SecBot SecBot
8-K ·Filed May 13, 2026

CWD

CaliberCos Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 5/10
Horizonweeks Processed5mo ago SEC0001627282-26-000030
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The reaffirmed guidance provides a floor, but the cash burn trajectory ($0.5M cash vs $1.4M quarterly operating cash burn) and the S-3 overhang suggest continued dilution risk. Monitor the pace of project-level financings in H2 2026 — if revenue milestones slip, the stock could face further pressure. The digital asset treasury adds volatility without a clear near-term catalyst.

DirectionBearish
Confidencemedium
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
CWD ▼ -54.85% at T+60d
SHORT call ✓ call won +54.85% · α vs SPY +58.44% · entry $1.12 → $0.5057
Entry = T+0 close
May 13, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-10.71%
call +10.71% · α +9.49%
$1.00
settled 6mo ago
T+5d
-8.93%
call +8.93% · α +8.21%
$1.02
settled 5mo ago
T+20d
-32.23%
call +32.23% · α +31.37%
$0.7590
settled 5mo ago
T+60d
-54.85%
call +54.85% · α +58.44%
$0.5057
settled 3mo ago

Price Chart

Loading chart...

Executive Summary

CaliberCos reported Q1 2026 Platform revenue of $4.1M (+16% YoY) and a narrower Platform Adjusted EBITDA loss of $0.3M, in line with internal expectations. The company reaffirmed its full-year 2026 guidance of $18M-$22M revenue and positive adjusted EBITDA, but the GAAP net loss widened to $3.6M from $4.4M a year ago, and the digital asset treasury suffered a $1.9M unrealized loss. A prior S-3 shelf filing for resale of up to 2.16M shares and a $37.8M managed capital write-off add to the bearish overhang.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
−$0.62
est −$0.25 · -148.0%
Revenue
$4.1M
+15.7% YoY
Rating
miss
Guidance
$18.0M-$22.0M
maintained

Key Facts

  • Platform revenue $4.1M vs $3.5M YoY (+16%)
  • Platform net loss $4.3M ($0.62/share) vs $4.1M ($3.59/share) YoY
  • Platform Adjusted EBITDA loss $0.3M vs $1.4M positive YoY
  • Consolidated net loss $3.6M ($0.52/share) vs $4.4M ($3.85/share) YoY
  • Full-year 2026 guidance reaffirmed: revenue $18M-$22M, positive adjusted EBITDA
  • Digital asset treasury held 507,560 LINK tokens valued at $4.5M; $1.9M unrealized loss in Q1
  • Managed capital fell to $489.6M from $517.2M, driven by $37.8M in investment write-offs
  • FV AUM declined to $736.4M from $779.7M at year-end 2025
  • S-3 shelf filed April 2026 for resale of up to 2,162,791 shares by selling stockholders
  • Cash balance dropped to $0.5M from $2.5M at year-end 2025
  • Corporate notes reduced to $42.4M from $46.3M

Financial Impact

Platform revenue grew 16% YoY to $4.1M, but the company remains deeply unprofitable with a $3.6M GAAP net loss and only $0.5M cash on hand. The $37.8M managed capital write-off and $1.9M digital asset loss underscore asset quality and volatility risks.

revenuenet incomeadjusted EBITDAcashmanaged capitaldigital asset value

Risk Factors

  • Cash runway: only $0.5M cash at quarter-end, may require additional capital or debt restructuring
  • S-3 shelf registration allows up to 2.16M shares to be resold, creating overhang
  • Managed capital declined 5.3% QoQ due to $37.8M write-offs, signaling asset quality issues
  • Digital asset treasury ($4.5M LINK) subject to crypto volatility; $1.9M unrealized loss in Q1
  • Revenue recognition is milestone-driven and back-end weighted; any delays in project financings could miss guidance

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Real Estate
Analyst Consensus
80% bullish (5 analysts)

Investment Themes

Real Estate

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 8 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001627282-26-000030
Document: a20260331supplementalass.htm0001627282-26-000030
Document: cwd-supplementaldeckq120.htm0001627282-26-000030
Document: cwd-20260513.htm0001627282-26-000030
Document: 0001627282-26-000030-index-headers.html0001627282-26-000030
Document: 0001627282-26-000030-index.html0001627282-26-000030
Document: 0001627282-26-000030.txt0001627282-26-000030
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001627282-26-000030
16 reports for CWD
Performance horizon
75% Hit rate @ T+5 3 of 4 directional calls Went positive at some point 4 of 4 best @ T+5▲ +11.58%Aug 26, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for CWD — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 19, 2026
7d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$0.4340awaiting T+5—$0.3800 (−12.44%)
Aug 27, 2026
8w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$0.5700 $0.5040▼ −11.58%▼ −10.81%$0.3800 (−33.33%)
Aug 26, 2026
8w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 8/10
$0.5700 $0.5040▲ +11.58%▲ +10.81%$0.3800 (+33.33%)
Aug 14, 2026
10w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$0.5250 $0.5229▼ −0.40%▲ +0.97%$0.3800 (−27.62%)
Aug 13, 2026
10w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.5250 $0.5229▲ +0.40%▼ −0.97%$0.3800 (+27.62%)
Aug 4, 2026
11w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$0.4650 $0.5580▲ +20.00%▲ +20.10%$0.3800 (−18.28%)
Jul 17, 2026
14w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$0.7742 $0.6915▼ −10.68%▼ −9.99%$0.3800 (−50.92%)
Jun 5, 2026
20w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$0.8400 $0.7920▼ −5.71%▼ −7.83%$0.3800 (−54.76%)
Jun 5, 2026
20w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.8400 $0.7920▲ +5.71%▲ +7.83%$0.3800 (+54.76%)
May 13, 2026
23w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$1.12 $1.02▲ +8.93%▲ +8.21%$0.3800 (+66.07%)
Showing 10 of 16

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens in 6h 51m

Subscribe to SecBot

Get Real-Time SEC Filing Intelligence

Comprehensive SEC filing analysis delivered the moment filings hit EDGAR. Sentiment scoring, impact analysis, and actionable insights for every material event.

Create a free account Live analysis, Telegram alerts, watchlists and the MCP server for subscribers
Report published May 13, 2026