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8-K ·Filed Jul 29, 2026

DBD

DIEBOLD NIXDORF, Inc
NEUTRAL
Impact 5/10
Horizonweeks Processed3mo ago SEC0000028823-26-000031
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight • Neutral

The in-line quarter and reaffirmed guidance suggest no immediate catalyst for a significant move. Monitor the Q3 earnings call for updates on free cash flow trajectory and German tax cash outflow impact, as well as order backlog conversion in Banking.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
DBD ▼ -7.86% at T+60d
NEUTRAL call -7.86% · α vs SPY -12.59% · entry $75.17 → $69.26
Entry = T+0 close
Jul 29, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-5.20%
call -5.20% · α -6.88%
$71.26
settled 3mo ago
T+5d
+3.92%
call +3.92% · α -1.60%
$78.12
settled 3mo ago
T+20d
-9.83%
call -9.83% · α -14.85%
$67.78
settled 2mo ago
T+60d
-7.86%
call -7.86% · α -12.59%
$69.26
settled 5d ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Diebold Nixdorf reported Q2 2026 GAAP EPS of $0.44 (up 33% YoY) and adjusted EPS of $1.10, which was in line with consensus. Revenue grew 1.7% YoY to $930.8M, slightly above the $926.2M estimate. Adjusted EBITDA grew 8.5% YoY to $120.6M with margin expanding 80bps to 13.0%. The company reaffirmed its full-year 2026 outlook, signaling confidence despite a negative free cash flow quarter due to inventory build and German tax payments.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$1.10
est $1.10 · 0.0%
Revenue
$930.8M
est $926.2M · +0.5% · +1.7% YoY
Rating
in line
Guidance
$3.86B-$3.94B
maintained
Free Cash Flow
-$11.0M
Gross Margin
25.7%

Key Facts

  • GAAP EPS of $0.44 vs $0.33 YoY (+33%)
  • Adjusted EPS of $1.10, in line with consensus of $1.10
  • Revenue of $930.8M (+1.7% YoY), slightly above $926.2M consensus
  • Adjusted EBITDA of $120.6M (+8.5% YoY), margin expanded 80bps to 13.0%
  • Full-year 2026 guidance reaffirmed: Revenue $3.86B-$3.94B, Adj. EBITDA $510M-$535M, Adj. EPS $5.25-$5.75
  • GAAP net income grew 28% YoY to $16.2M
  • Retail revenue grew >20% YoY for second consecutive quarter
  • Operating cash flow was -$13.6M; free cash flow (ex-disc. tax) was -$11.0M, driven by inventory build
  • Repurchased ~$60M in shares during Q2; ~$57M remaining on $200M buyback program
  • Net debt increased to $689.3M from $554.3M at year-end 2025

Financial Impact

In-line quarter with reaffirmed guidance; modest revenue beat offset by negative free cash flow and rising net debt

revenueepsadjustedEbitdafreeCashFlownetDebt

Risk Factors

  • Negative free cash flow in Q2 driven by inventory build to support demand
  • German tax payments expected to total ~$50M in 2026, pressuring cash flow
  • Net debt increased to $689.3M from $554.3M at year-end 2025
  • Banking revenue declined 0.8% YoY on a GAAP basis
  • Services gross margin contracted 50bps YoY on a GAAP basis

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Calculating & Accounting Machines (No Electronic Computers)
Analyst Consensus
86% bullish (7 analysts)

Investment Themes

Software & IT

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0000028823-26-000031
Document: dbd-20260729.htm0000028823-26-000031
Document: 0000028823-26-000031-index-headers.html0000028823-26-000031
Document: 0000028823-26-000031-index.html0000028823-26-000031
Document: 0000028823-26-000031.txt0000028823-26-000031
8-K Data (Synthetic)0000028823-26-000031
6 reports for DBD
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

Filters
Rows
Reports for DBD — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 22, 2026
4w ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 4/10
$64.39awaiting T+60—$67.54 (+4.88%)
Jul 29, 2026
12w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$75.17 $69.26▼ −7.86%▼ −12.59%$67.54 (−10.16%)
May 27, 2026
21w ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$81.04 $69.94▼ −13.70%▼ −15.43%$67.54 (−16.66%)
May 22, 2026
22w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$79.43 $67.42▼ −15.12%▼ −17.84%$67.54 (−14.98%)
Mar 30, 2026
30w ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$73.60 $84.56▲ +14.89%▼ −1.60%$67.54 (−8.24%)
Feb 25, 2026
34w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$83.05 $72.40▼ −12.82%▼ −20.57%$67.54 (−18.68%)
Showing 6 of 6

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Report published Jul 29, 2026