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8-K ·Filed Jul 16, 2026

CRDF

Cardiff Oncology, Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonimmediate Processed3mo ago SEC0001193125-26-305467
8-K material event: Items 1.01
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The discounted offering and warrant overhang will pressure the stock near term. Watch for the shareholder vote on authorized share increase (required within 45 days) — failure to pass would block warrant exercises and signal governance risk. The $10M cash runway extends operations but does not change the binary Phase 2 readout risk for onvansertib in RAS-mutated mCRC.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonimmediate
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
CRDF ▲ +23.50% at T+60d
SHORT call ✗ call lost -23.50% · α vs SPY -19.79% · entry $0.8745 → $1.08
Entry = T+0 close
Jul 16, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+0.63%
call -0.63% · α -1.62%
$0.8800
settled 3mo ago
T+5d
-4.16%
call +4.16% · α +2.49%
$0.8381
settled 3mo ago
T+20d
+12.52%
call -12.52% · α -8.90%
$0.9840
settled 3mo ago
T+60d
+23.50%
call -23.50% · α -19.79%
$1.08
settled 18d ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Cardiff Oncology priced a ~$10M registered direct offering of 8.57M shares + warrants at $1.05/unit (20% discount to last close) with insider participation at $1.455/unit. The dilutive capital raise signals near-term cash needs for a clinical-stage biotech with no approved products, and the warrants add further overhang pending shareholder approval to increase authorized shares.

Key Facts

  • Gross proceeds ~$10.05M from 8,571,429 shares + 8,571,429 warrants to institutions at $1.05/unit
  • Insider participation: 721,649 shares + 721,649 warrants at $1.455/unit
  • Common warrants exercisable at $1.31 ($1.33 for insiders), 5.5-year term, exercisable after 6 months and authorized share increase
  • Company must seek stockholder approval to increase authorized shares within 45 days of closing
  • H.C. Wainwright placement agent receives 7% cash fee and 465,157 placement agent warrants at $1.3125
  • Proceeds for working capital and general corporate purposes

Financial Impact

~$10M gross proceeds with ~16% dilution from shares alone (plus up to 9.3M additional shares from warrants); offering priced at 20% discount to $1.31 last sale

dilutioncash_positionshare_count

Risk Factors

  • Significant dilution from shares and potential full warrant exercise (~9.3M additional shares)
  • Shareholder approval needed for authorized share increase — failure could impair warrant value and trigger adverse terms
  • Clinical-stage biotech with no approved products; capital raise may signal insufficient pipeline progress
  • Warrant overhang may cap upside until exercised or expired

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances)
Analyst Consensus
64% bullish (14 analysts)

Investment Themes

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 9 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001193125-26-305467
Document: crdf-ex4_2.htm0001193125-26-305467
Document: crdf-ex4_1.htm0001193125-26-305467
Document: crdf-20260714.htm0001193125-26-305467
Document: crdf-ex5_1.htm0001193125-26-305467
Document: crdf-ex99_1.htm0001193125-26-305467
Document: 0001193125-26-305467-index-headers.html0001193125-26-305467
Document: 0001193125-26-305467-index.html0001193125-26-305467
Document: 0001193125-26-305467.txt0001193125-26-305467
18 reports for CRDF
Performance horizon
71% Hit rate @ T+5 10 of 14 directional calls Went positive at some point 13 of 14 best @ T+60▲ +47.66%May 19, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for CRDF — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 22, 2026
4w ago
Institutional Cluster
BEARISH ★ 4/10
$1.33 $1.17▲ +12.03%▲ +10.84%$0.8000 (+39.85%)
Sep 14, 2026
6w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$1.31 $1.37▲ +4.58%▲ +4.47%$0.8000 (−38.93%)
Aug 11, 2026
10w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.9900 $0.8979▲ +9.30%▲ +8.86%$0.8000 (+19.19%)
Jul 16, 2026
14w ago
Insider Cluster
MIXED ★ 6/10
$0.8800 $0.8381▼ −4.76%▼ −4.07%$0.8000 (−9.09%)
Jul 16, 2026
14w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.8745 $0.8381▲ +4.16%▲ +2.49%$0.8000 (+8.52%)
Jul 16, 2026
14w ago
424B5
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.8745 $0.8381▲ +4.16%▲ +2.49%$0.8000 (+8.52%)
Jun 22, 2026
18w ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 4/10
$1.30 $1.25▼ −3.85%▼ −1.78%$0.8000 (−38.46%)
Jun 11, 2026
19w ago
Institutional Cluster
BEARISH ★ 4/10
$1.59 $1.18▲ +25.79%▲ +26.22%$0.8000 (+49.69%)
Jun 3, 2026
20w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$1.40 $1.48▲ +5.71%▲ +9.53%$0.8000 (−42.86%)
Jun 2, 2026
20w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$1.51 $1.53▲ +1.32%▲ +4.29%$0.8000 (−47.02%)
Showing 10 of 18

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens in 25m

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Report published Jul 16, 2026