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8-K ·Filed May 8, 2026

CLMT

Calumet, Inc. /DE
BEARISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed5mo ago SEC0002013745-26-000013
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The headline GAAP loss and cash burn are alarming, but the market is likely to look through the non-cash RINs/derivative charges and focus on the operational catalysts: MaxSAF 150 startup and the EPA SET2 RVO tailwind for renewable diesel margins. Monitor Q2 2026 results for evidence of margin recovery and cash flow improvement. The Shreveport outage is resolved, removing a near-term headwind.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
CLMT ▲ +29.55% at T+60d
SHORT call ✗ call lost -29.55% · α vs SPY -24.71% · entry $32.08 → $41.56
Entry = T+0 close
May 8, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+0.75%
call -0.75% · α -0.52%
$32.32
settled 6mo ago
T+5d
-2.34%
call +2.34% · α +3.80%
$31.33
settled 5mo ago
T+20d
+9.63%
call -9.63% · α -9.61%
$35.17
settled 5mo ago
T+60d
+29.55%
call -29.55% · α -24.71%
$41.56
settled 3mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Calumet reported Q1 2026 GAAP net loss of $317.0M ($3.64/share), widening from a $162.0M loss a year ago, driven by $147.4M in non-cash RINs expense and $102.7M in unrealized derivative losses. Adjusted EBITDA with Tax Attributes fell to $50.1M from $55.0M, with operational downtime at Shreveport and the Montana Renewables turnaround weighing on results. Management highlighted a transformative EPA SET2 RVO announcement and the commencement of MaxSAF 150 operations as catalysts for improved biofuel margins going forward.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
−$3.64
est −$0.57 · -538.6%
Revenue
$1.0B
+3.6% YoY
Rating
strong miss
Free Cash Flow
-$99.4M
Gross Margin
-8.5%

Key Facts

  • Q1 2026 GAAP net loss of $317.0M vs $162.0M loss in Q1 2025
  • GAAP EPS of -$3.64 vs -$1.87 in prior year period
  • Adjusted EBITDA with Tax Attributes of $50.1M, down from $55.0M in Q1 2025
  • Sales of $1,029.7M, up 3.6% from $993.9M in Q1 2025
  • Operating cash flow was -$86.2M vs -$29.3M in Q1 2025
  • Shreveport plant experienced unplanned outage due to organic chloride contamination, losing ~750,000 barrels of production
  • Montana Renewables completed turnaround and commenced MaxSAF 150 operations in early May 2026
  • EPA's SET2 RVO announcement in March 2026 cited as transformative for biofuel margins
  • Net loss includes $147.4M non-cash RINs expense and $102.7M unrealized derivative losses
  • Total debt increased to $2,332.0M from $2,233.5M at year-end 2025

Financial Impact

GAAP net loss widened by $155.0M year-over-year; Adjusted EBITDA with Tax Attributes declined $4.9M; operating cash flow worsened by $56.9M

net incomeEPSoperating cash flowAdjusted EBITDA

Risk Factors

  • Persistent negative operating cash flow could pressure liquidity despite $138.6M cash on hand
  • RINs obligation ballooned to $316.7M from $169.3M at year-end, a significant near-term liability
  • Renewable diesel margin recovery depends on regulatory implementation of SET2 RVO, which carries execution risk
  • High debt load ($2.3B) with $32.6M current portion; interest expense of $51.1M per quarter is a fixed burden
  • Stockholders' equity turned more negative to -$1,043.2M from -$732.7M, signaling balance sheet strain

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Petroleum Refining
Analyst Consensus
58% bullish (12 analysts)

Investment Themes

Traditional Energy

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0002013745-26-000013
Document: clmt-20260331x8k.htm0002013745-26-000013
Document: 0002013745-26-000013-index-headers.html0002013745-26-000013
Document: 0002013745-26-000013-index.html0002013745-26-000013
Document: 0002013745-26-000013.txt0002013745-26-000013
8-K Data (Synthetic)0002013745-26-000013
8 reports for CLMT
Performance horizon
Filters
Rows
Reports for CLMT — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 7, 2026
11w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$39.48awaiting T+60—$52.17 (+32.14%)
Jul 1, 2026
16w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$36.42 $53.85▲ +47.86%▲ +44.85%$52.17 (+43.25%)
Jun 4, 2026
20w ago
3
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$35.17 $49.73▲ +41.40%▲ +37.40%$52.17 (+48.34%)
May 8, 2026
24w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$32.08 $41.56▼ −29.55%▼ −24.71%$52.17 (−62.62%)
Apr 20, 2026
27w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$32.53 $41.08▲ +26.28%▲ +19.38%$52.17 (+60.38%)
Apr 1, 2026
29w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$35.06 $36.02▲ +2.74%▼ −11.42%$52.17 (+48.80%)
Mar 12, 2026
32w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$28.74 $35.17▲ +22.37%▲ +11.68%$52.17 (+81.52%)
Feb 27, 2026
34w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$26.96 $33.97▲ +26.00%▲ +16.61%$52.17 (+93.51%)
Showing 8 of 8

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Tue (16h 39m)

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Report published May 8, 2026