guaranteed cash flow through Dec 2026; $165M total contract value; projected $25M-$35M cash flow over next 24 months per company

cash_flowrevenue

Risk Factors

  • Strategic review may not result in any transaction
  • Contract cash flow projections are company forecasts, not guaranteed beyond the $3.3M initial tranche
  • Extreme premium ($77.58/share vs ~$0.50s/market price) raises deal completion risk
  • Micro-cap stock with high volatility and low liquidity

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Retail-Apparel & Accessory Stores

Investment Themes

Consumer & Retail

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 5 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001493152-26-042355
Exhibit: ex99-1.htm0001493152-26-042355
Document: 0001493152-26-042355-index-headers.html0001493152-26-042355
Document: 0001493152-26-042355-index.html0001493152-26-042355
Document: 0001493152-26-042355.txt0001493152-26-042355
18 reports for DBGI
Performance horizon
57% Hit rate @ T+60 4 of 7 directional calls Went positive at some point 8 of 9 best @ T+60▲ +83.41%Jul 24, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for DBGI — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 11, 2026
6w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$6.00awaiting T+60—$1.17 (−80.50%)
Sep 2, 2026
7w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$4.47awaiting T+60—$1.17 (−73.83%)
Aug 13, 2026
10w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$15.50awaiting T+60—$1.17 (−92.45%)
Aug 6, 2026
11w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$14.63awaiting T+60—$1.17 (−92.00%)
Jul 30, 2026
12w ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$15.45 $1.18▼ −92.39%▼ −95.10%$1.17 (−92.43%)
Jul 24, 2026
13w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$12.90 $2.14▲ +83.41%▲ +86.70%$1.17 (+90.93%)
Jul 20, 2026
14w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$0.4700 $0.0868▼ −81.54%▼ −84.39%$1.17 (+148.94%)
Jul 9, 2026
15w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$0.7677 $0.1217▼ −84.14%▼ −86.53%$1.17 (+52.40%)
Jul 8, 2026
15w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$0.7344 $0.1278▼ −82.60%▼ −85.10%$1.17 (+59.31%)
Jun 22, 2026
18w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$0.7730 $0.1105▼ −85.70%▼ −89.66%$1.17 (+51.36%)
Showing 10 of 18

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Wed (10h 12m)

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Report published Sep 11, 2026