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SC 13D/A ·Filed Oct 7, 2026

CIFR

Cipher Digital Inc.
NEUTRAL
Impact 4/10
Horizonweeks Processed20d 9h ago SEC0001123292-26-001382
Activist stake amendment (position change)
Actionable Insight • Neutral

The forward contract settlements reduce the reporting persons' direct economic exposure but do not change their beneficial ownership percentage (13.2%). Monitor for further tranche settlements and any changes in the stated purpose or demands in future amendments.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencemedium
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+5d
CIFR ▼ -25.63% at T+5d
NEUTRAL call -25.63% · α vs SPY -25.35% · entry $13.50 → $10.04
Next anchor: T+20d in 7d
Latest observation: T+11 -29.29% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Oct 7, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+0.15%
call +0.15% · α -0.45%
$13.52
settled 20d ago
T+5d
-25.63%
call -25.63% · α -25.35%
$10.04
settled 14d ago
T+20d
Pending
in 7d
T+60d
Pending
in 2mo

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Bitfury Top HoldCo B.V. and related parties filed Amendment No. 24 to their Schedule 13D for Cipher Digital Inc., reporting an aggregate beneficial ownership of 13.2% (54,671,694 shares) as of October 7, 2026. The amendment discloses the settlement of two forward contracts: V3 Holding Ltd settled a first tranche on September 28, 2026, transferring 1,805,000 shares at a $17.83 settlement price, and Bitfury Top HoldCo settled a first tranche on October 5, 2026, transferring 1,840,000 shares at a $15.87 settlement price. These settlements reduce the reporting persons' economic exposure and represent a modest de-escalation of their stake.

Key Financial Metrics

Stake
13.2%
Investor
Bitfury Top HoldCo B.V. / V3 Holding Ltd / Valerijs Vavilovs

Key Facts

  • Bitfury Top HoldCo B.V., Bitfury Group Ltd., V3 Holding Ltd, and Valerijs Vavilovs collectively beneficially own 54,671,694 shares of Cipher Digital Inc. common stock, representing 13.2% of shares outstanding (based on 415,030,722 shares outstanding as of August 3, 2026).
  • V3 Holding Ltd settled the first tranche of a forward contract on September 28, 2026, transferring 1,805,000 shares to an unaffiliated dealer at a settlement price of $17.83.
  • Bitfury Top HoldCo settled the first tranche of a forward contract on October 5, 2026, transferring 1,840,000 shares to an unaffiliated dealer at a settlement price of $15.87.
  • This is Amendment No. 24 to the initial Schedule 13D filed September 23, 2021, indicating a long-running activist presence.

Financial Impact

Settlement of two forward contract tranches resulted in the transfer of 3,645,000 shares to an unaffiliated dealer at prices of $17.83 and $15.87 per share, reducing the reporting persons' direct holdings.

ownership percentageshare count

Risk Factors

  • Further forward contract settlements could further reduce the reporting persons' stake, potentially signaling reduced conviction.
  • No new demands or changes in purpose were disclosed, suggesting the activist may be in a passive or monetization phase.

Investment Themes

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 3 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
SC 13D/A Filing (Primary)0001123292-26-001382
Document: 0001123292-26-001382-index.html0001123292-26-001382
Document: 0001123292-26-001382.txt0001123292-26-001382
25 reports for CIFR
Performance horizon
62% Hit rate @ T+5 8 of 13 directional calls Went positive at some point 12 of 14 best @ T+60▲ +77.39%Mar 25, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for CIFR — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 21, 2026
6d ago
SC 13G
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$8.32awaiting T+5—$8.48 (+1.92%)
Oct 21, 2026
6d ago
SC 13G
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$8.32awaiting T+5—$8.48 (+1.92%)
Oct 21, 2026
6d ago
SC 13G/A
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$8.32awaiting T+5—$8.48 (−1.92%)
Oct 20, 2026
7d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$9.13awaiting T+5—$8.48 (−7.12%)
Oct 16, 2026
11d ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$8.94 $7.92▲ +11.41%▲ +11.26%$8.48 (+5.15%)
Oct 14, 2026
13d ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$9.94 $9.13▲ +8.15%▲ +8.60%$8.48 (+14.69%)
Oct 13, 2026
14d ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$11.34 $8.88▼ −21.69%▼ −20.54%$8.48 (−25.22%)
Oct 7, 2026
20d ago
SC 13D/A
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$13.50 $10.04▼ −25.63%▼ −25.35%$8.48 (−37.19%)
Sep 25, 2026
4w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$17.73 $15.71▼ −11.39%▼ −11.17%$8.48 (−52.17%)
Sep 25, 2026
4w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$17.73 $15.71▼ −11.39%▼ −11.17%$8.48 (−52.17%)
Showing 10 of 25

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Report published Oct 7, 2026