SecBot SecBot
8-K ·Filed Oct 13, 2026

CIFR

Cipher Digital Inc.
MIXED
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed14d 1h ago SEC0001193125-26-419743
8-K context-dependent: Items 7.01, 8.01
Actionable Insight ◆ Mixed

The convertible offering is dilutive but funds a transformative lease expansion with a leading AI lab, significantly boosting long-term contracted revenue. Monitor pricing terms (conversion premium, capped call strike) and the size of the concurrent 2030 note exchange for near-term share overhang. The 45-day lock-up limits insider selling post-pricing.

DirectionMixed
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+5d ⚠ clustered
CIFR ▼ -21.69% at T+5d
NEUTRAL call -21.69% · α vs SPY -20.54% · entry $11.34 → $8.88
Next anchor: T+20d in 14d
Latest observation: T+8 -17.61% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Oct 13, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-12.35%
call -12.35% · α -11.26%
$9.94
settled 13d ago
T+5d
-21.69%
call -21.69% · α -20.54%
$8.88
settled 7d ago
T+20d
Pending
in 14d
T+60d
Pending
in 2mo

Price Chart

Loading chart...

Executive Summary

Cipher Digital announced a proposed $850M private offering of 0.00% convertible senior notes due 2032 (with a $150M greenshoe) and a concurrent exchange of a portion of its 1.75% convertible notes due 2030 for common stock. Proceeds will fund capped call transactions, additional equity in the Barber Lake project, HPC pipeline build-out, and general corporate purposes. The investor presentation highlights a $5.2B incremental Barber Lake lease amendment with a leading AI lab, extending the lease to 20 years and boosting total contracted revenue to over $9Bn.

Key Facts

  • Offering: $850M aggregate principal amount of 0.00% convertible senior notes due 2032, with a $150M greenshoe option for initial purchasers.
  • Concurrent exchange of a portion of the outstanding 1.75% Convertible Senior Notes due 2030 for common stock.
  • Use of proceeds: fund capped call transactions, additional equity investment in Barber Lake, accelerate HPC pipeline build-out, expand development sites, and general corporate purposes.
  • Barber Lake lease amendment adds $5.2Bn of incremental contracted revenue, extending the lease to 20 years with a leading AI lab.
  • Total contracted revenue at Barber Lake increases from $3.8Bn to over $9Bn.
  • Contracted gross HPC capacity: 700 MW; total contracted revenue: $16.6 Bn; portfolio WALT: 17.3 years; average annualized NOI: $843 MM (all as of September 30, 2026).
  • Pipeline capacity: ~3.4 GW of near-term grid capacity energizing across 2027-2030+.
  • Bookrunners: Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs.
  • Lock-up agreement: 45 days for the company, directors, and executive officers.

Financial Impact

Up to $1.0B in new convertible debt (including greenshoe) with 0.00% coupon, plus concurrent equity exchange of 2030 notes. The Barber Lake lease amendment adds $5.2Bn incremental contracted revenue over 20 years.

debtdilutionrevenuecontracted backlog

Risk Factors

  • Dilution from conversion of the new notes and the concurrent 2030 note exchange, partially offset by capped call transactions.
  • Execution risk on Barber Lake construction and pipeline expansion; cost overruns could pressure returns.
  • Market conditions may affect the final pricing and completion of the offering.
  • High leverage from $850M-$1.0B in new debt adds financial risk, though the 0.00% coupon is favorable.

Investment Themes

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001193125-26-419743
Document: d134900dex991.htm0001193125-26-419743
Document: d134900dex992.htm0001193125-26-419743
Document: 0001193125-26-419743-index-headers.html0001193125-26-419743
Document: 0001193125-26-419743-index.html0001193125-26-419743
Document: 0001193125-26-419743.txt0001193125-26-419743
25 reports for CIFR
Performance horizon
62% Hit rate @ T+5 8 of 13 directional calls Went positive at some point 12 of 14 best @ T+60▲ +77.39%Mar 25, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for CIFR — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 21, 2026
5d ago
SC 13G
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$8.32awaiting T+5—$7.71 (−7.33%)
Oct 21, 2026
5d ago
SC 13G
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$8.32awaiting T+5—$7.71 (−7.33%)
Oct 21, 2026
5d ago
SC 13G/A
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$8.32awaiting T+5—$7.71 (+7.33%)
Oct 20, 2026
6d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$9.13awaiting T+5—$7.71 (−15.55%)
Oct 16, 2026
10d ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$8.94 $7.92▲ +11.41%▲ +11.26%$7.71 (+13.76%)
Oct 14, 2026
13d ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$9.94 $9.13▲ +8.15%▲ +8.60%$7.71 (+22.43%)
Oct 13, 2026
14d ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$11.34 $8.88▼ −21.69%▼ −20.54%$7.71 (−32.01%)
Oct 7, 2026
19d ago
SC 13D/A
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$13.50 $10.04▼ −25.63%▼ −25.35%$7.71 (−42.89%)
Sep 25, 2026
4w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$17.73 $15.71▼ −11.39%▼ −11.17%$7.71 (−56.51%)
Sep 25, 2026
4w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$17.73 $15.71▼ −11.39%▼ −11.17%$7.71 (−56.51%)
Showing 10 of 25

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens in 10m

Subscribe to SecBot

Get Real-Time SEC Filing Intelligence

Comprehensive SEC filing analysis delivered the moment filings hit EDGAR. Sentiment scoring, impact analysis, and actionable insights for every material event.

Create a free account Live analysis, Telegram alerts, watchlists and the MCP server for subscribers
Report published Oct 13, 2026