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8-K ·Filed Oct 28, 2026

CMG

CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC
BEARISH
Impact 5/10
Horizonweeks Processed2d 8h ago SEC0001058090-26-000103
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The EPS miss and continued margin compression from labor and G&A inflation are the key negatives, partially offset by improving comps and food cost relief. Watch the Q4 2026 conference call for updates on labor cost trends, the high-efficiency equipment rollout, and whether the 2027 opening target signals a moderation in growth capex.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Chipotle reported Q3 2026 revenue of $3.29B, up 9.6% YoY and in line with the $3.29B consensus, with comparable restaurant sales rising 2.1% (third consecutive quarter of positive transaction growth). However, GAAP diluted EPS of $0.27 missed the $0.29 consensus by 6.9%, and net income fell 11.0% YoY to $339.9M as operating margin contracted 220 bps to 13.7% due to higher labor, occupancy, and other operating costs. Management maintained its 2026 outlook for low single-digit comp growth and 350-370 new openings, while issuing a 2027 opening target of 340-360 company-owned U.S./Canada restaurants plus 15-25 international units.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$0.27
est $0.29 · -6.9%
Revenue
$3.3B
est $3.3B · +0.1% · +9.6% YoY
Rating
miss
Free Cash Flow
$1.3B

Key Facts

  • Q3 2026 total revenue $3.293B, up 9.6% YoY from $3.003B
  • Comparable restaurant sales increased 2.1% (1.3% average check, 0.8% transactions)
  • GAAP diluted EPS $0.27, down 6.9% YoY from $0.29; missed consensus of $0.29
  • Net income $339.9M, down 11.0% YoY from $382.1M
  • Operating margin 13.7%, down from 15.9% a year ago
  • Restaurant-level operating margin 23.3%, down from 24.5%
  • Food, beverage and packaging costs improved to 29.5% of revenue from 30.0%
  • Labor costs rose to 25.7% of revenue from 25.2%
  • G&A expenses $185.2M, up 26.2% YoY from $146.7M
  • Opened 84 company-owned restaurants and 5 international partner-operated restaurants in Q3
  • Repurchased $110.0M of stock at average price $34.05 per share; $1.6B remaining under authorization
  • 2026 outlook maintained: low single-digit comp growth, 350-370 new openings, 24%-26% tax rate
  • 2027 guidance: 340-360 new company-owned U.S./Canada openings, 15-25 international units

Financial Impact

EPS miss of $0.02 vs consensus ($0.27 actual vs $0.29 estimate), net income decline of $42.2M YoY, operating margin contraction of 220 bps

epsnet incomeoperating marginlabor costs

Risk Factors

  • Labor cost inflation and wage regulation continue to pressure margins
  • G&A expense growth outpacing revenue growth (26.2% vs 9.6%)
  • Operating margin has declined for five consecutive quarters (from 16.7% in Q1 2025 to 13.7%)
  • Share repurchase pace slowed sharply in Q3 ($110M vs $700.8M in Q1 2026)
  • International expansion into new markets carries execution risk

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Retail-Eating Places
Analyst Consensus
68% bullish (41 analysts)

Investment Themes

Consumer & Retail

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001058090-26-000103
Document: cmg-20261028.htm0001058090-26-000103
Document: 0001058090-26-000103-index-headers.html0001058090-26-000103
Document: 0001058090-26-000103-index.html0001058090-26-000103
Document: 0001058090-26-000103.txt0001058090-26-000103
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001058090-26-000103
7 reports for CMG
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

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Reports for CMG, sortable and filterable
TypeNow
Oct 28, 2026
2d ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 5/10
No priceawaiting T+1awaiting T+1No price
Oct 28, 2026
2d ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$31.28 $31.89▼ −1.95%▼ −3.72%$31.89 (−1.95%)
Oct 22, 2026
8d ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 3/10
$27.52 $28.41▲ +3.23%▲ +2.52%$31.89 (+15.88%)
Aug 5, 2026
12w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$34.50 $33.71▼ −2.29%▼ −2.13%$31.89 (−7.57%)
Jul 8, 2026
16w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$34.60 $35.25▲ +1.87%▲ +1.45%$31.89 (−7.83%)
Apr 29, 2026
26w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 5/10
$33.97 $32.97▼ −2.94%▼ −3.16%$31.89 (−6.11%)
Feb 28, 2026
34w ago
Institutional Cluster
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$36.70 $36.93▲ +0.63%▲ +1.55%$31.89 (−13.10%)
Showing 7 of 7

US Market Status

Market Closed · Opens Mon (57h)

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Report published Oct 28, 2026