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EFFECT ·Filed Apr 1, 2026

CUE

Cue Biopharma, Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonimmediate Processed6mo ago SEC9999999995-26-001020
IPO/offering going effective
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

Monitor for immediate ATM drawdowns or follow-on offerings given the company's urgent capital needs and low market cap. Any near-term issuance will be highly dilutive to existing shareholders.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonimmediate
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
CUE ▲ +399.67% at T+60d
SHORT call ✗ call lost -399.67% · α vs SPY -386.29% · entry $6.09 → $30.43
Entry = T+0 close
Apr 1, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-11.33%
call +11.33% · α +11.41%
$5.40
settled 7mo ago
T+5d
+44.34%
call -44.34% · α -40.57%
$8.79
settled 7mo ago
T+20d
+113.46%
call -113.46% · α -103.74%
$13.00
settled 6mo ago
T+60d
+399.67%
call -399.67% · α -386.29%
$30.43
settled 4mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Cue Biopharma's S-3 shelf registration has become effective, allowing the company to raise up to $300 million through various offerings, including a $12.67 million at-the-market (ATM) program with Jefferies. Given the company's $22 million market cap and prior disclosure of substantial doubt about its going concern status, this creates immediate dilution risk.

Key Facts

  • S-3 shelf registration became effective on 2026-03-31
  • Authorization to raise up to $300 million in securities
  • Includes a specific $12.67 million ATM offering with Jefferies
  • Company has a market cap of $22 million and only $27.1 million in cash
  • Previously disclosed substantial doubt regarding going concern

Financial Impact

$300 million in potential dilution overhang; $12.67 million ATM offering immediately available

dilutioncashmarket cap

Risk Factors

  • High dilution risk due to large shelf size relative to $22 million market cap
  • Going concern uncertainty increases pressure to raise capital quickly

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Pharmaceutical Preparations

Investment Themes

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 3 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
EFFECT Filing (Primary)9999999995-26-001020
Document: 9999999995-26-001020-index.html9999999995-26-001020
Document: 9999999995-26-001020.txt9999999995-26-001020
25 reports for CUE
Performance horizon
67% Hit rate @ T+1 8 of 12 directional calls Went positive at some point 9 of 12 best @ T+20▲ +519.50%Apr 7, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for CUE — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 14, 2026
12d ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 4/10
$18.67 $16.71▲ +10.50%▲ +9.39%$18.32 (+1.87%)
Oct 13, 2026
13d ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$18.60 $18.67▲ +0.38%▲ +0.09%$18.32 (−1.51%)
Oct 8, 2026
19d ago
SC 13G/A
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$22.33 $27.66▲ +23.87%▲ +23.27%$18.32 (−17.96%)
Sep 21, 2026
5w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$28.27 $30.90▲ +9.30%▲ +9.32%$18.32 (−35.20%)
Sep 20, 2026
5w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$28.27 $30.90▲ +9.30%▲ +9.32%$18.32 (−35.20%)
Aug 21, 2026
9w ago
EFFECT
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$23.98 $23.18▲ +3.34%▲ +3.04%$18.32 (+23.60%)
Aug 17, 2026
10w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$25.70 $26.28▼ −2.26%▼ −2.05%$18.32 (+28.72%)
Aug 14, 2026
10w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$27.64 $25.70▼ −7.02%▼ −6.34%$18.32 (−33.72%)
Aug 13, 2026
10w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$34.20 $27.64▼ −19.18%▼ −18.71%$18.32 (−46.43%)
Jul 9, 2026
15w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$36.78 $30.92▼ −15.93%▼ −15.17%$18.32 (−50.19%)
Showing 10 of 25

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Wed (< 1m)

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Report published Apr 1, 2026