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PRESS-RELEASE ·Filed Aug 27, 2026

CSIQ

Canadian Solar Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed2mo ago WireGlobeNewswire
Press release · Earnings
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The sharp deterioration in gross margin and negative operating cash flow are the primary concerns. Monitor the Q3 earnings call for progress on delayed Recurrent Energy project sales and margin trajectory as the HJT cell factory ramps. The $3.5B e-STORAGE backlog provides some downside protection, but the stock will likely remain under pressure until profitability stabilizes.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d ⚠ clustered
CSIQ ▼ -21.67% at T+20d
SHORT call ✓ call won +21.67% · α vs SPY +21.17% · entry $13.98 → $10.95
Next anchor: T+60d in 25d
Latest observation: T+40 +1.14% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Aug 27, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-6.01%
call +6.01% · α +5.78%
$13.14
settled 8w ago
T+5d
-3.22%
call +3.22% · α +3.49%
$13.53
settled 8w ago
T+20d
-21.67%
call +21.67% · α +21.17%
$10.95
settled 4w ago
T+60d
Pending
in 25d

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Canadian Solar reported Q2 2026 revenue of $1.2B (at high end of guidance) and a GAAP net loss of $1.40/share, significantly wider than the $0.71 loss in Q1. Revenue fell 29% YoY and gross margin collapsed to 13.9% from 29.8% a year ago, driven by the absence of prior tariff refunds and project sale deferrals. While energy storage shipments beat guidance and the Q3 revenue outlook of $1.3-1.5B is sequentially stronger, the deteriorating profitability and negative operating cash flow are clear bearish signals for the stock.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
−$1.40
est −$1.23 · -13.8%
Revenue
$1.2B
est $1.1B · +5.9% · -28.7% YoY
Rating
miss
Guidance
$1.3B-$1.5B
maintained
Gross Margin
13.9%

Key Facts

  • Q2 2026 net revenue of $1.2B, down 29% YoY from $1.69B
  • GAAP net loss of $77M ($1.40/share) vs net income of $7M in Q2 2025
  • Gross margin fell to 13.9% from 29.8% YoY, driven by absence of tariff refunds and normalized storage margins
  • Operating cash flow negative $181M in Q2, vs positive $189M in Q2 2025
  • Total debt increased to $7.1B from $6.8B in Q1 2026
  • Energy storage shipments of 3.7 GWh exceeded guidance of 2.8-3.2 GWh
  • Q3 2026 revenue guidance of $1.3-1.5B implies sequential improvement but no YoY comparison provided
  • e-STORAGE contracted backlog of $3.5B provides multi-year earnings visibility

Financial Impact

Revenue decline of 29% YoY and gross margin compression of ~16 percentage points YoY, with net loss widening to $77M from a $7M profit in the prior year period

revenuegross marginnet incomeoperating cash flowdebt

Risk Factors

  • Continued gross margin compression from tariff refund normalization and HJT factory ramp-up costs
  • Delayed project sales at Recurrent Energy could further pressure cash flow and debt levels
  • Total debt of $7.1B and negative operating cash flow raise refinancing risk
  • YoY revenue decline of 29% signals structural demand weakness in solar module sales

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Semiconductors & Related Devices
Analyst Consensus
47% bullish (19 analysts)

Investment Themes

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 press release from GlobeNewswire.

DocumentAccession Number
PRESS-RELEASE Data (Synthetic)press-prn-302861334
10 reports for CSIQ
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

Filters
Rows
Reports for CSIQ — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 22, 2026
4w ago
Institutional Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$11.77 $9.77▼ −16.99%▼ −16.43%$8.85 (−24.81%)
Aug 27, 2026
8w ago
6-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$13.98 $10.95▲ +21.67%▲ +21.17%$8.85 (+36.70%)
Aug 27, 2026
8w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$13.98 $10.95▲ +21.67%▲ +21.17%$8.85 (+36.70%)
Aug 13, 2026
10w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$15.31 $12.76▼ −16.66%▼ −14.91%$8.85 (−42.19%)
Jul 23, 2026
13w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$13.35 $14.55▲ +8.99%▲ +5.36%$8.85 (−33.71%)
Jul 6, 2026
15w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$14.35 $15.52▲ +8.15%▲ +6.82%$8.85 (−38.33%)
May 28, 2026
21w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$20.26 $15.39▼ −24.04%▼ −20.89%$8.85 (−56.32%)
May 14, 2026
23w ago
6-K
MIXED ★ 5/10
$17.82 $16.73▼ −6.12%▼ −5.26%$8.85 (−50.34%)
Apr 27, 2026
26w ago
6-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$14.85 $18.93▲ +27.47%▲ +22.01%$8.85 (−40.40%)
Apr 10, 2026
28w ago
20-F
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$12.72 $19.85▼ −56.05%▼ −48.33%$8.85 (+30.42%)
Showing 10 of 10

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Tue (16h 38m)

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Report published Aug 27, 2026