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8-K ·Filed Sep 17, 2026

CRWV

CoreWeave, Inc.
MIXED
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed1mo ago SEC0001769628-26-000429
8-K context-dependent: Items 7.01, 8.01
Actionable Insight ◆ Mixed

Monitor pricing of the convertible notes (expected coupon 2.375%-2.875%, conversion premium 22.5%-27.5%) and the 30-day ATM lockup expiration. The $104.2B revenue backlog and 59% Adj. EBITDA margin support the growth thesis, but $35.6B total debt and $(567)M adjusted net loss highlight the capital-intensive model. Watch for execution on the $25B+ of new customer commitments added in early Q3 and the pace of data center deployment.

DirectionMixed
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled: T+20d ⚠ clustered
CRWV ▼ -12.76% at T+20d
NEUTRAL call -12.76% · α vs SPY -13.96% · entry $79.88 → $69.69
Next anchor: T+60d in 6w
Latest observation: T+26 -21.29% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Sep 17, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+1.85%
call +1.85% · α +1.97%
$81.36
settled 6w ago
T+5d
+12.83%
call +12.83% · α +12.23%
$90.13
settled 5w ago
T+20d
-12.76%
call -12.76% · α -13.96%
$69.69
settled 13d ago
T+60d
Pending
in 6w

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

CoreWeave announced a $3.0 billion convertible senior notes offering (plus $500M greenshoe) and entered into an equity distribution agreement for up to 35 million shares via an ATM program and collared forward sale agreements. The company reported Q2 2026 revenue of $2.575 billion (+112% YoY), Adjusted EBITDA of $1.510 billion (59% margin), and a revenue backlog of $104.2 billion (+246% YoY). The combined capital raise supports aggressive infrastructure expansion but adds significant leverage and potential dilution.

Key Facts

  • Announced $3.0 billion convertible senior notes offering due 2033, with $500 million greenshoe option
  • Entered equity distribution agreement for up to 35,000,000 shares of Class A common stock via ATM and collared forward sales
  • Q2 2026 revenue of $2.575 billion, up 112% YoY
  • Q2 2026 Adjusted EBITDA of $1.510 billion, 59% margin
  • Revenue backlog of $104.2 billion as of June 30, 2026, up 246% YoY
  • Q2 2026 Adjusted Operating Income of $128 million, 5% margin
  • Q2 2026 Adjusted Net Loss of $(567) million, (22)% margin
  • Total debt of $35.6 billion as of June 30, 2026
  • Weighted average interest rate improved to 7.8% in Q2 2026 from 14.9% in FY 2023
  • Expected coupon on convertible notes: 2.375%–2.875%
  • Expected conversion premium: 22.5%–27.5%
  • No ATM sales for at least 30 days after convertible note pricing
  • Capped call transactions expected to reduce dilution upon conversion

Financial Impact

$3.0B convertible notes offering (plus $500M greenshoe) and up to 35M share ATM/collared forward program; Q2 revenue $2.575B (+112% YoY), Adj. EBITDA $1.510B (59% margin), revenue backlog $104.2B

revenuedebtdilutioncashFlowinterestExpense

Risk Factors

  • Massive debt load of $35.6B with ongoing capital expenditure requirements ($9.4B in Q2 alone)
  • Potential dilution from up to 35M shares via ATM/collared forward and convertible note conversion
  • Negative adjusted net income of $(567)M in Q2 2026 despite strong revenue growth
  • Execution risk in deploying $3.5B+ in new capital while maintaining margins
  • Dependence on continued AI infrastructure demand and NVIDIA GPU supply chain

Investment Themes

Software & IT

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 8 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001769628-26-000429
Exhibit: ex9911.htm0001769628-26-000429
Exhibit: ex51.htm0001769628-26-000429
Document: crwv2026convertpresentat.htm0001769628-26-000429
Document: crwv-20260917.htm0001769628-26-000429
Document: 0001769628-26-000429-index-headers.html0001769628-26-000429
Document: 0001769628-26-000429-index.html0001769628-26-000429
Document: 0001769628-26-000429.txt0001769628-26-000429
104 reports for CRWV
Performance horizon
67% Hit rate @ T+20 34 of 51 directional calls Went positive at some point 46 of 55 best @ T+20▲ +49.98%Apr 9, 2026
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Oct 21, 2026
6d ago
Institutional Cluster
BULLISH ★ 4/10
$55.60awaiting T+20awaiting T+20$59.57 (+7.14%)
Oct 14, 2026
13d ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$69.69awaiting T+20awaiting T+20$59.57 (+14.52%)
Oct 13, 2026
14d ago
144
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$65.78awaiting T+20awaiting T+20$59.57 (−9.44%)
Oct 6, 2026
21d ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$88.45awaiting T+20awaiting T+20$59.57 (−32.65%)
Oct 2, 2026
25d ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$87.39awaiting T+20awaiting T+20$59.57 (+31.83%)
Oct 1, 2026
26d ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$89.62awaiting T+20awaiting T+20$59.57 (+33.53%)
Sep 24, 2026
4w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$87.59 $54.24▲ +38.08%▲ +36.61%$59.57 (+31.99%)
Sep 17, 2026
5w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$81.36 $61.39▲ +24.55%▲ +24.75%$59.57 (+26.78%)
Sep 17, 2026
5w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$81.36 $61.39▲ +24.55%▲ +24.75%$59.57 (+26.78%)
Sep 17, 2026
5w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$81.36 $61.39▲ +24.55%▲ +24.75%$59.57 (+26.78%)
Showing 10 of 104

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Report published Sep 17, 2026