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6-K ·Filed May 13, 2026

CTW

CTW Cayman
BEARISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed5mo ago SEC0001213900-26-055442
Notable filing: 6-K
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The 39% MAU collapse and declining retention rates signal a structural user acquisition problem that cost cuts cannot solve. Monitor 2H26 revenue closely — if new titles like High School of the Dead fail to reverse the user decline, the stock faces further downside. The IPO cash provides a 12-18 month runway, but negative operating cash flow is a concern.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
CTW ▼ -14.48% at T+60d
SHORT call ✓ call won +14.48% · α vs SPY +18.92% · entry $2.90 → $2.48
Entry = T+0 close
May 13, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+3.79%
call -3.79% · α -3.02%
$3.01
settled 6mo ago
T+5d
-6.21%
call +6.21% · α +5.05%
$2.72
settled 5mo ago
T+20d
-13.79%
call +13.79% · α +13.18%
$2.50
settled 5mo ago
T+60d
-14.48%
call +14.48% · α +18.92%
$2.48
settled 3mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

CTW reported 1H26 results with revenue of $40.9M (down 1% YoY) and a net loss of $1.2M vs. net income of $0.6M in 1H25. While segment profit surged 55% to $18.0M and Adjusted EBITDA grew 16% to $4.3M, the headline revenue decline and swing to a net loss are the dominant signals. MAUs collapsed 39% to 1.98M, and paying user retention rates continued to deteriorate, indicating structural user engagement issues that cost-cutting alone cannot fix.

Key Facts

  • Revenue declined 1% YoY to $40.9M in 1H26 from $41.2M in 1H25
  • Net loss of $1.2M vs. net income of $0.6M in 1H25
  • MAUs fell 39% YoY to 1,984,354 from 3,269,618
  • Paying user retention rates declined: Day 1 58.2% (vs 60.7%), Day 7 35.5% (vs 38.5%), Day 30 16.0% (vs 18.5%)
  • Segment profit increased 55% to $18.0M driven by cutting ad spend 24% to $18.8M
  • Adjusted EBITDA grew 16% to $4.3M (10.5% margin vs 9.0%)
  • Operating cash flow was negative $381K vs positive $2.6M in 1H25
  • Cash balance increased to $19.5M from $12.2M due to $10.6M IPO proceeds

Financial Impact

Revenue decline of $0.3M, net income swing of -$1.8M, MAU decline of 1.29M users

revenuenet incomemonthly active userspaying user retention

Risk Factors

  • Continued MAU erosion could accelerate revenue decline in 2H26
  • Negative operating cash flow may require additional capital if user acquisition fails to recover
  • New game pipeline may not compensate for legacy title lifecycle declines

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Services-Computer Processing & Data Preparation

Investment Themes

Software & IT

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
6-K Filing (Primary)0001213900-26-055442
Document: ea029000001ex99-2.htm0001213900-26-055442
Document: ea0290000-6k_ctw.htm0001213900-26-055442
Document: 0001213900-26-055442-index-headers.html0001213900-26-055442
Document: 0001213900-26-055442-index.html0001213900-26-055442
Document: 0001213900-26-055442.txt0001213900-26-055442
8 reports for CTW
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate @ T+5 4 of 4 directional calls Went positive at some point 4 of 4 best @ T+60▲ +14.48%May 13, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for CTW — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 16, 2026
10d ago
20-F
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$1.87 $1.74▲ +6.95%▲ +6.81%$1.74 (+6.95%)
Oct 15, 2026
11d ago
6-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$1.87 $1.75▲ +6.42%▲ +5.99%$1.74 (+6.95%)
Oct 15, 2026
11d ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$1.87 $1.75▲ +6.42%▲ +5.99%$1.74 (+6.95%)
Oct 5, 2026
21d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$2.10 $2.07▼ −1.43%▼ −1.29%$1.74 (−17.14%)
May 13, 2026
23w ago
6-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$2.90 $2.72▲ +6.21%▲ +5.05%$1.74 (+40.00%)
May 13, 2026
23w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$2.90 $2.72▲ +6.21%▲ +5.05%$1.74 (+40.00%)
May 12, 2026
23w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$2.91 $2.88▼ −1.03%▼ −1.11%$1.74 (−40.21%)
Apr 17, 2026
27w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$2.30 $2.75▲ +19.57%▲ +19.01%$1.74 (−24.35%)
Showing 8 of 8

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Report published May 13, 2026