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8-K ·Filed Apr 13, 2026

CRDO

Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd
BULLISH
Impact 8/10
Horizonmonths Processed6mo ago SEC0001628280-26-024892
8-K context-dependent: Items 3.02, 7.01
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The acquisition significantly strengthens Credo's vertical integration in optical interconnects for AI infrastructure. Traders should monitor the Q2 2026 closing, integration progress, and whether the >$500M fiscal 2027 revenue target and non-GAAP EPS accretion materialize. The deal enhances Credo's competitive position against pure-play optical competitors.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonmonths
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
CRDO ▲ +66.53% at T+60d
LONG call ✓ call won +66.53% · α vs SPY +58.01% · entry $159.52 → $265.65
Entry = T+0 close
Apr 13, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+5.54%
call +5.54% · α +4.76%
$168.35
settled 7mo ago
T+5d
+14.92%
call +14.92% · α +13.53%
$183.32
settled 6mo ago
T+20d
+31.78%
call +31.78% · α +25.49%
$210.22
settled 6mo ago
T+60d
+66.53%
call +66.53% · α +58.01%
$265.65
settled 4mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Credo Technology Group (CRDO) announced the acquisition of DustPhotonics for $750 million in cash and approximately 0.92 million shares, with potential earnout of up to 3.21 million additional shares. The deal brings in-house silicon photonics technology critical for next-gen optical interconnects in AI infrastructure, with Credo forecasting over $500 million in optical revenue by fiscal 2027 and accretion to non-GAAP EPS.

Key Financial Metrics

Offering Size
$750.0M

Key Facts

  • Credo is acquiring DustPhotonics for $750M in cash and ~0.92M Credo shares (upfront consideration of ~$1.5B at current market cap)
  • Potential earnout of up to ~3.21M additional Credo shares based on financial milestones
  • Transaction expected to close in Q2 2026, subject to regulatory approvals
  • Credo expects the deal to be accretive to non-GAAP EPS in fiscal 2027
  • Credo forecasts combined optical portfolio to generate >$500M in revenue in fiscal 2027

Financial Impact

Total deal value of $750M cash plus ~0.92M shares (~$2.0B at current market cap including potential earnout). Expected to generate >$500M in optical revenue by fiscal 2027 and be accretive to non-GAAP EPS.

revenueepsdilutionstrategic positioning

Risk Factors

  • Failure to complete the acquisition on timeline or at all
  • Inability to successfully integrate DustPhotonics' operations and technology
  • Failure to achieve the financial milestones underlying the earnout consideration
  • Competitive developments in the optical interconnect market

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Semiconductors & Related Devices

Investment Themes

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 5 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001628280-26-024892
Document: april20268-kex991.htm0001628280-26-024892
Document: 0001628280-26-024892-index-headers.html0001628280-26-024892
Document: 0001628280-26-024892-index.html0001628280-26-024892
Document: 0001628280-26-024892.txt0001628280-26-024892
43 reports for CRDO
Performance horizon
36% Hit rate @ T+20 4 of 11 directional calls Went positive at some point 11 of 17 best @ T+60▲ +30.93%Jun 9, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for CRDO — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 22, 2026
5d ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 4/10
$147.29awaiting T+20—$151.15 (−2.62%)
Oct 21, 2026
5d ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$162.77awaiting T+20—$151.15 (−7.14%)
Oct 14, 2026
12d ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$178.50awaiting T+20—$151.15 (+15.32%)
Oct 13, 2026
13d ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$179.23awaiting T+20—$151.15 (−15.66%)
Oct 13, 2026
13d ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$198.31awaiting T+20—$151.15 (−23.78%)
Oct 13, 2026
14d ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$179.23awaiting T+20—$151.15 (+15.66%)
Oct 8, 2026
18d ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$216.55awaiting T+20—$151.15 (−30.20%)
Oct 5, 2026
21d ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$220.83awaiting T+20—$151.15 (+31.55%)
Oct 1, 2026
25d ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$218.64awaiting T+20—$151.15 (−30.87%)
Oct 1, 2026
25d ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 4/10
$218.64awaiting T+20—$151.15 (+30.87%)
Showing 10 of 43

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Report published Apr 13, 2026