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Institutional Cluster

CRDF

Cardiff Oncology, Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 4/10
Horizonweeks Processed4mo ago
Institutional cluster: 1 buyers, 4 sellers (bearish)
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The 45-day 13F lag means this selling may have already been unwound further or reversed. Watch for insider buying or pipeline catalysts (e.g., onvansertib trial readouts) as potential entry triggers. If no insider confidence materializes alongside the institutional exit, avoid the stock until a clear de-risking event.

DirectionBearish
Confidencemedium
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
CRDF ▼ -31.45% at T+60d
SHORT call ✓ call won +31.45% · α vs SPY +35.84% · entry $1.59 → $1.09
Entry = T+0 close
Jun 11, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-3.14%
call +3.14% · α +3.69%
$1.54
settled 5mo ago
T+5d
-25.79%
call +25.79% · α +26.22%
$1.18
settled 4mo ago
T+20d
-16.98%
call +16.98% · α +18.87%
$1.32
settled 4mo ago
T+60d
-31.45%
call +31.45% · α +35.84%
$1.09
settled 7w ago

Executive Summary

Four major institutions reduced CRDF holdings in Q3 2025, with Morgan Stanley, BofA, Two Sigma, and Nuveen collectively trimming by ~$4.4M, while only Wells Fargo made a small add ($12K net). The 4:1 seller-to-buyer ratio and heavy passive/quant selling suggest a broad de-risking amid CRDF's ongoing clinical-stage losses and no near-term catalyst. The cluster is bearish but muted by the 45-day filing lag — partial unwinding may have already occurred.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
distributing
Buy Value
$121.0K
Sell Value
$4.4M
Net Flow
-$4.4M

Institutional Positions

Net institutional flow: -$4.4M

▲ Buyers (1)

InstitutionActionChangePosition ValueValue Δ
Wells FargoADD+26.8%$121.0K-$24.8K

▼ Sellers (4)

InstitutionActionChangePrev ValueValue Δ
Morgan StanleyTRIM-61%$2.5M-$1.9M
NuveenTRIM-65.3%$1.8M-$1.4M
Two SigmaTRIM-54%$1.4M-$976.8K
BofATRIM-47.2%$294.0K-$192.6K

Key Facts

  • 4 of 5 tracked institutions reduced CRDF positions in Q3 2025, with aggregate seller net change of -$4.40M
  • Morgan Stanley trimmed 61% of its shares (from $2.5M to $640K)
  • Nuveen cut 65.3% of its stake (from $1.8M to $400K)
  • Two Sigma reduced its quant position by 54% (from $1.4M to $420K)
  • Only Wells Fargo added, increasing a tiny $121K position by 26.8% — negligible relative to selling
  • The cluster is dominated by passive/quant managers, not active value or activist funds

Financial Impact

4 institutions sold $4.4M vs 1 institution bought $121K — net institutional outflow of ~$4.3M in Q3 2025

institutional ownership percentagefloat demand

Risk Factors

  • Clinical-stage biotech with no approved products — cash burn continues
  • 45-day reporting lag; disclosed selling may already be stale
  • Low market cap ($101M) amplifies any new selling pressure
  • No activist or value-fund buying to counter the passive exit signal

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances)
Analyst Consensus
86% bullish (14 analysts)

Investment Themes

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 institutional 13F filing from SEC EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
INST-CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)inst-cluster-CRDF-2025-Q3
20 reports for CRDF
Performance horizon
71% Hit rate @ T+5 10 of 14 directional calls Went positive at some point 13 of 14 best @ T+60▲ +47.66%May 19, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for CRDF — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 27, 2026
today
3
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$0.8200awaiting T+5——
Oct 27, 2026
today
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$0.8200awaiting T+5——
Sep 22, 2026
5w ago
Institutional Cluster
BEARISH ★ 4/10
$1.33 $1.17▲ +12.03%▲ +10.84%—
Sep 14, 2026
6w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$1.31 $1.37▲ +4.58%▲ +4.47%—
Aug 11, 2026
11w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.9900 $0.8979▲ +9.30%▲ +8.86%—
Jul 16, 2026
14w ago
Insider Cluster
MIXED ★ 6/10
$0.8800 $0.8381▼ −4.76%▼ −4.07%—
Jul 16, 2026
14w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.8745 $0.8381▲ +4.16%▲ +2.49%—
Jul 16, 2026
14w ago
424B5
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.8745 $0.8381▲ +4.16%▲ +2.49%—
Jun 22, 2026
18w ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 4/10
$1.30 $1.25▼ −3.85%▼ −1.78%—
Jun 11, 2026
19w ago
Institutional Cluster
BEARISH ★ 4/10
$1.59 $1.18▲ +25.79%▲ +26.22%—
Showing 10 of 20

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Wed (15h 48m)

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Report published Jun 11, 2026