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EFFECT ·Filed Sep 16, 2026

CUPR

Cuprina Holdings (Cayman) LTD
BEARISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonimmediate Processed1mo ago SEC9999999995-26-002969
IPO/offering going effective
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The EFFECT notice makes the offering imminent — expect pricing within 1-2 days. The deep discount and massive dilution will likely drive the stock toward the offering price range ($1.00-$1.50).

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonimmediate
Latest settled — T+20d
CUPR ▲ +18.75% at T+20d
SHORT call ✗ call lost -18.75% · α vs SPY -15.57% · entry $1.60 → $1.90
Next anchor: T+60d in 6w
Latest observation: T+27 -43.80% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Sep 16, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+8.13%
call -8.13% · α -6.99%
$1.73
settled 6w ago
T+5d
+17.50%
call -17.50% · α -14.94%
$1.88
settled 5w ago
T+20d
+18.75%
call -18.75% · α -15.57%
$1.90
settled 14d ago
T+60d
Pending
in 6w

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Cuprina Holdings' F-1 registration statement (File No. 333-297299) became effective on September 15, 2026, clearing the way for a heavily dilutive follow-on offering of 4,322,489 Class A shares at an estimated $1.00-$1.50 per share. The company generated only $38,789 in FY2025 revenue with a $3.6M net loss and $7.2M accumulated deficit, making this a distressed capital raise at a deep discount to the prior $3.16 close. The EFFECT notice itself is a procedural step, but combined with the F-1/A terms it signals imminent dilution that could further pressure the $8M market cap stock.

Key Facts

  • F-1 registration (File No. 333-297299) declared effective on September 15, 2026.
  • Offering of 4,322,489 Class A ordinary shares at $1.00-$1.50 per share, a deep discount to the $3.16 prior close.
  • FY2025 revenue was just $38,789 (up 3.3% YoY) with a net loss of $3.6M and accumulated deficit of $7.2M.
  • Proceeds of ~$3.74M earmarked for expansion into new businesses and R&D.
  • Offering is 4.7x existing Class A shares outstanding, massively dilutive.
  • Company has a micro-revenue base and steep operating cash burn of $7.1M in FY2025.

Financial Impact

Dilution of 4.7x existing Class A shares at a 53-68% discount to the $3.16 close, raising ~$3.74M in gross proceeds.

dilutionshare countcash balance

Risk Factors

  • Imminent share issuance at a deep discount will mechanically depress the stock price.
  • Massive dilution (4.7x existing Class A shares) severely dilutes existing holders.
  • Company's micro-revenue base ($38,789) and $7.1M operating cash burn raise going-concern risk.
  • Proceeds of ~$3.74M are insufficient to fund operations for more than a few quarters at current burn rate.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Orthopedic, Prosthetic & Surgical Appliances & Supplies

Investment Themes

Healthcare & Medical Devices

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 3 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
EFFECT Filing (Primary)9999999995-26-002969
Document: 9999999995-26-002969-index.html9999999995-26-002969
Document: 9999999995-26-002969.txt9999999995-26-002969
18 reports for CUPR
Performance horizon
38% Hit rate @ T+5 5 of 13 directional calls Went positive at some point 5 of 13 best @ T+20▲ +46.35%Sep 11, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for CUPR — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 20, 2026
7d ago
6-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$1.93 $1.85▲ +4.15%▲ +4.22%$1.85 (+4.15%)
Oct 2, 2026
25d ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$2.42 $1.69▼ −30.17%▼ −31.33%$1.85 (−23.55%)
Oct 2, 2026
25d ago
Press Release
MIXED ★ 5/10
$2.42 $1.69▼ −30.17%▼ −31.33%$1.85 (−23.55%)
Sep 29, 2026
28d ago
6-K
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$2.28 $1.99▲ +12.72%▲ +14.63%$1.85 (+18.86%)
Sep 29, 2026
28d ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$2.28 $1.99▲ +12.72%▲ +14.63%$1.85 (+18.86%)
Sep 18, 2026
5w ago
6-K
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$1.79 $1.87▼ −4.47%▼ −3.20%$1.85 (−3.35%)
Sep 17, 2026
5w ago
6-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$1.79 $1.87▼ −4.47%▼ −3.20%$1.85 (−3.35%)
Sep 17, 2026
5w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$1.79 $1.87▼ −4.47%▼ −3.20%$1.85 (−3.35%)
Sep 16, 2026
5w ago
424B4
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$1.60 $1.88▼ −17.50%▼ −15.68%$1.85 (−15.63%)
Sep 16, 2026
5w ago
EFFECT
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$1.60 $1.88▼ −17.50%▼ −14.94%$1.85 (−15.63%)
Showing 10 of 18

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Thu (11h 38m)

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Report published Sep 16, 2026