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8-K ·Filed Sep 22, 2026

CGNX

COGNEX CORP
BULLISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonmonths Processed1mo ago SEC0000851205-26-000071
8-K context-dependent: Items 7.01, 8.01
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

Watch for Q4 2026 closing and integration updates; the $500M cash outlay will reduce Cognex's cash balance but the deal is expected to be accretive to growth. Monitor the Q4 earnings call for initial RealSense revenue contribution and margin commentary.

DirectionBullish
Confidencemedium
Horizonmonths
Latest settled: T+20d
CGNX ▼ -3.73% at T+20d
LONG call ✗ call lost -3.73% · α vs SPY -3.17% · entry $58.97 → $56.77
Next anchor: T+60d in 7w
Latest observation: T+23 +5.25% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Sep 22, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-1.32%
call -1.32% · α -0.60%
$58.19
settled 5w ago
T+5d
+1.19%
call +1.19% · α +2.37%
$59.67
settled 29d ago
T+20d
-3.73%
call -3.73% · α -3.17%
$56.77
settled 8d ago
T+60d
Pending
in 7w

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Cognex announced a definitive agreement to acquire RealSense, a leader in 3D depth-sensing cameras for robotic perception, for $500 million in an all-cash deal funded from existing cash. RealSense is expected to generate $80M-$90M in 2026 revenue (50%+ YoY growth), and the acquisition expands Cognex's served market into a robotic perception market projected to grow from $600M to ~$1.6B by 2030. The transaction is expected to close in Q4 2026.

Key Facts

  • Cognex to acquire RealSense for $500 million in all-cash, funded from existing cash and investments
  • RealSense expected to generate $80M-$90M revenue in 2026, representing >50% growth over prior year
  • Robotic perception market estimated at $600M today, expected to grow >25% annually to ~$1.6B by 2030
  • Transaction expected to close in Q4 2026, subject to customary closing conditions
  • Cognex expects to grant ~$50M in RSUs and provide up to $69M in cash retention payments to RealSense employees over three years
  • RealSense will spin out its Facial Authentication product line prior to closing

Financial Impact

$500 million all-cash acquisition; RealSense 2026E revenue $80M-$90M; retention costs ~$119M over three years

revenuecashdilution

Risk Factors

  • Integration risk: RealSense has not yet demonstrated profitability at scale under Cognex ownership
  • Cash deployment: $500M cash outlay reduces financial flexibility, though funded from existing cash
  • Retention risk: ~$119M in employee retention costs may not be sufficient to retain key talent post-close
  • Market growth dependency: the robotic perception market's projected 25%+ CAGR may not materialize

Investment Themes

Industrials & Manufacturing

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 5 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0000851205-26-000071
Exhibit: exhibit991-pressrelease.htm0000851205-26-000071
Document: 0000851205-26-000071-index-headers.html0000851205-26-000071
Document: 0000851205-26-000071-index.html0000851205-26-000071
Document: 0000851205-26-000071.txt0000851205-26-000071
13 reports for CGNX
Performance horizon
33% Hit rate @ T+5 2 of 6 directional calls Went positive at some point 4 of 7 best @ T+20▲ +10.28%Feb 23, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for CGNX, sortable and filterable
TypeNow
Oct 23, 2026
4d ago
Institutional Cluster
BULLISH ★ 4/10
$55.55awaiting T+5awaiting T+5$58.22 (+4.81%)
Oct 15, 2026
12d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$55.67awaiting T+5awaiting T+5$58.22 (+4.58%)
Sep 22, 2026
5w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$58.97 $59.67▲ +1.19%▲ +2.37%$58.22 (−1.27%)
Sep 22, 2026
5w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$58.97 $59.67▲ +1.19%▲ +2.37%$58.22 (−1.27%)
Sep 2, 2026
7w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$59.71 $61.69▼ −3.32%▼ −4.28%$58.22 (+2.49%)
Aug 5, 2026
11w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$67.38 $61.59▼ −8.59%▼ −9.81%$58.22 (−13.59%)
Aug 5, 2026
11w ago
Institutional Cluster
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$70.71 $60.67▼ −14.20%▼ −14.55%$58.22 (−17.66%)
Jul 16, 2026
14w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$63.89 $63.44▼ −0.70%▲ +0.97%$58.22 (−8.87%)
May 11, 2026
24w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$66.90 $61.70▼ −7.77%▼ −7.69%$58.22 (−12.97%)
May 6, 2026
24w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$65.74 $63.64▼ −3.19%▼ −4.69%$58.22 (−11.43%)
Showing 10 of 13

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Report published Sep 22, 2026