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8-K ·Filed Oct 5, 2026

CHRW

C. H. ROBINSON WORLDWIDE, INC.
BULLISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonmonths Processed22d 19h ago SEC0001193125-26-413203
8-K material event: Items 1.01
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

Watch for the filing of the Form S-4 and proxy statement/prospectus, which will provide details on the shareholder vote and regulatory timeline. Monitor for any competing bids or regulatory pushback, particularly under the HSR Act. The expected close in H1 2027 and the $300M synergy target are key milestones to track.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonmonths
Latest settled: T+5d
CHRW ▼ -0.61% at T+5d
LONG call ✗ call lost -0.61% · α vs SPY -1.03% · entry $140.61 → $139.75
Next anchor: T+20d in 5d
Latest observation: T+14 +0.08% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Oct 5, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-3.95%
call -3.95% · α -4.50%
$135.05
settled 22d ago
T+5d
-0.61%
call -0.61% · α -1.03%
$139.75
settled 16d ago
T+20d
Pending
in 5d
T+60d
Pending
in 2mo

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

C.H. Robinson (CHRW) announced a definitive agreement to acquire RXO (RXO) in a stock-and-cash transaction valued at an implied $5.8 billion. RXO stockholders will receive $17.25 in cash and 0.0856 CHRW shares per RXO share, with an implied total consideration of $30.25 per share, representing a 27% premium to RXO's 90-day VWAP. The combined company is expected to generate approximately $300 million in net run-rate cost synergies within two years post-close and be accretive to adjusted EPS within nine months.

Key Financial Metrics

Deal Value
$5.8B
Premium
27%
Deal Type
merger

Key Facts

  • C.H. Robinson to acquire RXO for implied total consideration of $30.25 per share, consisting of $17.25 cash and 0.0856 CHRW shares.
  • Implied transaction value of $5.8 billion; combined enterprise value over $25 billion.
  • Expected to generate ~$300 million in net run-rate cost synergies within two years post-close.
  • Transaction expected to close in the first half of 2027, subject to regulatory and RXO stockholder approval.
  • C.H. Robinson secured a $4.5 billion fully underwritten bridge facility from Morgan Stanley.
  • RXO stockholders may elect all-cash ($30.25), all-stock (0.1992 CHRW shares), or standard mixed consideration, subject to proration targeting ~57% cash / 43% stock.
  • MFN Partners, holding ~17.04% of RXO shares, entered into a voting and support agreement to vote in favor of the transaction.
  • Transaction unanimously approved by both companies' boards of directors.

Financial Impact

Implied transaction value of $5.8 billion; combined enterprise value over $25 billion; ~$300 million net run-rate cost synergies expected within two years.

revenueepsdebtdilution

Risk Factors

  • Regulatory approval risk under the HSR Act and other antitrust laws; failure to obtain approvals could delay or block the transaction.
  • Integration risk: achieving the projected $300 million in cost synergies within two years may be challenging.
  • Financing risk: although a $4.5B bridge facility is committed, market conditions could affect permanent financing terms.
  • RXO stockholder approval required; though MFN Partners (~17%) has agreed to vote in favor, other shareholders may dissent.

Investment Themes

Industrials & Manufacturing

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 8 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001193125-26-413203
Document: d115124d8k.htm0001193125-26-413203
Document: d115124dex101.htm0001193125-26-413203
Document: d115124dex991.htm0001193125-26-413203
Document: d115124dex992.htm0001193125-26-413203
Document: 0001193125-26-413203-index-headers.html0001193125-26-413203
Document: 0001193125-26-413203-index.html0001193125-26-413203
Document: 0001193125-26-413203.txt0001193125-26-413203
6 reports for CHRW
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate @ T+1 3 of 3 directional calls Went positive at some point 3 of 3 best @ T+60▲ +25.55%Jul 24, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for CHRW, sortable and filterable
TypeNow
Oct 27, 2026
today
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 3/10
$139.66awaiting T+1awaiting T+1$143.59 (+2.81%)
Oct 23, 2026
4d ago
Institutional Cluster
BEARISH ★ 4/10
$141.17 $140.15▲ +0.72%▲ +1.43%$143.59 (−1.71%)
Oct 5, 2026
22d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$140.61 $135.05▼ −3.95%▼ −4.50%$143.59 (+2.12%)
Jul 24, 2026
13w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$186.51 $174.46▲ +6.46%▲ +6.48%$143.59 (+23.01%)
Jun 14, 2026
19w ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 5/10
$190.25 $189.40▼ −0.45%▲ +0.15%$143.59 (−24.53%)
Feb 28, 2026
34w ago
Institutional Cluster
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$186.60 $192.66▲ +3.25%▲ +4.16%$143.59 (−23.05%)
Showing 6 of 6

US Market Status

Market Closed · Opens in 5h 41m

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Report published Oct 5, 2026