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8-K ·Filed May 13, 2026

CTM

Castellum, Inc.
MIXED
Impact 6/10
Horizondays Processed5mo ago SEC0001877939-26-000036
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ◆ Mixed

The revenue miss vs the single-analyst consensus is the headline negative, but the 23% YoY growth, record backlog, and debt-free balance sheet provide a positive counterweight. Monitor the next quarter for revenue conversion from the $273M backlog and any updates on M&A activity, which management signaled as a priority.

DirectionMixed
Confidencehigh
Horizondays
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
CTM ▼ -8.33% at T+60d
NEUTRAL call -8.33% · α vs SPY -12.77% · entry $0.6710 → $0.6151
Entry = T+0 close
May 13, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+2.53%
call +2.53% · α +1.76%
$0.6880
settled 6mo ago
T+5d
-2.83%
call -2.83% · α -1.67%
$0.6520
settled 5mo ago
T+20d
+4.32%
call +4.32% · α +4.93%
$0.7000
settled 5mo ago
T+60d
-8.33%
call -8.33% · α -12.77%
$0.6151
settled 3mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Castellum reported Q1 2026 revenue of $14.3M (+23% YoY) but missed the single-analyst consensus estimate of $16.9M by 15.4%. The net loss narrowed to $0.4M from $1.2M YoY, with GAAP EPS of $0.00 missing the $0.01 consensus. The company highlighted a record backlog of $273.3M and a debt-free balance sheet, but the revenue miss and continued GAAP losses temper the positive operational narrative.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$0.00
est $0.01 · -100.0%
Revenue
$14.3M
est $16.9M · -15.4% · +22.5% YoY
Rating
miss
Gross Margin
35.4%

Key Facts

  • Q1 2026 revenue of $14.3M, up 23% YoY from $11.7M, but missed consensus of $16.9M.
  • GAAP net loss of $0.4M ($0.00 per share) improved from a $1.2M loss ($0.01) in Q1 2025, but missed the $0.01 EPS consensus.
  • Record total backlog of $273.3M as of March 31, 2026, up from $265M at December 31, 2025.
  • Qualified pipeline grew to $938M from $817M at year-end 2025.
  • Cash and cash equivalents were $15.8M, with no long-term debt remaining.
  • Adjusted EBITDA was $0.4M, up from $0.08M in Q1 2025.
  • Gross margin was 35.4%, down from 39.0% in Q1 2025, affected by contract mix.
  • Weighted average shares outstanding increased to 94.6M from 81.0M a year ago, reflecting dilution from equity raises.

Financial Impact

Revenue miss of ~$2.6M (15.4%) vs consensus; EPS miss of $0.01 vs consensus.

revenueepsgross margin

Risk Factors

  • Revenue miss vs consensus could pressure the stock in the near term.
  • Gross margin compression from 39.0% to 35.4% due to contract mix changes.
  • Continued GAAP net losses, though narrowing.
  • Dilution from equity raises (share count up 17% YoY).
  • Dependence on federal government contracts and budget approvals.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Services-Management Consulting Services
Analyst Consensus
80% bullish (5 analysts)

Investment Themes

Services

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001877939-26-000036
Document: ctm-20260508.htm0001877939-26-000036
Document: 0001877939-26-000036-index-headers.html0001877939-26-000036
Document: 0001877939-26-000036-index.html0001877939-26-000036
Document: 0001877939-26-000036.txt0001877939-26-000036
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001877939-26-000036
15 reports for CTM
Performance horizon
50% Hit rate @ T+5 2 of 4 directional calls Went positive at some point 2 of 4 best @ T+5▲ +5.11%Jun 15, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for CTM — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 13, 2026
13d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$0.5785 $0.5868▲ +1.43%▲ +0.98%$0.5208 (−9.97%)
Jul 31, 2026
12w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$0.7350 $0.6101▼ −16.99%▼ −19.02%$0.5208 (−29.14%)
Jul 31, 2026
12w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$0.7177 $0.6151▼ −14.30%▼ −17.81%$0.5208 (−27.43%)
Jul 2, 2026
16w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$0.6950 $0.6710▼ −3.45%▼ −4.38%$0.5208 (−25.06%)
Jun 24, 2026
17w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$0.7237 $0.7295▲ +0.80%▼ −0.76%$0.5208 (−28.04%)
Jun 15, 2026
19w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$0.7157 $0.7523▲ +5.11%▲ +6.50%$0.5208 (−27.23%)
May 18, 2026
23w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$0.6580 $0.8100▲ +23.10%▲ +21.48%$0.5208 (−20.85%)
May 13, 2026
23w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$0.6710 $0.6520▼ −2.83%▼ −1.67%$0.5208 (−22.38%)
May 8, 2026
24w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$0.7530 $0.6880▼ −8.63%▼ −10.10%$0.5208 (−30.84%)
Apr 23, 2026
26w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$0.6900 $0.6650▼ −3.62%▼ −4.53%$0.5208 (−24.52%)
Showing 10 of 15

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Report published May 13, 2026